Stuttering Chains

Branching Processes for Malaria Elimination

Author

Affiliation

David L Smith

University of Washington

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Draft – I’m looking for co-authors. Let me know if you’re interested in helping me write this.

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In simple models, in places where \(R_0<1,\) the expected number of cases that would be generated by a single case is \(1/(1-R_0).\) This is a useful starting point for malaria elimination planning.

Content

• Malaria in Eswatini [1]

References

1.

Reiner RC, Le Menach A, Kunene S, Ntshalintshali N, Hsiang MS, Perkins TA, et al. Mapping residual transmission for malaria elimination. Elife. 2015;4: e09520. doi:10.7554/eLife.09520