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INFORMATION WILL BE UPDATED THROUGH THE QUARTER
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Kelly denotes the class text. Homeworks and Exx refer to the problems in each section of each Chapter.
Homeworks/ Possible Exx. | ||
| WEEK 1 | ||
| Wed., Sep 30 MOR 230 |
1. Sample space, Events, Venn diagrams; Kelly 1.1, 1.2 |
Introduction to Genetics Homework 1: Kelly: 1.1.4, 1.1.7, 1.1.8, 1.1.9, 2.1.7, 2.1.8 Notes for week 1: posted 9/22. |
| Friday, Oct 2 LOW 102 |
2. Counting, permutations, combinations 3. Probability axioms and rules, more Venn diagrams Kelly 1.1, 1.2, 2.1 | |
| WEEK 2 | ||
| Monday, Oct 5 MOR 230 | Examples of counting, combinations and probabilities |
TA: Nick Basch to take section Notes for week 2: posted Oct 1. |
| Wed., Oct 7 MOR 230 |
4. Binomial theorem, Sampling with/without replacement Kelly 1.2, A4. |
Here are the class birthdays data Homework 1 (see 9/30) is due. Homework 2: Kelly: 2.1.5, 2.1.12, 2.1.15, 2.1.16, 2.2.1, 2.2.3 |
| Friday, Oct 9 LOW 102 |
5. Conditional probability and independence; Kelly 2.2, 2.4 6. Updating information, using conditional probability. Kelly 2.3 | |
| WEEK 3 | ||
| Monday, Oct 12 |
Examples of conditional probabilities |
TA: Nick Basch to take section Notes for week 3: posted Oct 8. Homework1 Solutions: posted Oct 12. EAT Tues office hour, 1.30-2.30 this week only; |
| Wed., Oct 14 | 7. Independence of events. Joint and pairwise independence. Kelly: 2.4 |
Homework 2 (see 10/7) is due. A test email was sent to class, 10/13 --- if you did not receive it .... Homework 3: Kelly: 2.2.7 and 2.4.7, 2.2.13, 2.2.14, 2.3.1, 2.3.8, 2.4.1 |
| Friday, Oct 16 |
8. Conditional probability is a probability. Updating probabilities.
Kelly 2.3 9. Updating information sequentially; example. | |
| WEEK 4 | ||
| Monday, Oct 19 |
Midterm review. 2008 394 Midterm 1 Exam (posted Oct 8) 2008 394 Midterm 1 Solutions (posted Oct 8) |
Homework 2 Solutions: posted Oct 18. EAT to take section. Note the formulas given on the 2008 exam are (almost?) exactly as you will have them this year. Notes for week 4: posted Oct 16. |
| Wed., Oct 21 | Midterm-1 |
Homework 3 (see 10/14) is due Nick to proctor exam. Homework 4: Kelly: 1.2.4*, 1.2.5, 1.2.8*, 1.2.10, 1.3.1*, 1.3.14 In *, do (a),(b),(c) only. |
| Friday, Oct 23 |
11. Discrete random variables: examples. Kelly 1.2, 2.2 12. Continuous random variables: examples Kelly 1.3. |
Notes for week 4: posted Oct 16; minor updates Oct 23. |
| WEEK 5 | ||
| Monday, Oct 26 | Examples of computing probabilities for random variables, especially using density functions. |
Notes for week 5: posted Oct 26. Homework 3 Solutions: posted Oct 26. Your Hwk 1,2,3 and Midt-1 scores are published through catalyst gradebook |
| Wed., Oct 28 | 13. Events, nested events, and their probabilities. (Kelly 2.5) |
Midterm return.
Solutions
and Scores: posted Oct 26 Homework 4 is due: see Oct 21. Homework 5: Kelly: 1.Supp.7, 3.1.7, 3.1.8, 3.2.3, 3.2.7, 3.3.7(c),(d). |
| Friday, Oct 30 |
14. The cumulative distribution function (Kelly 3.2) 15. Independence and conditioning for random variables. (Kelly 3.3) |
Notes for week 5: upated--typos fixed--Oct 30. |
| WEEK 6 | ||
| Monday, Nov 2 | More examples of computing probabilities and conditional probabilities for discrete and continuous random variables. |
Nick's quiz session. Notes for weeks 6 and 7; posted Nov 1 Homework 4 Solutions: posted Nov 3. |
| Wed, Nov 4 | 16. Expectation of random variables: mean and variance: Kelly 4.1-4.3 |
Homework 5 due; see Oct 28. Homework 6: Kelly: 4.1.10, 4.1.11, 4.2.1, 4.2.9, 4.3.3 (*see hint), 1.4.2 |
| Fri, Nov 6 |
17. Summing two discrete random variables. 18. The Bernoulli process: ties together Bernoulli, Binomial, Geometric, Negative Binomial. (Kelly 1.4) |
Homework 5 Solutions: posted Nov 6. Page to be provided for Midterm 2 |
| WEEK 7 | ||
| Mon, Nov 9 |
19. Examples of Discrete random variables:
Bernoulli, Binomial, Geometric, Negative Binomial |
EAT to take class Notes for weeks 6 and 7 (repeat from Nov 2) Additional suggested Bernoulli process etc. examples: 1.S.11, 7.3.1(a,b), 7.3.2, 7.3.7 (not d), 7.5.1(a,b) |
| Wed, Nov 11 | VETERANS' DAY | NO CLASSES |
| Fri, Nov 13 |
20. Poisson random variables: relationship to
binomial. More examples: computing expectations. Including continuous random variables. |
Homework 6 due NOTE: FRIDAY!; See Nov 4. EAT away. Nick to give class Homework 7: Kelly: 4.2.16, 1.Supp.11, 7.3.6, 7.3.7 (a,b,c), 6.4.4, 7.4.3. |
| WEEK 8 | ||
| Mon, Nov 16 |
Review for midterm-2 Info and useful hwk exx |
EAT to give class Page to be provided for Midterm 2 Homework 6 Solutions: posted Nov 15. Notes for week 8 (posted Nov 15) |
| Wed, Nov 18 | Midterm-2 | NO HOMEWORK DUE |
| - | ||
| Fri, Nov 20 |
22. The Normal probability density; Kelly 6.2 Standardizing means and variances. Location and scale. 23. Stirling's formula; Normal approximation to the Binomial. Kelly 6.4 |
Notes for week 8 (posted Nov 15) Homework 8: Kelly: 6.2.3, 6.2.5, 6.4.9, 6.4.13*, 6.4.14, 6.Supp.8 (see the homework page for more info). |
| WEEK 9 | ||
| Mon, Nov 23 | Nick section: more examples of Normal distributions | Note: Homework 7 due; MONDAY : see Nov 13 posted; |
| Wed, Nov 25 |
24. Using the Normal approximation. The probability table and ``continuity correction''. Example: Mendel's experiments. |
Midterm2 to be returned. Solutions. Scores summary (Posted Nov 23) Your Hwk 4,5,6 and Midt-2 scores are published through catalyst gradebook See old final exam under Dec 7 date. Homework 7 Solutions: posted Nov 25. |
| Fri, Nov 27 |
THANKSGIVING HOLIDAY | NO CLASSES |
| WEEK 10 | ||
| Mon, Nov 30 | Examples with continuous densities, computing probabilities vs computing expectations. |
Nick to take class. Homework 9: Kelly: 1.4.4, 1.4.8, 2.2.16, 2.4.11, 3.3.9, 8.3.6 (b,c,e). (see the homework page for more info). |
| Wednesday, Dec 2 | 25. More examples from Mendel's Experiments. | Homework 8 due; see Nov 20 posted. |
| Friday, Dec 4 | 26,27. The Poisson process Kelly 1.5 | Notes for last week (posted Dec 3) |
| WEEK 11 | ||
| Monday, Dec 7 |
28. Poisson process examples |
Homework 8 Solutions EAT to take class 2008 294 final exam and Solutions. (Posted Nov 23) |
| Wednesday, Dec 9 |
Review for final -- Page to be provided for final exam (posted Dec 3) |
Homework 9 (posted Nov 30) due. Homework 9 Solutions |
| Friday, Dec 11 |
Final review for final: Review of stuff from midterm and homeworks: especially Bernoulli process examples. Poisson and Normal approx to Binomial. and/or problems with the old exam. |
Nick to take class 12.30-1.20. (Note 2nd hour only) (EAT away; ALSO, no EAT office hour Dec 10) |
| EXAMS WEEK | ||
| Monday Dec 14 |
EAT Extra office hour: ?? | |
| Tues Dec 15 |
Check your calculator is working! Nick: office hour: 12-2 EAT: office hour: 2-4 | |
| Wednesday Dec 16 | Final Exam: 2:30-4:20: MOR 230 |
Official UW time and place for this exam |