Bibliography of Literature Relevant to Our Future Sustainability

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IV.     Limits and Metrics of Sustainability and Well-Being

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What’s Here

This bibliography is concerned with disturbing environmental and social trends, along with the potential to make things better and the risks if we don’t.  In this section, the focus is on attempts to characterize and measure our constraints, vulnerabilities, and degree of sustainability.  To what extent are our activities, our potential, our growth constrained by limits?  What kind of limits?  How well understood and defined are these limits or thresholds?  What are the consequences for exceeding them?  What metrics should we be using to assess how well (or not) our society is doing?  Getting a handle on these questions is critical for assessing what our future holds and what we should do to ensure the best possible outcomes.

This section is broken up into the 5 subsections you can see below.

 

Subsections

 

A.

Carrying Capacity and Limits to Growth

 

B.

Carbon, Water, and Ecological Footprint Analyses

C.

Beware the State Change - Planetary Boundaries, Thresholds, and Tipping Points

D.

Assessing the Vulnerability and Risk of Populations

E.

Other Metrics of Sustainability and Well-Being

 

Citations

      

A.   Carrying Capacity and Limits to Growth (more in Section III)

 

Ahmed, N (2014). Scientists Vindicate 'Limits to Growth' – Urge Investment in 'Circular Economy'. The Guardian, June 4. https://www.theguardian.com/environment/earth-insight/2014/jun/04/scientists-limits-to-growth-vindicated-investment-transition-circular-economy

 

Arcanjo, M (2018). Delaying Day Zero: Fighting Back Against Water Insecurity. Climate Institute, April 16. http://climate.org/delaying-day-zero-fighting-back-against-water-insecurity/

 

Arrow, K., Bolin, B., Costanza, R., Dasgupta, P., Foilce, C., Holling, C. S., Jansson, B., Levin, S., Maler, K., Perrings, C. & Pimentel D. (1995). Economic Growth, Carrying Capacity, and the Environment. Science, 268. https://www.cepal.org/ilpes/noticias/paginas/7/40547/growth_and_the_environment.pdf

 

Asara, V, Otero, I, Demaria, F and Corbera, E (2015). Socially Sustainable Degrowth as a Social–ecological Transformation: Repoliticizing Sustainability. Sustainability Science, 10. https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s11625-015-0321-9

 

Bauerlein, V (2020). This Southern Town Was Growing So Fast, It Passed a Ban on Growth. The Wall Street Journal, Feb. 3. https://www.wsj.com/articles/this-southern-town-was-growing-so-fast-it-passed-a-ban-on-growth-11580738467

 

BBC Future (2021). Global Resources Stock Check. https://www.bbc.com/future/article/20120618-global-resources-stock-check  [Very short, presents a compelling graphic of when different resources will run out.]

 

Bowles, N, Alexander, S and Hadjikakou, M (2019). The Livestock Sector and Planetary Boundaries: A ‘Limits to Growth’ Perspective with Dietary Implications. Ecological Economics, 160. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecolecon.2019.01.033

 

Branderhorst, G (2020). Update to Limits to Growth: Comparing the World3 Model with Empirical Data. Master's thesis, Harvard Extension School. https://dash.harvard.edu/handle/1/37364868

 

Brown, J et al., (2011). Energetic Limits to Economic Growth. Bioscience, 61(1). https://doi.org/10.1525/bio.2011.61.1.7

 

Bryce, E (2018). We’re Getting Taller and Heavier. That’s Not Good News for Food Security or the Planet. Anthropocene, 4. https://www.anthropocenemagazine.org/2018/11/were-getting-taller-and-heavier-thats-not-good-news-for-food-security-or-the-planet/

 

Butler, C (2017). Limits to Growth, Planetary Boundaries, and Planetary Health. Current Opinion in Environmental Sustainability, 25: 59-65. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.cosust.2017.08.002

 

Cabernard, L et al. (2019). Natural Resource Use in the Group of 20: Status, Trends, and Solutions. International Resource Panel, United Nations Environment Programme. https://www.resourcepanel.org/reports/natural-resource-use-group-20

 

Cafaro, P (2012). No Ecological Sustainability Without Limits to Growth, in Butler, T, Lerch, D and Weuthner, G (eds.), The ENERGY Reader: Overdevelopment and the Delusion of Endless Growth. Post Carbon Institute. http://energy-reality.org/limits-to-growth/

 

Cairns, J (2004). Allocating Finite Resources on a Finite Planet. Ethics in Science and Environmental Politics, 4: 25-27. http://www.int-res.com/articles/esep/2004/E47.pdf

 

Campaign for Nature (2019). Why 30%. https://www.campaignfornature.org/why-30-1 [About the initiative to protect 30 percent of the planet by 2030]

 

Capellan-Perez, I, Mediavilla, M, de Castro, C, Carpintero, O and Miguel, L (2015). More Growth? An Unfeasible Option to Overcome Critical Energy Constraints and Climate Change. Sustainability Science, 10. https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s11625-015-0299-3

 

Carneiro Freire, S, Corban, C, Ehrlich, D, Florczyk, A, Kemper, T, Maffenini, L, Melchiorri, M, Pesaresi, M, Schiavina, M and Tommasi, P (2019). Atlas of the Human Planet 2019. Publications Office of the European Union. https://op.europa.eu/en/publication-detail/-/publication/42c8f707-49bb-11ea-8aa5-01aa75ed71a1/language-en [Presents key human settlements and urbanisation statistics for 239 countries.]

 

Carrington, D (2020). World’s Consumption of Materials Hits Record 100bn Tonnes a Year. The Guardian, Jan. 22. https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2020/jan/22/worlds-consumption-of-materials-hits-record-100bn-tonnes-a-year

 

Casella, C (2021). Earth Is Using 173% of The World's Total 'Biocapacity', Scientists Warn. Science Alert, April 27. https://www.sciencealert.com/rising-human-consumption-is-causing-many-nations-to-fall-into-ecological-poverty/amp

 

Casey, K (2019). Why Climate Change is an Irrelevance, Economic Growth is a Myth and Sustainability is Forty Years Too Late. Global Climate, Nov. 20. http://globalcomment.com/why-climate-change-is-an-irrelevance-economic-growth-is-a-myth-and-sustainability-is-forty-years-too-late/ {Emphasizes overpopulation]

 

Center for Humans and Nature (2017). How Can We Create A Successful Economy Without Continuous Economic Growth?  Questions for a Resilient Future. https://www.humansandnature.org/how-can-we-create-a-successful-economy-without-continuous-economic-growth  [A collection of essays responding to this question, along with reader responses]

 

Chapman, E and Byron, C (2018). The Flexible Application of Carrying Capacity in Ecology. Global Ecology and Conservation, 13. https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2351989417301427

 

Connor, R, Talafre, J, Hasan, E and Abolina, E (2015). Unsustainable Growth, in The United Nations World Water Development Report 2015: Water for a Sustainable World. World Water Assessment Programme, UNESCO. http://unesdoc.unesco.org/images/0023/002318/231823E.pdf

 

Daily, G, Ehrlich, A and Ehrlich, P (1994). Optimum Human Population Size. Population and Environment: A Journal of Interdisciplinary Studies, 15(6). https://dieoff.com/page99.htm

 

Dawson, J, Jackson, R and Norberg-Hodge, H (eds.) (2010). Gaian Economics: Living Well Within Planetary Limits. Permanent Publications. https://www.academia.edu/3589057/GAIAN_ECONOMICS

 

Demaria, F, Kallis, G and Bakker, K (2019). Geographies of Degrowth: Nowtopias, Resurgences and the Decolonization of Imaginaries and Places. Environment and Planning E: Nature and Space, 2(3). https://www.academia.edu/40305474/_Geographies_of_degrowth_Nowtopias_resurgences_and_the_decolonization_of_imaginaries_and_places_Environment_and_Planning_E_Nature_and_Space_2019_Introduction_to_the_Special_Issue_By_Federico_Demaria_Giorgos_Kallis_and_Karen_Bakker_Dowload_PDF_for_freer

 

Derer, P (2018). Population Growth Will Make it Harder to Meet EU Climate Goals, While Stable or Declining Populations Will Help Cut Greenhouse Gas Emissions in the EU. The Overpopulation Project, Nov. 8. https://overpopulation-project.com/population-growth-will-make-it-harder-to-meet-eu-climate-goals-while-stable-or-declining-populations-will-help-cut-greenhouse-gas-emissions-in-the-eu/

 

Dolak, P (2016). Could an Economic Collapse Be in our Near Future? Counter Punch, April 1. https://www.counterpunch.org/2016/04/01/could-an-economic-collapse-be-in-our-near-future/

 

Dolter, B and Victor, P (2017). From Growth to Sustainability, in Victor, P and Dolter, B (eds.) Handbook on Growth and Sustainability. Edward Elger Publishing. https://www.elgaronline.com/view/edcoll/9781783473557/9781783473557.00006.xml

 

Earthstat (2021). http://www.earthstat.org/ [A series of global maps, mostly showing geographic variability in growing food.]

 

The Economics of Ecosystems and Biodiversity (TEEB) (2021). Natural Capital Accounting. http://teebweb.org/publications/nca/  [Leads to many reports.]

 

Ehrlich, P and Ehrlich, A (2016). Population, Resources, and the Faith-Based Economy: the Situation in 2016. BioPhysical Economics and Resource Quality, 1(3). https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s41247-016-0003-y

 

Elshkaki, A, Graedel, T, Ciacci, L and Reck, B (2016). Copper Demand, Supply, and Associated Energy Use to 2050. Global Environmental Change, 39. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2016.06.006

 

Erb, K, Lauk, C, Kastner, T, Mayer, A, Theurl, M and Haberl, H (2016). Exploring the Biophysical Option Space for Feeding the World Without Deforestation. Nature Communications, 7(11382). https://www.nature.com/articles/ncomms11382

 

Faurès, J, Hoogeveen, J and Winpenny, J, Steduto, P and Burke, J (2012). Coping with Water Scarcity: An Action Framework for Agriculture and Food Security. FAO Water Reports 38. http://www.fao.org/3/i3015e/i3015e.pdf

 

Fischer-Kowalski, M and Steinberger, J (2017). Growth and Sustainability in a Material World: The Self-Reinforcing Cycle of Population, GDP and Resource Use, in Victor, P and Dolter, B (eds.) Handbook on Growth and Sustainability. Edward Elger Publishing. https://www.elgaronline.com/view/edcoll/9781783473557/9781783473557.00026.xml

 

Geman, B (2021). The Supply Crunch that Could Slow the Climate Fight. Axios, May 5. https://www.axios.com/clean-energy-minerals-supply-crunch-climate-change-47d4e6b6-869e-4243-bfc0-5d0202a277f3.html

 

Gerten, D et al., (2020). Feeding Ten Billion People is Possible Within Four Terrestrial Planetary Boundaries. Nature Sustainability, 3. https://www.nature.com/articles/s41893-019-0465-1

 

Ghosh, I (2021). All the Biomass of Earth, in One Graphic. Visual Capitalist, Aug. 20. https://www.visualcapitalist.com/all-the-biomass-of-earth-in-one-graphic/

 

Gilding, P (2012). The Earth is Full. TED talk. https://www.ted.com/talks/paul_gilding_the_earth_is_full [Clear and concise]

 

Gomez-Baggethun, E and Naredo, J (2015). In Search of Lost Time: The Rise and Fall of Limits to Growth in International Sustainability Policy. Sustainability Science, 10. https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s11625-015-0308-6 

 

Green Growth Knowledge Platform (2021). Consumption. https://www.greengrowthknowledge.org/themes/consumption [Portal to many articles and reports.]

 

Hall, C and Day, J (2009). Revisiting the Limits to Growth After Peak Oil. American Scientist, 97(3). https://doi.org/10.1511/2009.78.230

 

Hatcher, B (2019). Carrying Capacity: Our Wickedest Problem. Hermetica.info. https://www.hermetica.info/CarryingCapacity.html [Online book]

 

Hawking, S (2016). This is the Most Dangerous Time for our Planet. The Guardian, Dec. 1. https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2016/dec/01/stephen-hawking-dangerous-time-planet-inequality

 

Heinberg, R (2010). Beyond the Limits to Growth in Heinberg R and Lerch, D (eds.) The Post Carbon Reader: Managing the 21st Century’s Sustainability Crises. Watershed Media. https://www.scribd.com/doc/63670022/FOUNDATION-CONCEPTS-Beyond-the-Limits-to-Growth-by-Richard-Heinberg

 

Heinberg, R (2017). Systemic Change Driven by Moral Awakening Is Our Only Hope. EcoWatch, Aug. 14. https://www.ecowatch.com/climate-change-heinberg-2471869927.html

 

Heinberg, R (2017). There’s No App for That: Technology and Morality in the Age of Climate Change, Overpopulation, and Biodiversity Loss. Post Carbon Institute, Aug. 8. https://www.postcarbon.org/publications/theres-no-app-for-that/ [A book available online for free.]

 

Heinberg, R (2018). Ted Nordhaus Is Wrong: We Are Exceeding Earth’s Carrying Capacity. UnDark, July 26. https://undark.org/article/ted-nordhaus-carrying-capacity-ecology/

 

Heinberg, R (2022). The Limits to Growth at 50: From Scenarios to Unfolding Reality. Resilience, Feb. 24. https://www.resilience.org/stories/2022-02-24/the-limits-to-growth-at-50-from-scenarios-to-unfolding-reality/

 

Herrington, G (2020). Update to Limits to Growth: Comparing the Wolrd3 Model with Empirical Data. Journal of Industrial Ecology, 2020. https://advisory.kpmg.us/content/dam/advisory/en/pdfs/2021/yale-publication.pdf

 

Hickel, J (2019). The Contradiction of the Sustainable Development Goals: Growth Versus Ecology on a Finite Planet. Sustainable Development, 27(5). https://www.researchgate.net/publication/332422285_The_contradiction_of_the_sustainable_development_goals_Growth_versus_ecology_on_a_finite_planet

 

Hopfenberg, R (2003). Human Carrying Capacity Is Determined by Food Availability. Population and Environment, 25. https://link.springer.com/article/10.1023/B:POEN.0000015560.69479.c1

 

HowGood (2022). The World’s Largest Sustainability Database. https://howgood.com/

 

Intergovernmental Science-Policy Platform on Biodiversity and Ecosystem Services (2019). Summary for Policymakers of the Global Assessment Report on Biodiversity and Ecosystem Services of the Intergovernmental Science-Policy Platform on Biodiversity and Ecosystem Services. IPBES Secretariat. https://ipbes.net/global-assessment

 

International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (2000). Summary. https://webarchive.iiasa.ac.at/Research/LUC/GAEZ/index.htm [“An inventory of land resources and evaluation of biophysical limitations and potentials.”]

 

International Resource Panel (2018). Resource Efficiency for Sustainable Development. United Nations Environment Programme. https://www.resourcepanel.org/reports/resource-efficiency-sustainable-development

 

International Resource Panel (2019). Global Resources Outlook. United Nations Environment Programme. https://www.resourcepanel.org/reports/global-resources-outlook

 

Jackson, T (2009). Prosperity Without Growth: The Transition to a Sustainable Economy. Sustainable Development Commission. http://www.sd-commission.org.uk/data/files/publications/prosperity_without_growth_report.pdf

 

Jackson, T (2017). Beyond Consumer Capitalism - Foundations for a Sustainable Prosperity, CUSP Working Paper No 2. Guildford: University of Surrey. https://www.cusp.ac.uk/wp-content/uploads/WP02-TJ-2016-Beyond-consumer-capitalism.pdf

 

Jackson, T and Webster, R (2016). Limits Revisited: A Review of the Limits to Growth Debate. The All-Party Parliamentary Group on Limits to Growth. https://limits2growth.org.uk/wp-content/uploads/Jackson-and-Webster-2016-Limits-Revisited.pdf

 

James, I, Elfers, S and Reilly, S (2015). Pumped Dry: The Global Crisis of Groundwater. USA Today. https://www.usatoday.com/pages/interactives/groundwater/ [cool and interactive]

 

Jones, C (2019). The Delusion and Danger of Infinite Economic Growth. The New Republic, Oct. 1. https://newrepublic.com/article/155214/delusion-danger-infinite-economic-growth [Historical overview of how economists discounted the natural world and came to champion economic growth.]

 

Kallis, G (2019). Defending Degrowth not Malthusian. Resilience, Nov. 26. https://www.resilience.org/stories/2019-11-26/defending-degrowth-is-not-malthusian/ [Environmentalists like us are not warning of limits. We want limits…]

 

Kallis, G, Kostakis, V, Lange, S, Muraca, B, Paulson, S and Schmelzer, M (2018). Research on Degrowth. Annual Review of Environment and Resources, 43. https://doi.org/10.1146/annurev-environ-102017-025941

 

Kayal, M, Lewis, H, Ballard, J, and Kayal, E (2019). Humanity and the 21st Century’s Resource Gauntlet: A Commentary on Ripple et al.’s Article “World Scientists’ Warning to Humanity: a Second Notice. Rethinking Ecology, 4. https://rethinkingecology.pensoft.net/article/32116/

 

Kopnina, H (2016). Half the Earth for People (or More)? Addressing Ethical Questions in Conservation. Biological Conservation, 203. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.biocon.2016.09.019

 

Krulwich, R (2013). What Happened On Easter Island — A New (Even Scarier) Scenario. NPR, Dec. 10. https://www.npr.org/sections/krulwich/2013/12/09/249728994/what-happened-on-easter-island-a-new-even-scarier-scenario

 

Leonard, A, Fox, L and Sachs, J (2007). The Story of Stuff. Free Range Studios. https://storyofstuff.org/movies/story-of-stuff/ [Classic video]

 

Lidicker, W (2020). A Scientist’s Warning to Humanity on Human Population Growth. Global Ecology and Conservation, 24. https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2351989420307733

 

Liu, J, Yang, H, Gosling, S, Kummu, M, Florke, M, Pfister, S, Hanasaki, N, Wada, Y, Zhang, X, Zeng, C, Alcomo, J and Oki, T (2017). Water Scarcity Assessments in the Past, Present, and Future. Earth’s Future, 5(6). https://doi.org/10.1002/2016EF000518

 

Mace, G (2012). The Limits to Sustainability Science: Ecological Constraints or Endless Innovation? PLoS Biology, 10(6): https://journals.plos.org/plosbiology/article?id=10.1371/journal.pbio.1001343

 

McChrystal, K (2018). Limits to Growth. Summary of Current Literature. The Sustainable Living Institute. http://sustainablelivinginstitute.org/uploads/3/4/9/8/34985492/limits_to_growth_literature_summary.pdf [Like an annotated bibliography that emphasizes the worst analyses.]

 

Mind Matters News (2020). Business Prof: Stop It! The World is Not Running Out of Stuff! https://mindmatters.ai/2020/08/business-prof-stop-it-the-world-is-not-running-out-of-stuff/ [Mainstream economics perspective where everything is reduced to cost of commodities relative to incomes without taking into account any externalities or increasing inequities in the distribution of incomes.]

 

Monbiot, G (2015). Consume More, Conserve More: Sorry, But We Just Can’t Do Both. The Guardian, Nov. 24. https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2015/nov/24/consume-conserve-economic-growth-sustainability

 

Moore, J and Rees, W (2013). Getting to One-Planet Living, in State of the World 2013. The Worldwatch Institute. http://library.uniteddiversity.coop/More_Books_and_Reports/State_of_the_World/State_of_the_World_2013-Is_Sustainability_Still_Possible.pdf

 

Motesharrei, S, Rivas, J and Kalnay, E (2014). Human and Nature Dynamics (HANDY): Modeling Inequality and Use of Resources in the Collapse or Sustainability of Societies. Ecological Economics, 101: 90-102. https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0921800914000615?via%3Dihub

 

Murphy, T (2021). Energy and Human Ambitions on a Finite Planet. Open Educational Resources, University of California San Diego. https://doi.org/10.21221/S2978-0-578-86717-5

 

Murphy, T, Murphy, D, Love, T, LeHew, M and McCall, B (2021). Modernity is Incompatible with Planetary Limits: Developing a PLAN for the Future. Energy Research & Social Science, 81. https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2214629621003327?mc_cid=3b3a6fc7ee&mc_eid=0bca9c3843

 

Nagourney, A, Healy, J, Schwartz, N (2015). California Drought Tests History of Endless Growth. New York Times. http://www.nytimes.com/2015/04/05/us/california-drought-tests-history-of-endless-growth.html 

 

National Public Radio (2013). Kansas Farmers Commit To Taking Less Water From The Ground.  http://www.npr.org/sections/thesalt/2013/10/22/230702453/in-kansas-farmers-commit-to-take-less-water-from-the-ground

 

National Resource Defense Council (2010). Water Facts - Climate Change, Water, and Risk: Current Water Demands Are Not Sustainable.  http://www.nrdc.org/globalWarming/watersustainability/files/WaterRisk.pdf

 

The Next System Project (2019). The Index of Systemic Trends. https://thenextsystem.org/learn/stories/index-systemic-trends

 

Nordhaus, T (2018). The Earth’s Carrying Capacity for Human Life is Not Fixed. AEON. https://aeon.co/ideas/the-earths-carrying-capacity-for-human-life-is-not-fixed

 

Neuman, S (2021). Nations With 85% of Earth's Forests Pledge to Reverse Deforestation. NPR, Nov. 2. https://www.npr.org/2021/11/02/1051390697/deforestation-forest-deal-cop25-amazon-brazil

 

Oki, T and Kanae, S (2015). Global Hydrological Cycles and World Water Resources. Science, 313: 1068-1072. http://climate.envsci.rutgers.edu/pdf/OkiKanaeGlobalHydrology1068.pdf

 

The Overpopulation Project (2019). https://overpopulation-project.com/scientific-articles-papers/  [Links to many resources]

 

Parker, B (2017). Climate Change Observations. Climate Change Data Center, Aug. 23. http://ccdatacenter.org/documents/ClimateChangeObservations.pdf  [A 15 point, well-cited breakdown of why “we are likely on a path for an eventual temperature increase of at least 4°C.”]

 

Paulson, S (2017). Degrowth: Culture, Power and Change. Journal of Political Ecology, 24. https://journals.uair.arizona.edu/index.php/JPE/article/view/20882

 

Pengra, B (2012). One Planet, How Many People? A Review of Earth’s Carrying Capacity. UNEP Global Environmental Alert Service. https://na.unep.net/geas/archive/pdfs/geas_jun_12_carrying_capacity.pdf

 

Peters, C Picardy, J, Darrouzet-Nardi, A, Wilkins, J, Griffin, T and Fick G (2016). Carrying Capacity of U.S. Agricultural Land: Ten Diet Scenarios. Elementa: Science of the Anthropocene, 4. https://doi.org/10.12952/journal.elementa.000116

 

Pimentel, D, Whitecraft, M, Scott, Z, Zhao, L, Satkiewicz, P, Scott, T, Phillips, J, Szimak, D, Singh, G, Gonzalez, D and Moe, T (2010). Will Limited Land, Water, and Energy Control Human Population Numbers in the Future? Human Ecology, 38(5). https://www.researchgate.net/publication/225689329_Will_Limited_Land_Water_and_Energy_Control_Human_Population_Numbers_in_the_Future

 

Pingali, P (2012). Green Revolution: Impacts, Limits, and the Path Ahead. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, 109(31). https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.0912953109

 

Pirgmaier, E and Hinterberger, F (2011). What Kind of Growth is Sustainable? A Presentation of Arguments. Sustainable Europe Research Institute. https://www.academia.edu/12141419/What_kind_of_growth_is_sustainable_A_presentation_of_arguments

 

Prins, A and Kok, M (2011). Global Environmental Perspectives on Scarcity within the Water – Energy – Land Nexus. Background paper to the European Report on Development 2011/2012: Confronting Scarcity: Managing Water, Energy and Land for Inclusive and Sustainable Growth. https://ec.europa.eu/europeaid/erd-background-paper-global-environmental-perspectives-scarcity-water-energy-land-nexus_en

 

Read, D and LeBlanc, S (2003). Population Growth, Carrying Capacity, and Conflict. Current Anthropology, 44(1). https://www.journals.uchicago.edu/doi/full/10.1086/344616

 

Richard, G (2002). Human Carrying Capacity of Earth. Institute for Life Cycle Assessment. pdf

 

Rios, I (2018). What Factors Determine the Carrying Capacity of an Ecosystem? Population Education, Nov. 20. https://populationeducation.org/what-factors-determine-the-carrying-capacity-of-an-ecosystem/

 

Ritchie, H (2017). How Long Before We Run Out of Fossil Fuels? Our World in Data. https://ourworldindata.org/how-long-before-we-run-out-of-fossil-fuels

 

Rodell, M, Famiglietti, J, Wiese, D, Reager, J, Beaudoing, H, Landerer, F and Lo, M (2018). Emerging Trends in Global Freshwater Availability. Nature, 557. https://www.nature.com/articles/s41586-018-0123-1

 

Rosen, J (2021). Humanity is Flushing Away One of Life’s Essential Elements: We Broke Phosphorus. The Atlantic, Feb. 8. https://www.theatlantic.com/science/archive/2021/02/phosphorus-pollution-fertilizer/617937/

 

Salimath, M and Chandna, V (2018). Sustainable Consumption and Growth: Examining Complementary Perspectives. Management Decision, 59(6).  https://www.emerald.com/insight/content/doi/10.1108/MD-12-2016-0934/full/html

 

Schlosser, C, Strzepek, K, Gao, X, Fant, C, Blanc, E, Paltsev, S, Jacoby, H, Reilly, J and Gueneau, A (2014). The Future of Global Water Stress: An Integrated Assessment. Earth’s Future, 2(8). https://doi.org/10.1002/2014EF000238

 

Sekulova, F, Kallis, G and Scneider, F (2017). Climate Change, Happiness and Income from a Degrowth Perspective, in Victor, P and Dolter, B (eds.) Handbook on Growth and Sustainability. Edward Elger Publishing. https://econpapers.repec.org/bookchap/elgeebook/15720.htm or https://www.academia.edu/34567679/Climate_change_happiness_and_income_from_a_degrowth_perspective

 

Sengupta, S and Cai, W (2019). A Quarter of Humanity Faces Looming Water Crises. New York Times, Aug. 6. https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2019/08/06/climate/world-water-stress.html [good graphics]

 

Steward, DR, Bruss, PJ, Yang, X, Staggenborg, SA, Welch, SM, and Apley, MD (2013). Tapping Unsustainable Groundwater Stores for Agricultural Production in the High Plains Aquifer of Kansas, Projections to 2110. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, 110(37): E3477-E3486. http://www.pnas.org/content/110/37/E3477.full.pdf

 

Suweis, S, Rinaldo, A, Maritan, A and D’Odorico, P (2013a). Water-controlled Wealth of Nations. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, 110(11). https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.1222452110

 

Suweis, S, Rinaldo, A, Maritan, A and D’Odorico, P (2013b). Using Water Footprints to Estimate Nations’ Carrying Capacities and Demographic Sustainability. Global Water Forum, April 9. https://globalwaterforum.org/2013/04/09/using-water-footprints-to-estimate-nations-carrying-capacities-and-demographic-sustainability-2/ [Short summary of their PNAS paper.]

 

Tangermann, V (2020). Researchers Say Earth Is Headed for “Jaw-Dropping” Population Decline. Futurism, July, 15. https://futurism.com/global-birth-rates-falling-precipitiously

 

Thaler, E, Larsen, I and Yu, Q (2021). The Extent of Soil Loss Across the US Corn Belt. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, 118(8). https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.1922375118

 

Timmerman, P (2017). Growth, Development and Learning to Live in a Finite World, in Victor, P and Dolter, B (eds.) Handbook on Growth and Sustainability. Edward Elger Publishing. https://www.elgaronline.com/view/edcoll/9781783473557/9781783473557.00008.xml

 

Tuninetti, M, Tamea, S, and Dalin C (2019). Water Debt Indicator Reveals Where Agricultural Water Use Exceeds Sustainable Levels. Water Resources Research, 55(3). https://agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/full/10.1029/2018WR023146

 

Turner, G (2014). Is Global Collapse Imminent? An Updated Comparison of the Limits to Growth with Historical Data. Melbourne Sustainable Society Institute. Research Paper No. 4. https://sustainable.unimelb.edu.au/__data/assets/pdf_file/0005/2763500/MSSI-ResearchPaper-4_Turner_2014.pdf

 

US Geological Survey (2014). Groundwater Depletion. http://water.usgs.gov/edu/gwdepletion.html

 

Venditti, B (2021). Visualizing the Accumulation of Human-Made Mass on Earth. Visual Capitalist, Nov. 29. https://www.visualcapitalist.com/visualizing-the-accumulation-of-human-made-mass-on-earth/

 

Vorosmarty, C, McIntyre, P, Gessner, M, Dudgeon, D, Prusevich, A, Green, P, Glidden, S, Bunn, S, Sullivan, C, Reidy, C, Liermann, C, and Davies, P (2010). Global Threats to Human Water Security and River Biodiversity.  Nature, 467: 555-561. http://www.nature.com/nature/journal/v467/n7315/full/nature09440.html

 

Wackernagel, M, Hanscom, L, Jayasinghe, P, Lin, D, Murthy, A, Neill, E and Raven, P (2021). The Importance of Resource Security for Poverty Eradication. Nature Sustainability, 2021. https://www.nature.com/articles/s41893-021-00708-4

 

Washington, H, Lowe, I and Kopnina, H (2020). Why Do Society and Academia Ignore the ‘Scientists Warning to Humanity’ on Population? Journal of Futures Studies, 25(1). https://jfsdigital.org/why-do-society-and-academia-ignore-the-scientists-warning-to-humanity-on-population/  [Wrestles with carrying capacity of humans.]

 

Washington, H and Kopnina, H (2018). The Insanity of Endless Growth. The Ecological Citizen, 2(1). https://www.ecologicalcitizen.net/pdfs/v02n1-10.pdf

 

Weidmann, T, Lenzen, M, KeyBer, L and Steinberg, J (2020). Scientists’ Warning on Affluence. Nature Communications, 11(3107). https://www.nature.com/articles/s41467-020-16941-y

 

The World Counts (2022a). Planet Earth. https://www.theworldcounts.com/challenges/planet-earth [Shows continuous changes in values of several metrics.]

 

The World Counts (2022b). Climate Change. https://www.theworldcounts.com/challenges/climate-change [Shows continuous changes in values of several metrics.]

 

The World Counts (2022c). Toxic Exposures. https://www.theworldcounts.com/challenges/toxic-exposures [Shows continuous changes in values of several metrics.]

 

The World Counts (2022d). Number of Consumers. https://www.theworldcounts.com/challenges/planet-earth/state-of-the-planet/number-of-consumers/story

 

The World Counts (2022e). Extinction of Species. https://www.theworldcounts.com/challenges/extinction [Shows continuous changes in values of several metrics.]

 

 

B.   Carbon, Water, and Ecological Footprint Analyses

 

Aldaya, MM and Hoekstra, AY (2010). The Water Needed for Italians to Eat Pasta and Pizza. Agricultural Systems, 103: 351–360. http://www.waterfootprint.org/Reports/Report36-WaterFootprint-Pasta-Pizza.pdf [Students really respond to this article.]

 

Alexander, S and Rutherford, J (2019). A Critique of Techno-optimism: Efficiency Without Sufficiency is Lost, in Routledge Handbook of Global Sustainability Governance. Routledge. http://samuelalexander.info/wp-content/uploads/2017/02/A-Critique-of-Techno-Optimism-Samuel-Alexander.pdf

 

Aronoff, K (2018). Your Carbon Footprint Doesn’t Matter (Unless You’re Michael Bloomberg). In These Times, Jan. 30. https://inthesetimes.com/article/up-for-debate-does-your-carbon-footprint-matter

 

Asici, A and Acar, S (2016). Does Income Growth Relocate Ecological Footprint? Ecological Indicators, 61(2). https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecolind.2015.10.022

 

Beitsch, R (2020). USDA Hopes to Cut Farms' Environmental Footprint in Half by 2050. The Hill, Feb. 20. https://thehill.com/policy/energy-environment/483822-usda-hopes-to-cut-farms-environmental-footprint-in-half-by-2050

 

Belcher, O, Bigger, P, Niemark, B and Kennelly, C (2020). Hidden Carbon Costs of the “Everywhere War”: Logistics, Geopolitical Ecology, and the Carbon Boot-print of the US Military. Transactions of the Institute of British Geographers, 45(1). https://doi.org/10.1111/tran.12319

 

Bellamy, D (2020). Humans Have Now Consumed the Earth's Natural Resources for the Year. Euronews, Aug. 22. https://www.euronews.com/2020/08/22/humans-have-now-consumed-the-earth-s-natural-resources-for-the-year

 

Birney, C, Franklin, K, Davidson, T and Webber, M (2017). An Assessment of Individual Foodprints Attributed to Diets and Food Waste in the United States. Environmental Research Letters, 12. https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/aa8494

 

Bottollier-Depois, A (2021). Carbon Pawprint: Is Man's Best Friend the Planet's Enemy? Phys.org, March 20. https://phys.org/news/2021-03-carbon-pawprint-friend-planet-enemy.amp

 

Bradshaw, C, Giam, X and Sodhi, N (2010). Evaluating the Relative Environmental Impact of Countries. PLoS ONE, 5(5). https://10.1371/journal.pone.0010440

 

Brauman, K, Richter, B, Postel, S, Malsy, M and Florke, M (2016). Water Depletion: An Improved Metric for Incorporating Seasonal and Dry-year Water Scarcity into Water Risk Assessments. Elementa: Science of the Anthropocene, 4. https://doi.org/10.12952/journal.elementa.000083

 

Breu, T, Lannen, A and Tejada, L (2016). Shifting Water Demands Onto the Vulnerable? Water Impacts of Agricultural Trade and Investment. CDE Policy Brief 10. https://issuu.com/cde.unibe.ch/docs/10_cde_pb_water_trade_invest_en [Examines virtual water trade and water footprints.]

 

Bringezu, S (2015). Possible Target Corridor for Sustainable Use of Global Material Resources. Resources, 4. https://www.mdpi.com/2079-9276/4/1/25

 

Brown, A and Matlock, M (2011). A Review of Water Scarcity Indices and Methodologies. The Sustainability Consortium, White Paper 106. https://sustainabilityconsortium.org/download/a-review-of-water-scarcity-indices-and-methodologies/

 

C2ES – Center for Climate and Energy Solutions (2021). Climate Solutions: Reducing Your Carbon Footprint. https://www.c2es.org/category/climate-solutions/reducing-your-carbon-footprint/ [Collection of relevant articles.]

 

Carneiro Freire, S, Corban, C, Ehrlich, D, Florczyk, A, Kemper, T, Maffenini, L, Melchiorri, M, Pesaresi, M, Schiavina, M and Tommasi, P (2019). Atlas of the Human Planet 2019. Publications Office of the European Union. https://op.europa.eu/en/publication-detail/-/publication/42c8f707-49bb-11ea-8aa5-01aa75ed71a1/language-en [Presents key human settlements and urbanisation statistics for 239 countries.]

 

Carr, J, D’Odorico, P, Laio, F, and Ridolfi, L (2013). Recent History and Geography of Virtual Water Trade. PLoS ONE, 8(2): e55825. https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0055825

 

Cascio, J (2007). The Cheeseburger Footprint. Open the Future.  http://openthefuture.com/cheeseburger_CF.html  + Six Degrees (2009). Cheeseburger Footprint video

 

Center for Sustainable Systems (2021a). Food Footprints. University of Michigan. https://css.umich.edu/factsheets/food-footprints [Web page including several footprint analyses for specific foods.]

 

Center for Sustainable Systems (2021b). Carbon Footprint Factsheet. University of Michigan. https://css.umich.edu/factsheets/carbon-footprint-factsheet [For the U.S.]

 

Chapagain, AG and Hoekstra, AY (2008). The Global Component of Freshwater Demand and Supply: An Assessment of Virtual Water Flows Between Nations as a Result of Trade in Agricultural and Industrial Products. Water International, 33(1): 19–32. http://www.waterfootprint.org/Reports/ChapagainHoekstra-2008-GlobalVirtualWaterFlows.pdf

 

Chapagain, AK, Hoekstra, AY and Mekonnen, M (2007). Your Water Footprint - Extended Calculator. University of Twente. http://waterfootprint.org/en/resources/interactive-tools/personal-water-footprint-calculator/personal-calculator-extended/

 

Chapagain, AG, Hoekstra, AY and Savenije, HHG (2006). Water Saving Through International Trade in Agricultural Products. Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 10: 455–468. http://www.waterfootprint.org/Reports/Chapagain_et_al_2006.pdf

 

Chapman, M, LaValle, A, Furey, G and Chan, K (2017). Sustainability Beyond City Limits: Can “Greener” Beef Lighten a City’s Ecological Footprint? Sustainability Science, 12. https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s11625-017-0423-7

 

Clothier, B (2010). Green, Blue and Grey Waters: Minimising the Footprint Using Soil Physics. 19th World Congress of Soil Science, Soil Solutions for a Changing World. https://www.iuss.org/19th%20WCSS/Symposium/pdf/0983.pdf

 

The Conscious Club (2019). The Ecological Footprint Bible. https://www.theconsciouschallenge.org/ecologicalfootprintbible

 

Covey, K et al., (2021). Carbon and Beyond: The Biogeochemistry of Climate in a Rapidly Changing Amazon. Frontiers in Forests and Global Change, 4. https://doi.org/10.3389/ffgc.2021.618401

 

Cranston, G and Hammond, G (2012). Carbon Footprints in a Bipolar, Climate-constrained World. Ecological Indicators, 16. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecolind.2011.03.011

 

Damkjaer, S and Taylor, R (2016). The Measurement of Water Scarcity: Defining a Meaningful Indicator. Ambio, 46. https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs13280-017-0912-z

 

Deshmukh, A (2021). Visualizing Global Per Capita CO2 Emissions. Visual Capitalist, Dec. 1. https://www.visualcapitalist.com/visualizing-global-per-capita-co2-emissions/

 

Destek, M and Sarkodie, S (2019). Investigation of Environmental Kuznets Curve for Ecological Footprint: The Role of Energy and Financial Development. Science of The Total Environment, 650(2). https://doi.org/10.1016/j.scitotenv.2018.10.017

 

Devineni, N, Lall, U, Etienne, E, Shi, D and Xi, C (2015). America’s Water Risk: Current Demand and Climate Variability. Geophysical Research Letters, 42. https://doi.org/10.1002/2015GL063487

 

Dickin, S (2013). Refining the Water Footprint Concept to Account for Non-renewable Water Resources. Global Water Forum, Jan. 20. https://globalwaterforum.org/2013/01/20/refining-the-water-footprint-concept-to-account-for-non-renewable-water-resources/ [Taking into account groundwater drawdown. Short.]

 

Dimitropoulos, S (2020). Rethinking the Concept of Virtual Water in the Global Trade Market. Eos, Dec. 17. https://eos.org/articles/rethinking-the-concept-of-virtual-water-in-the-global-trade-market

 

Ewing, B, Reed, A, Galli, A, Kitzes, J and M. Wackernagel. 2010. Calculation Methodology for the National Footprint Accounts, 2010 Edition. Oakland: Global Footprint Network. https://www.footprintnetwork.org/content/images/uploads/National_Footprint_Accounts_Method_Paper_2010.pdf

 

Fanning, A, O’Neill, D, Hickel, J and Roux, N (2021). The Social Shortfall and Ecological Overshoot of Nations. Nature Sustainability, . https://www.nature.com/articles/s41893-021-00799-zc

 

Flachsbarth, I, Willaarts, B, Xie, H, Pitois, G, Mueller, N, Ringler, C, Garrido, A (2015). The Role of Latin America’s Land and Water Resources for Global Food Security: Environmental Trade-Offs of Future Food Production Pathways. PLoS One, 10(1). https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0116733

 

Forouzani, M and Karami, E (2011). Agricultural Water Poverty Index and Sustainability. Agronomy for Sustainable Development, 31(2). https://link.springer.com/article/10.1051%2Fagro%2F2010026

 

Freshwater Health Index (2020). http://www.freshwaterhealthindex.org/

 

Gain, A, Giupponi, C and Wada, Y (2016). Measuring Global Water Security Towards Sustainable Development Goals. Environmental Research Letters, 11. https://iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1088/1748-9326/11/12/124015

 

Galli, A, Weidmann, T, Ercin, E, Knoblauch, D, Ewing, B and Giljum, S (2012). Integrating Ecological, Carbon and Water Footprint Into a “Footprint Family” of Indicators: Definition and Role in Tracking Human Pressure on the Planet. Ecological Indicators, 16. https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1470160X11001889

 

Gleeson, T, Wada, Y, Bierkens, M, and van Beek, L (2012). Water Balance of Global Aquifers Revealed by Groundwater Footprint. Nature, 488. https://doi.org/10.1038/nature11295

 

Global Footprint Network (2019). Footprint Calculator. http://www.footprintnetwork.org/en/index.php/GFN/page/calculators/

 

Goldstein, A, Noon, M, Ledezma, J, Roehrdanz, P, Raghav, S, McGreevey, M, Stone, C, Shrestha, S, Golden Kroner, R, Hole, D and Turner, W (2021). Irrecoverable Carbon: The Places We Can’t Afford to Lose. Conservation International. https://www.conservation.org/projects/irrecoverable-carbon

 

Goodall, C (2017). How to Reduce your Carbon Footprint.  The Guardian, Jan. 19. https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2017/jan/19/how-to-reduce-carbon-footprint

 

Harris, L (2021). A Guide to Your Digital Carbon Footprint – and How to Lower It. EcoWatch, Nov. 26. https://www.ecowatch.com/digital-carbon-footprint-2655797250.html

 

Harris, N et al., (2021). Global Maps of Twenty-first Century Forest Carbon Fluxes. Nature Climate Change, 11. https://www.nature.com/articles/s41558-020-00976-6

 

Hoekstra, AY (2012). The Hidden Water Resource Use Behind Meat and Dairy. Animal Frontiers, 2(2): 3-8. http://www.waterfootprint.org/Reports/Hoekstra-2012-Water-Meat-Dairy.pdf

 

Hoekstra, AY and Chapagain, AK (2007). Water Footprint of Nations: Water Use by People as a Function of their Consumption Pattern. Water Resource Management, 21: 35-48. http://www.waterfootprint.org/Reports/Hoekstra_and_Chapagain_2006.pdf

 

Hoekstra, A, Mekonnen, M, Chapagain, A, Mathews, R, and Richter, B (2012). Global Monthly Water Scarcity: Blue Water Footprints Versus Blue Water Availability. PLoS One, 7(2). https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0032688

 

HowGood (2022). The World’s Largest Sustainability Database. https://howgood.com/

 

International Resource Panel (2018). Resource Efficiency for Sustainable Development. United Nations Environment Programme. https://www.resourcepanel.org/reports/resource-efficiency-sustainable-development

 

International Resource Panel (2019). Global Resources Outlook. United Nations Environment Programme. https://www.resourcepanel.org/reports/global-resources-outlook

 

Ivanova, I (2020). Global Rich Must Cut their Carbon Footprint 97% to Stave Off Climate Change, UN Says. CBS News, Dec. 16. https://www.cbsnews.com/amp/news/carbon-footprint-wealthy-people-97-percent-cut-un/

 

Jung, M et al., (2021). Areas of Global Importance for Conserving Terrestrial Biodiversity, Carbon and Water. Nature Ecology & Evolution, . https://www.nature.com/articles/s41559-021-01528-7

 

Kelly, R, Burns, S and Wackernagel, M (2015). State of the States: A New Perspective on the Wealth of Our Nation. Global Footprint Network. https://www.footprintnetwork.org/content/images/article_uploads/USAFootprintReport_final_lores.pdf  [An impressive slide show]

 

Khan, S and Hanjra, M (2009). Footprints of Water and Energy Inputs in Food Production – Global Perspectives. Food Policy, 34(2). https://doi.org/10.1016/j.foodpol.2008.09.001

 

Khanna, P (2016). We Should Be Measuring the Footprint of Supply Chains, Not Nations. Anthropocene, 1. https://www.anthropocenemagazine.org/2016/10/we-should-be-measuring-the-footprint-of-supply-chains/ [Very short, but an important insight/consideration.]

 

Liu, J, Mooney, J, Hull, B, Davis, S, Gaskell, J, Hertel, T, Lubchenco, J, Seto, K, Gleick, P, Kremen, C and Li, S (2015). Systems Integration for Global Sustainability. Science, 347(6225). https://science.sciencemag.org/content/347/6225/1258832

 

Liu, Z et al., (2019). Can Virtual Water Trade Save Water Resources? Water Research, 163. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.watres.2019.07.015

 

Mace, G (2012). The Limits to Sustainability Science: Ecological Constraints or Endless Innovation? PLoS Biology, 10(6): https://journals.plos.org/plosbiology/article?id=10.1371/journal.pbio.1001343

 

MacMillan, A and Drew, J (2020). Climate Explained: How the Climate Impact of Beef Compares with Plant-based Alternatives. The Conversation, May 5. https://theconversation.com/climate-explained-how-the-climate-impact-of-beef-compares-with-plant-based-alternatives-137787

 

Manning, A (2021). Insatiable Demand for Cannabis has Created a Giant Carbon Footprint. Colorado State University. https://engr.source.colostate.edu/insatiable-demand-for-cannabis-has-created-a-giant-carbon-footprint/

 

Masud, M, Wada, Y, Gross, G, and Faramarzi, M (2019). Global Implications of Regional Grain Production Through Virtual Water Trade. Science of the Total Environment, 659. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.scitotenv.2018.12.392

 

McGowan, P (2016). Mapping the Terrestrial Human Footprint. Nature, 537. https://www.nature.com/articles/537172a

 

Mekonnen, M (2012). The Water Footprint of Humanity. Global Water Forum, April 16. https://globalwaterforum.org/2012/04/16/the-water-footprint-of-humanity/ [A short overview.]

 

Meyer, K and Newman, P (2018). The Planetary Accounting Framework: A Novel, Quota-based Approach to Understanding the Impacts of Any Scale of Human Activity in the Context of the Planetary Boundaries. Sustainable Earth, 1(4). https://sustainableearth.biomedcentral.com/articles/10.1186/s42055-018-0004-3

 

Milman, O (2021). Here’s Some Depressing Math: 3 Americans Create Enough Carbon Emissions to Kill 1 Person. Mother Jones, July 31. https://www.motherjones.com/environment/2021/07/heres-some-depressing-math-3-americans-create-enough-carbon-emissions-to-kill-1-person/

 

Moore, D, Cranston, G, Reed, A and Galli, A (2012). Projecting Future Human Demand on the Earth's Regenerative Capacity. Ecological Indicators, 16. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecolind.2011.03.013

 

Morrison, R (2020). Meat of the Matter: New Online Tool that Calculates How our Eating Habits Impact the Environment Reveals that if Everyone had the Same Diet as the US We'd Need Another PLANET. Daily Mail, Jan. 20. https://www.dailymail.co.uk/sciencetech/article-7907299/New-online-tool-calculates-impact-eating-habits-environment.html

 

Mubako, S, Lahiri, S and Lant, C (2013). Input–output Analysis of Virtual Water Transfers: Case Study of California and Illinois. Ecological Economics, 93. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecolecon.2013.06.005

 

Nassen, J, Andersson, D, Larsson, J and Holmberg, J (2014). Explaining the Variation in Greenhouse Gas Emissions Between Households: Socioeconomic, Motivational, and Physical Factors. Journal of Industrial Ecology, 19(3). https://doi.org/10.1111/jiec.12168

 

Natali, S et al., (2021). Permafrost Carbon Feedbacks Threaten Global Climate Goals. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, 118(32). https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.2100163118

 

The Next System Project (2019). The Index of Systemic Trends. https://thenextsystem.org/learn/stories/index-systemic-trends

 

O’Dorico, P et al., (2019). Global Virtual Water Trade and the Hydrological Cycle: Patterns, Drivers, and Socio-environmental Impacts. Environmental Research Letters, 14(5). https://iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1088/1748-9326/ab05f4

 

Parish, E, Kodra, E, Steinhaeuser, Kand Ganguly, A (2012). Estimating Future Global per Capita Water Availability Based on Changes in Climate and Population. Computers & Geosciences, 42. https://www-users.cs.umn.edu/~ksteinha/papers/CAGEO12.pdf

 

Paterson, W, Rushforth, R, Ruddell, B, Konar, M, Ahams, I, Grionas, J, Mijic, A and Mejia, A (2015). Water Footprint of Cities: A Review and Suggestions for Future Research. Sustainability, 7. https://www.mdpi.com/2071-1050/7/7/8461/htm 

 

Rees, W (2000). Our Ecological Footprint: When Consumption Does Violence. Environment Canada Policy Research Seminar Series. pdf

 

Schendler, A (2021). Worrying About Your Carbon Footprint Is Exactly What Big Oil Wants You to Do. The New York Times, Aug. 31. https://www.nytimes.com/2021/08/31/opinion/climate-change-carbon-neutral.html

 

Soto-Navarro, C et al., (2020). Mapping Co-benefits for Carbon Storage and Biodiversity to Inform Conservation Policy and Action. Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society B, 37(1794). https://doi.org/10.1098/rstb.2019.0128

 

Sustainable Earth (2020). A New Planetary Accounting Framework. https://sustainableearth.biomedcentral.com/  [Short video explaining how planetary accounting scales down the planetary boundary concepts to quotas that can be used by governments and individuals to get within planetary boundaries.]

 

Sutton, P, Anderson, S, Tuttle, B and Morse, L (2012). The Real Wealth of Nations: Mapping and Monetizing the Human Ecological Footprint. Ecological Indicators, 16. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecolind.2011.03.008

 

Suweis, S, Rinaldo, A, Maritan, A and D’Odorico, P (2013a). Water-controlled Wealth of Nations. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, 110(11). https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.1222452110

 

Suweis, S, Rinaldo, A, Maritan, A and D’Odorico, P (2013b). Using Water Footprints to Estimate Nations’ Carrying Capacities and Demographic Sustainability. Global Water Forum, April 9. https://globalwaterforum.org/2013/04/09/using-water-footprints-to-estimate-nations-carrying-capacities-and-demographic-sustainability-2/ [Short summary of their PNAS paper.]

 

Tamea, S, Allamano, P, Carr, J, Claps, P, Laio, F and Ridolfi, L (2013). Local and Global Perspectives on the Virtual Water Trade. Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, 17. http://www.hydrol-earth-syst-sci.net/17/1205/2013

 

Tatum, M (2020). Will Carbon Labels on Our Food Turn us Into Climatarians? Discover Magazine, Nov. 4. https://www.discovermagazine.com/environment/will-carbon-labels-on-our-food-turn-us-into-climatarians

 

Tuninetti, M, Tamea, S, and Dalin C (2019). Water Debt Indicator Reveals Where Agricultural Water Use Exceeds Sustainable Levels. Water Resources Research, 55(3). https://agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/full/10.1029/2018WR023146

 

Uddin, G, Salahuddin, M, Alam, K and Gow, J (2017). Ecological Footprint and Real Income: Panel Data Evidence from the 27 Highest Emitting Countries. Ecological Indicators, 77. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecolind.2017.01.003

 

United Nations Environment Programme (2015). Options for Decoupling Economic Growth from Water Use and Water Pollution. Report of the International Resource Panel Working Group on Sustainable Water Management. https://www.resourcepanel.org/reports/options-decoupling-economic-growth-water-use-and-water-pollution

 

Vander Velde, B (2016). What on Earth is ‘Natural Capital’? Conservation International. https://www.conservation.org/blog/what-on-earth-is-natural-capital

 

Venter, O et al., (2016). Sixteen Years of Change in the Global Terrestrial Human Footprint and Implications for Biodiversity Conservation. Nature Communications, 7. https://www.nature.com/articles/ncomms12558

 

Vollmer, D, Regan, H and Andelman, S (2016). Assessing the Sustainability of Freshwater Ecosystems: A Critical Review of Composite Indicators. Ambio, 45(7). https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC5055483/

 

Water Footprint Network (2016). National Water Footprint. http://waterfootprint.org/en/water-footprint/national-water-footprint/

 

Weidmann, T and Barret, J (2010). A Review of the Ecological Footprint Indicator — Perceptions and Methods. Sustainability, 2. https://www.mdpi.com/2071-1050/2/6/1645/htm

 

Weidmann, T and Lenzen, M (2018). Environmental and Social Footprints of International Trade. Nature Geoscience, 11. https://www.nature.com/articles/s41561-018-0113-9

 

Weidmann, T, Schandl, H, Lenzen,M,  Moran, D, Suh, S, West, J and Kanemoto, K (2015). The Material Footprint of Nations. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, 112(20). https://www.pnas.org/content/112/20/6271.full

 

White, C (2012). Understanding Water Scarcity: Definitions and Measurements. Global Water Forum, May 7. http://globalwaterforum.org/2012/05/07/understanding-water-scarcity-definitions-and-measurements/ [A critique of different measures.]

 

Wilk, R and Barros, B (2021). Private Planes, Mansions and Superyachts: What Gives Billionaires Like Musk and Abramovich Such a Massive Carbon Footprint. The Conversation, Feb. 16. https://theconversation.com/private-planes-mansions-and-superyachts-what-gives-billionaires-like-musk-and-abramovich-such-a-massive-carbon-footprint-152514

 

World Water Council (2004). E-Conference Synthesis: Virtual Water Trade - Conscious Choices. https://issuu.com/christinadianparmionova/docs/e-conference_synthesis_-virtual_water_trade_-_cons

 

Xu, X et al., (2021). Global Greenhouse Gas Emissions from Animal-based Foods are Twice Those of Plant-based Foods. Nature Food, . https://www.nature.com/articles/s43016-021-00358-x

 

York, R, Rosa, E and Dietz, T (2003). Footprints On the Earth: The Environmental Consequences of ModernityAmerican Sociological Review, 68(2), 279–300. https://doi.org/10.2307/1519769

 

Zhao, D, Hubacek, K, Feng, K, Sun L and Liu, J (2019). Explaining Virtual Water Trade: A Spatial-Temporal Analysis of the Comparative Advantage of Land, Labor and Water in China. Water Research, 153. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.watres.2019.01.025

 

 

C.   Beware the State Change - Planetary Boundaries, Thresholds, and Tipping Points (more in Sections I, II and VI)

 

Aengenheyster, M, Feng, Q, van der Ploeg, F and Dijkstra, H (2018). The Point of No Return for Climate Action: Effects of Climate Uncertainty and Risk Tolerance.  Earth System Dynamics, 9: 1085–1095. https://www.earth-syst-dynam.net/9/1085/2018/

 

Andrews, E (2019). Will I be Able to Tell When We’ve Reached a Climate Tipping Point? Grist, Aug. 15. https://grist.org/article/will-i-be-able-to-tell-when-weve-reached-a-climate-tipping-point/

 

Angus, I (2019). Disrupting the Nitrogen Cycle: Articles on a Major Metabolic Rift. Climate & Capitalism, Oct. 25. https://climateandcapitalism.com/2019/10/25/disrupting-the-nitrogen-cycle-articles-on-a-major-metabolic-rift/

 

Bardi, U (2017). Collapse Is Not a Bug, It Is a Feature. Institute Momentum, Dec. 5. https://www.institutmomentum.org/collapse-is-not-a-bug-it-is-a-feature/ [Considering collapse from a systems perspective]

 

Barnosky, et al., (2012). Approaching a State Shift in Earth’s Biosphere. Nature, 486: 52-58.  http://www.nature.com/nature/journal/v486/n7401/full/nature11018.html

 

Barnosky, A et al., (2014). Introducing the Scientific Consensus on Maintaining Humanity’s Life Support Systems in the 21st Century: Information for Policy Makers. The Anthropocene Review, 1(1). https://doi.org/10.1177/2053019613516290 or https://www.researchgate.net/publication/261168408_Introducing_the_Scientific_Consensus_on_Maintaining_Humanity's_Life_Support_Systems_in_the_21st_Century_Information_for_Policy_Makers

 

Barriston, S et al., (2016). Complexity Theory and Financial Regulation. Science, 351(6275). https://doi.org/10.1126/science.aad0299

 

Binningsbo, H, Soysa, I and Gleditsch, N (2006). Green Giant or Straw Man? Environmental Pressure and Civil Conflict, 1961–99. Paper presented to the 47th Annual Convention of the International Studies Association, San Diego, CA. https://www.researchgate.net/publication/227006651_Green_giant_or_straw_man_Environmental_pressure_and_civil_conflict_1961-99

 

Bodirsky, B et al., (2014). Reactive Nitrogen Requirements to Feed the World in 2050 and Potential to Mitigate Nitrogen Pollution. Nature Communications, 5(3858). https://www.nature.com/articles/ncomms4858 

 

Bogardi, J, Fekete, B and Vorosmarty, C (2013). Planetary Boundaries Revisited: A View Through the ‘Water Lens’. Current Opinion in Environmental Sustainability, 5(6). https://doi.org/10.1016/j.cosust.2013.10.006

 

Bonneuil, C and Fressoz, J (2016). The Shock of the Anthropocene: The Earth, History and Us. Verso, London. https://www.ias.edu/sites/default/files/sss/pdfs/Crisis-and-Critique-2018-19/bonneuil_anthropocene.pdf

 

Bowles, N, Alexander, S and Hadjikakou, M (2019). The Livestock Sector and Planetary Boundaries: A ‘Limits to Growth’ Perspective with Dietary Implications. Ecological Economics, 160. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecolecon.2019.01.033

 

Breeze, N (2019). It’s Nonlinearity - Stupid! Ecologist, Jan. 3. https://theecologist.org/2019/jan/03/its-nonlinearity-stupid

 

Brown, D (2018). New Evidence That Climate Change Poses a Much Greater Threat to Humanity Than Recently Understood Because the IPCC has been Systematically Underestimating Climate Change Risks: An Ethical Analysis. Ethics and Climate, Sept. 21. https://ethicsandclimate.org/2018/09/21/new-evidence-that-climate-change-poses-a-much-greater-threat-to-humanity-than-recently-understood-because-the-intergovernmental-panel-on-climate-change-has-been-systematically-underestimating-climate/

 

Butler, C (2017). Limits to Growth, Planetary Boundaries, and Planetary Health. Current Opinion in Environmental Sustainability, 25: 59-65. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.cosust.2017.08.002

 

Carbon Brief (2014). Two Degrees: The History of Climate Changes ‘Speed Limit. Dec. 8. https://www.carbonbrief.org/two-degrees-the-history-of-climate-changes-speed-limit

 

Christensen, J. and Olhoff, A. (2019). Lessons from a Decade of Emissions Gap Assessments. United Nations Environment Programme. https://wedocs.unep.org/bitstream/handle/20.500.11822/30022/EGR10.pdf?sequence=1&isAllowed=y

 

Dakos, V, Matthews, B, Hendry, A, Levine, J, Loeuille, N, Norberg, J, Nosil, P, Scheffer, M and De Meester, L (2019). Ecosystem Tipping Points in an Evolving World. Nature Ecology & Evolution, 3. https://www.nature.com/articles/s41559-019-0797-2

 

Davis, K, Dobrowski, S, Higuera, P, Holden, Z, Veblen, T, Rother, M, Parks, S, Sala, A and Maneta, M (2019). Wildfires and Climate Change Push Low-elevation Forests Across a Critical Climate Threshold for Tree Regeneration. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, 116(110). https://www.pnas.org/content/early/2019/03/05/1815107116

 

Dearing, J, Cooper, G and Willcock, S (2020). Huge Ecosystems Could Collapse in Less than 50 years – New Study. Inverse, March 17. https://apple.news/AkMe7MGR0R5GSc33BqrAPRA

 

Devlin, C and Hendrix, C (2014). Trends and Triggers Redux: Climate Change, Rainfall, and Interstate Conflict. Political Geography, 43. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.polgeo.2014.07.001

 

Dietz, S, Rising, J, Stoerk, T and Wagner, G (2021). Economic Impacts of Tipping Points in the Climate System. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, 118(34). https://www.pnas.org/content/118/34/e2103081118

 

Drijfhout, S (2015). What Climate ‘Tipping Points’ Are – And How they Could Suddenly Change our Planet. The Conversation, Dec. 9. https://theconversation.com/what-climate-tipping-points-are-and-how-they-could-suddenly-change-our-planet-49405 

 

Drijfhout, S, Bathiany, S, Beaulieu, C, Brovkin, V, Claussen, M, Huntingford, C, Scheffer, M, Sgubin, G and Swingedouw, D (2015). Catalogue of Abrupt Shifts in Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change Climate Models. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, 112(43). https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.1511451112

 

Dudney, J and Suding, K (2020). The Elusive Search for Tipping Points. Nature Ecology & Evolution, 4. https://www.nature.com/articles/s41559-020-1273-8

 

Eyre, B, Cryonak, T, Drupp, P, De Carlo, E, Sachs, J and Andersson, A (2018).  Coral Reefs Will Transition to Net Dissolving Before End of Century. Science, 359(6378): 908-911.   http://science.sciencemag.org/content/359/6378/908

 

Fisher, S (2019). Can We Identify the Tipping Points for Transformative Climate Action? Climate-KIC, June 20. https://www.climate-kic.org/opinion/social-tipping-points/

 

Fountain, H (2019). Climate Change Is Accelerating, Bringing World ‘Dangerously Close’ to Irreversible Change. New York Times, Dec. 5. https://www.nytimes.com/2019/12/04/climate/climate-change-acceleration.html

 

Gaffney, O and Steffen, W (2017). The Anthropocene Equation. The Anthropocene Review, 2(1). https://doi.org/10.1177/2053019616688022

 

Galaz, V et al., (2012). ‘Planetary Boundaries’ — Exploring the Challenges for Global Environmental Governance. Current Opinion in Environmental Sustainability, 4(1-8). https://doi.org/10.1016/j.cosust.2012.01.006

 

Gaucherel, C and Moron, V (2017). Potential Stabilizing Points to Mitigate Tipping Point Interactions in Earth's Climate. International Journal of Climatology, 37(1). https://doi.org/10.1002/joc.4712

 

Ge, M, Lebling, K, Levin, K and Friedrich, J (2019). Tracking Progress of the 2020 Climate Turning Point. Working Paper, World Resources Institute. https://wriorg.s3.amazonaws.com/s3fs-public/2020-turning-point-progress_2.pdf

 

Gerten, D, Hoff, H, Rockstrom, J, Jagermeyr, J, Kummu, M and Pastor, A (2013). Towards a Revised Planetary Boundary for Consumptive Freshwater Use: Role of Environmental Flow Requirements. Current Opinion in Environmental Sustainability, 5(6). https://doi.org/10.1016/j.cosust.2013.11.001

 

Gerten, D et al., (2020). Feeding Ten Billion People is Possible Within Four Terrestrial Planetary Boundaries. Nature Sustainability, 3. https://www.nature.com/articles/s41893-019-0465-1

 

Giger, P (2021). Climate Change Will be Sudden and Cataclysmic. We Need to Act Fast. World Economic Forum, Jan. 19. https://www.weforum.org/agenda/2021/01/climate-change-sudden-cataclysmic-need-act-fast/ [About triggering of tipping points.]

 

Good, P et al., (2014). An Updated View of Tipping Points and the Relevance for Long-term Climate Goals. AVOID 2 WPA.5 Report 1. https://www.avoid.uk.net/2015/01/an-updated-view-of-tipping-points-and-the-relevance-for-long-term-climate-goals-a5/

 

Gross, M (2015). Assessing Humanity’s Global Impact. Current Biology, 25(4). https://core.ac.uk/reader/82748649 [Relatively short and approachable overview of the planetary boundaries overview.]

 

Hanson, J and 17 co-authors (2013). Assessing ‘‘Dangerous Climate Change’’: Required Reduction of Carbon Emissions to Protect Young People, Future Generations and Nature. PLOS One, 8(12): e81648. https://journals.plos.org/plosone/article?id=10.1371/journal.pone.0081648

 

Hawking, S (2016). This is the Most Dangerous Time for our Planet. The Guardian, Dec. 1. https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2016/dec/01/stephen-hawking-dangerous-time-planet-inequality

 

Heinrich, S and Jamsin, E (2017). What is Complexity? Ellen MacArthur Foundation. https://www.ellenmacarthurfoundation.org/assets/downloads/What-is-complexity_Ed-version.pdf [Provides a concise overview of complexity, systems thinking, feedback loops, and tipping points.]

 

Heinze, C et al., (2021). The Quiet Crossing of Ocean Tipping Points. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, 118(9). https://www.pnas.org/content/118/9/e2008478118

 

Herrfahrdt-Pähle, E, Schlüter, M, Olsson, P, Folke, C, Gelcich, S and Pahl-Wostl, C (2020). Sustainability Transformations: Socio-political Shocks as Opportunities for Governance Transitions. Global Environmental Change, 63. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2020.102097

 

Hickel, J (2018). Is It Possible to Achieve a Good Life for All Within Planetary Boundaries? Third World Quarterly, 40. https://doi.org/10.1080/01436597.2018.1535895

 

High-End cLimate Impacts and eXtremes (HELIX) (2015). Characterisation of the Social Impacts and Economic Costs of Passing Tipping Points in the Climate System in 2C, 4C and 6C Scenarios Over Different Time Horizons with Different Levels of Adaptation. Seventh Framework Programme, Theme 6, Project 603864. https://www.helixclimate.eu/wp-content/uploads/2018/07/Deliverable-10.1-Characterisation-of-the-social-impacts-and-economic-costs-of-passing-tipping-points.pdf

 

Hillebrand, H, Donohue, I, Harpole, S, Hodapp, D, Kucera, M, Lewandowska, A, Merder, J, Montoya, J and Freund, J (2020). Thresholds for Ecological Responses to Global Change Do Not Emerge from Empirical Data. Nature Ecology & Evolution, 4. https://www.nature.com/articles/s41559-020-1256-9

 

Hoornweg, D, Hosseini, M, Kennedy, C and Behdadi, A (2016). An Urban Approach to Planetary Boundaries. Ambio, 45. https://www.researchgate.net/publication/295241835_An_urban_approach_to_planetary_boundaries

 

Horstmeyer, L, Pham, T, Korbel, J and Thurner, S (2020). Predicting Collapse of Adaptive Networked Systems Without Knowing the Network. Scientific Reports, 10(1223). https://www.nature.com/articles/s41598-020-57751-y

 

Howard, P (2011). Tipping Points and Biodiversity Change: Consequences for Human Wellbeing and Challenges for Science and Policy. Kavli Seminar “Addressing Global Tipping Points”. https://www.researchgate.net/publication/235964826_Tipping_Points_and_Biodiversity_Change_Consequences_for_Human_Wellbeing_and_Challenges_for_Science_and_Policy

 

HowGood (2022). The World’s Largest Sustainability Database. https://howgood.com/

 

Hulbe, C (2020). How Close is the West Antarctic Ice Sheet to a ‘Tipping Point’? Carbon Brief, Feb. 14. https://www.carbonbrief.org/guest-post-how-close-is-the-west-antarctic-ice-sheet-to-a-tipping-point

 

John Hopkins Center for a Livable Future (2020). Diet, Health & Planetary Boundaries. https://clf.jhsph.edu/expertise/diet-health-planetary-boundaries [Web site leading to research on this topic.]

 

Jonas, M et al., (2014). Sustaining Ecosystem Services: Overcoming the Dilemma Posed by Local Actions and Planetary Boundaries. Earth’s Future, 2(8). https://doi.org/10.1002/2013EF000224

 

Kahiluoto, H, Kuisma, M, Kuokkanen, A, Mikkila, M ad Linnanen, L (2014). Taking Planetary Nutrient Boundaries Seriously: Can We Feed the People? Global Food Security, 3(1). https://doi.org/10.1016/j.gfs.2013.11.002

 

Keys, P, Galaz, V, Dyer, M, Matthews, N, Folke, C, Nystrom, M and Cornell, S (2019). Anthropocene Risk. Nature Sustainability, 2. https://www.nature.com/articles/s41893-019-0327-x

 

Kopp, R, Scwom, R, Wagner, G and Yuan, J (2016). Tipping Elements and Climate–economic Shocks: Pathways Toward Integrated Assessment. Earth’s Future, 4(8). https://doi.org/10.1002/2016EF000362

 

Korowicz, D (2010). Tipping Point: Near-Term Systemic Implications of a Peak in Global Oil Production. The Foundation for the Economics of Sustainability. http://images.feasta.org/2010/03/Tipping-Point-Nov.pdf

 

Lade, S, Steffen, W, de Vries, W, Carpenter, S, Donges, J, Gerten, D, Hoff, H, Newbold, T, Richardson, K and Rockström, J (2019). Human Impacts on Planetary Boundaries Amplified by Earth System Interactions. Nature Sustainability, 3. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41893-019-0454-4 or https://discovery.ucl.ac.uk/id/eprint/10089893/1/Article_NATSUST%20v2.pdf

 

Leach, M, Raworth, K and Rockström, J (2013). Between Social and Planetary Boundaries: Navigating Pathways in the Safe and Just Space for Humanity, in United Nations Educational, Scientific and Cultural Organization, World Social Science Report 2013: Changing Global Environments. https://doi.org/10.1787/9789264203419-10-en

 

Leadley, P, Pereira, H, Alkemade, R, Fernandez-Manjarrés, J, Proença, V, Scharlemann, J, Walpole, M (2010) Biodiversity Scenarios: Projections of 21st Century Change in Biodiversity and Associated Ecosystem Services. Secretariat of the Convention on Biological Diversity. Technical Series no. 50. https://www.cbd.int/doc/publications/cbd-ts-50-en.pdf [With examples of tipping point mechanisms and feedback loops.]

 

Lenton, T (2020). Tipping Positive Change. Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society B, 37(1794). https://doi.org/10.1098/rstb.2019.0123

 

Lenton, T, et al., (2008). Tipping Elements in the Earth’s Climate System. Proceedings of the National Academy of Science, 105(6): 1786-1793. http://www.pnas.org/content/105/6/1786.full.pdf

 

Lenton, T, Caldeira, K and Szathmary, E (2003). What Does History Teach Us About the Major Transitions and Role of Disturbances in The Evolution of Life and of the Earth System? in Schellnhuber, H, Crutzen, P, Clark, W, Claussen, M and Held, H (eds.), Earth System Analysis for Sustainability. The MIT Press. https://books.google.com/books?id=OiU2VKZywVMC&pg=PA29&lpg=PA29&dq=What+Does+History+Teach+Us+About+the+Major+Transitions+and+Role+of+Disturbances+in+The+Evolution+of+Life+and+of+the+Earth+System

 

Lenton, T and Ciscar, JC (2013). Integrating Tipping Points into Climate Impact Assessments. Climatic Change, 117. https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s10584-012-0572-8

 

Lenton, T, Rockstrom, J, Gaffney, O, Rahmstorf, S, Richardson, K, Steffen, W and Schellnhuber, H (2019). Climate Tipping Point — Too Risky to Bet Against. Nature, 575. https://www.nature.com/articles/d41586-019-03595-0

 

Liu, J, Mooney, J, Hull, B, Davis, S, Gaskell, J, Hertel, T, Lubchenco, J, Seto, K, Gleick, P, Kremen, C and Li, S (2015). Systems Integration for Global Sustainability. Science, 347(6225). https://science.sciencemag.org/content/347/6225/1258832

 

Lohmann, J and Ditlevsen, P (2021). Risk of Tipping the Overturning Circulation Due to Increasing Rates of Ice Melt. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, 118(9). https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.2017989118

 

Lovejoy T and Nobre, C (2019). Amazon Tipping Point: Last Chance for Action. Science Advances, 5(12). https://advances.sciencemag.org/content/5/12/eaba2949

 

Mace, G (2012). The Limits to Sustainability Science: Ecological Constraints or Endless Innovation? PLoS Biology, 10(6): https://journals.plos.org/plosbiology/article?id=10.1371/journal.pbio.1001343

 

Mace, G et al., (2014). Approaches to Defining a Planetary Boundary for Biodiversity. Global Environmental Change, 28. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2014.07.009

 

Mann, M (2014). Earth Will Cross the Climate Danger Threshold by 2036. Scientific American, April 1. https://www.scientificamerican.com/article/earth-will-cross-the-climate-danger-threshold-by-2036/

 

McCullough, R (2019). Mapping the Planetary Boundaries: Visualizing Human-Environment Connections in the Anthropocene. Submitted to OCAD University in partial fulfillment of the requirements for the degree of Master of Design in Strategic Foresight and Innovation. http://openresearch.ocadu.ca/id/eprint/2816/7/McCullough_Riley_2019_MDes_SFI_MRP_Updated.pdf

 

McSweeney, R (2020). Explainer: Nine ‘Tipping Points’ that Could be Triggered by Climate Change. Carbon Brief, Feb. 10. https://www.carbonbrief.org/explainer-nine-tipping-points-that-could-be-triggered-by-climate-change  [Infographic in map form]

 

Meyer, K and Newman, P (2018). The Planetary Accounting Framework: A Novel, Quota-based Approach to Understanding the Impacts of Any Scale of Human Activity in the Context of the Planetary Boundaries. Sustainable Earth, 1(4). https://sustainableearth.biomedcentral.com/articles/10.1186/s42055-018-0004-3

 

Monbiot, G (2021). Earth’s Tipping Points Could be Closer than we Think. Our Current Plans Won’t Work. The Guardian, Sept. 9. https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2021/sep/09/earths-tipping-points-closer-current-climate-plans-wont-work-global-heating

 

Moore, J and Rees, W (2013). Getting to One-Planet Living, in State of the World 2013. The Worldwatch Institute. http://library.uniteddiversity.coop/More_Books_and_Reports/State_of_the_World/State_of_the_World_2013-Is_Sustainability_Still_Possible.pdf

 

Morengo, J, Souza Jr., C, Thonicke, K, Burton, C, Halladay, K, Betts, R, Alves, L and Soares, W (2018). Changes in Climate and Land Use Over the Amazon Region: Current and Future Variability and Trends. Frontiers in Earth Science, 6. https://doi.org/10.3389/feart.2018.00228

 

Murphy, T (2021). Energy and Human Ambitions on a Finite Planet. Open Educational Resources, University of California San Diego. https://doi.org/10.21221/S2978-0-578-86717-5

 

Murphy, T, Murphy, D, Love, T, LeHew, M and McCall, B (2021). Modernity is Incompatible with Planetary Limits: Developing a PLAN for the Future. Energy Research & Social Science, 81. https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2214629621003327?mc_cid=3b3a6fc7ee&mc_eid=0bca9c3843

 

Nakicenovic, N, Rockström, J, Gaffney, O and Zimm, C (2016). Global Commons in the Anthropocene: World Development on a Stable and Resilient Planet. International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis Working Paper. http://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/eprint/14003/

 

The Next System Project (2019). The Index of Systemic Trends. https://thenextsystem.org/learn/stories/index-systemic-trends

 

O’Brien, K (2013). What’s the Problem? Putting Global Environmental Change into Perspective, in United Nations Educational, Scientific and Cultural Organization, World Social Science Report 2013: Changing Global Environments. https://www.oecd-ilibrary.org/social-issues-migration-health/world-social-science-report-2013_9789264203419-en

 

O’Neill, D, Fanning, A, Lamb, W and Steinberger, J (2018). A Good Life for All Within Planetary Boundaries. Nature Sustainability, 1. https://www.nature.com/articles/s41893-018-0021-4

 

O’Neill, D et al., (2020a). About. University of Leeds. https://goodlife.leeds.ac.uk/about/  Web site associated with: O’Neill, D.W., Fanning, A.L., Lamb, W.F., and Steinberger, J.K. (2018). A Good Life for All Within Planetary Boundaries. Nature Sustainability, 1.

 

O’Neill, D et al., (2020b). Country Comparisons. University of Leeds. https://goodlife.leeds.ac.uk/countries/  Web site associated with: O’Neill, D.W., Fanning, A.L., Lamb, W.F., and Steinberger, J.K. (2018). A Good Life for All Within Planetary Boundaries. Nature Sustainability, 1. [Select a country to view its environmental sustainability and social performance relative to the “safe and just space” framework and see how it compares with other countries.]

 

O’Neill, D et al., (2020c). Explore Scenarios. University of Leeds. https://goodlife.leeds.ac.uk/explore-scenarios/ Web site associated with: O’Neill, D.W., Fanning, A.L., Lamb, W.F., and Steinberger, J.K. (2018). A Good Life for All Within Planetary Boundaries. Nature Sustainability, 1. [Use the sliders below each of the social indicators to raise or lower the thresholds we chose for a “good life”, and explore what your choices would mean for sustainability if they were extended to all people.]

 

O’Neill, D et al., (2020d). The Wellbeing–Consumption Paradox. University of Leeds. https://goodlife.leeds.ac.uk/paradox/  Web site associated with: O’Neill, D.W., Fanning, A.L., Lamb, W.F., and Steinberger, J.K. (2018). A Good Life for All Within Planetary Boundaries. Nature Sustainability, 1. [Interactive graphing of metrics of social indicators vs carbon footprint for all countries.]

 

O’Neill, D et al., (2020e). World Map. University of Leeds. https://goodlife.leeds.ac.uk/world-map/  Web site associated with: O’Neill, D.W., Fanning, A.L., Lamb, W.F., and Steinberger, J.K. (2018). A Good Life for All Within Planetary Boundaries. Nature Sustainability, 1. [Use this interactive world map to see the number of biophysical boundaries that different countries transgress (the BIOPHYSICAL tab) in comparison to the number of social thresholds that they achieve (the SOCIAL tab).]

 

Osaka, S (2019). The Problem with Putting a Deadline on the Climate Apocalypse. Grist, Sept. 15. https://grist.org/article/jonathan-franzen-greta-thunberg-alexandria-ocasio-cortex-climate-deadline/

 

Otto, I et al., (2020). Social Tipping Dynamics for Stabilizing Earth’s Climate by 2050. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, 117(5). https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.1900577117

 

Persson, L et al., (2022). Outside the Safe Operating Space of the Planetary Boundary for Novel Entities. Environmental Science and Technology, . https://doi.org/10.1021/acs.est.1c04158

 

Randers, J and Gilding, P (2010). The One Degree War Plan. Journal of Global Responsibility, 1(1). http://www.homepages.ed.ac.uk/shs/Climatechange/Geo-politics/The-one-degree-war-plan.pdf

 

Randers, J and Goluke, U (2020). An Earth System Model Shows Self-sustained Melting of Permafrost Even if All Man-made GHG Emissions Stop in 2020Scientific Reports, 10. https://www.nature.com/articles/s41598-020-75481-z  Then read this: Noor, D (2020). Climate Scientists Debunk ‘Point of No Return’ Paper Everyone’s Freaking Out About. Gizmodo, Nov. 13. https://earther.gizmodo.com/climate-scientists-debunk-point-of-no-return-paper-ev-1845667916

 

Raworth, K (2012). A Safe and Just Space for Humanity. Oxfam Discussion Papers, Oxfam International. https://oxfamilibrary.openrepository.com/bitstream/handle/10546/210490/dp-a-safe-and-just-space-for-humanity-130212-en.pdf;jsessionid=BB6E919DDD19C529CA32BA5DF409E7CD?sequence=13

 

Rehman, A and Ghadiali, A (2019). The Fight of Our Lives. Resilience, Nov. 25. https://www.resilience.org/stories/2019-11-25/the-fight-of-our-lives/

 

Roberts, D (2020). Social Tipping Points are the Only Hope for the Climate. Vox, Jan. 29. https://www.vox.com/energy-and-environment/2020/1/29/21083250/climate-change-social-tipping-points

 

Rockstrom, J (2015). Bounding the Planetary Future: Why We Need a Great Transition. Great Transition Initiative. https://greattransition.org/publication/bounding-the-planetary-future-why-we-need-a-great-transition

 

Rockström, J (2018). 5 Transformational Policies for a Prosperous and Sustainable World. TED Talk. YouTube. https://www.ted.com/talks/johan_rockstrom_5_transformational_policies_for_a_prosperous_and_sustainable_world?language=en

 

Rockström, J, Steffen, W,  Noone,K,  Persson, Å,  Chapin, FS,  Lambin, EF, Lenton, TM, Scheffer, M, Folke, C,  Schellnhuber, HJ, Nykvist, B, de Wit, CA, Hughes, T, van der Leeuw, S, Rodhe, H, Sörlin, S, Snyder, PK, Costanza, R, Svedin, U, Falkenmark, M, Karlberg, L, Corell, RW, Fabry, VJ, Hansen, J, Walker, B, Liverman, D, Richardson, K, Crutzen, P, Foley, JA (2009). A Safe Operating Space for Humanity. Nature, 461(24): 472-475. http://www.nature.com/nature/journal/v461/n7263/pdf/461472a.pdf

 

Rothman, D (2017). Thresholds of Catastrophe in the Earth System. Science Advance, 3(9). https://advances.sciencemag.org/content/3/9/e1700906

 

Schadel, C (2020). The Irreversible Emissions of a Permafrost ‘Tipping Point’. Carbon Brief, Feb. 12. https://www.carbonbrief.org/guest-post-the-irreversible-emissions-of-a-permafrost-tipping-point

 

Scheffer, M (2016). Anticipating Societal Collapse; Hints from the Stone Age. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, 113(39). https://www.pnas.org/content/113/39/10733

 

Scheffer, M et al., (2009). Early-warning Signals for Critical Transitions. Nature, 461. https://www.researchgate.net/publication/26786476_Early-Warning_Signals_for_Critical_Transitions

 

Schneider, S (2004). Abrupt Non-linear Climate Change, Irreversibility and Surprise. Global Environmental Change, 14(3). https://doi.org/10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2004.04.008 

 

Schultz, M, Rockstrom, J, Ohman, M, Cornell, SPersson, A and Nostrom, A (2013). Human Prosperity Requires Global Sustainability. Stockholm Resilience Centre.  https://www.stockholmresilience.org/download/18.416c425f13e06f977b110f4/1459560257140/Human_prosperity_requires_global_sustainability_Schultz.pdf

 

Stafford, et al., (2010). Now is the Time for Action: Transitions and Tipping Points in Complex Environmental Systems.  Environment: Science and Policy for Sustainable Development, 52(1): 38-45. http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/00139150903481882

 

Steffen, W, Broadgate, W, Deutsch, L, Gaffney, O and Ludwig, C (2015). The Trajectory of the Anthropocene: The Great Acceleration. The Anthropocene Review, 2(1). https://doi.org/10.1177/2053019614564785

 

Steffen, W, et al., (2015). Planetary Boundaries: Guiding Human Development on a Changing Planet. Science, 347(6223). http://science.sciencemag.org/content/347/6223/1259855

 

Steffen, W and 15 co-authors (2018). Trajectories of the Earth System in the Anthropocene. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, 115(33): 8252-8259. https://www.pnas.org/content/115/33/8252

 

Stockholm Resilience Centre (2015). Planetary Boundaries - An Update. https://www.stockholmresilience.org/research/research-news/2015-01-15-planetary-boundaries---an-update.html [A short overview/news release.]

 

Stoknes, P and Rockstrom, J (2018). Redefining Green Growth Within Planetary Boundaries. Energy Research & Social Science, 44. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.erss.2018.04.030

 

Sustainable Development Solutions Network (2014). Pathways to Deep Decarbonization. https://www.greengrowthknowledge.org/sites/default/files/downloads/resource/Pathways_to_%20Deep_Decarbonization.pdf

 

Sustainable Earth (2020). A New Planetary Accounting Framework. https://sustainableearth.biomedcentral.com/  [Short video explaining how planetary accounting scales down the planetary boundary concepts to quotas that can be used by governments and individuals to get within planetary boundaries.]

 

Tong, D, Zhang, Q, Zheng, Y, Caldeira, K, Shearer, C, Hong, C, Qin, Y and Davis, S (2019). Committed Emissions from Existing Energy Infrastructure Jeopardize 1.5°C Climate Target. Nature, 572. https://www.nature.com/articles/s41586-019-1364-3

 

United Nations Environment Programme (2018). Emissions Gap Report Interactive. https://www.unenvironment.org/interactive/emissions-gap-report/

 

United Nations Environment Programme (2019). Emissions Gap Report 2019. https://www.unenvironment.org/resources/emissions-gap-report-2019

 

U.S. Global Change Research Program (2017). Ch. 15: Potential Surprises: Compound Extremes and Tipping Elements, in Fourth National Climate Assessment, Vol. 1. https://science2017.globalchange.gov/

 

Vaughan, D (2008). West Antarctic Ice Sheet Collapse – The Fall and Rise of a Paradigm. Climatic Change, 91(1): 65-79. https://www.researchgate.net/publication/225166993_West_Antarctic_Ice_Sheet_Collapse_-_The_Fall_and_Rise_of_a_Paradigm

 

Wang, R, Dearing, J, Langdon, P, Zhang, E, Yang, X, Daskos, V and Scheffer, M (2012). Flickering Gives Early Warning Signals of a Critical Transition to a Eutrophic Lake State. Nature, 492. https://www.nature.com/articles/nature11655

 

Watson, R, McCarthy, J, Canziani, P, Nakicenovic, N and Hisas, L (2019). The Truth Behind the Climate Pledges. Fundación Ecológica Universal - US. https://drive.google.com/file/d/1nFx8UKTyjEteYO87-x06mVEkTs6RSPBi/view

 

Werners, S, Pfenninger, S, van Slobbe, E, Haasnoot, M, Kwakkel, J and Swart, R (2013). Thresholds, Tipping and Turning Points for Sustainability Under Climate Change. Current Opinion in Environmental Sustainability, 5. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.cosust.2013.06.005

 

Westley, F et al., (2011). Tipping Toward Sustainability: Emerging Pathways of Transformation. AMBIO, 40. https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs13280-011-0186-9 [Systems thinking oriented and techno optimistic.]

 

Whitty, J (2006). The Thirteenth Tipping Point. Mother Jones, Nov./Dec. https://www.motherjones.com/environment/2006/11/thirteenth-tipping-point/

 

Wunderling, N, Donges, J, Kurths, J and Winkelmann, R (2021). Interacting Tipping Elements Increase Risk of Climate Domino Effects Under Global Warming. Earth System Dynamics, 12. https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-12-601-2021

 

Zipper, S, Jaramillo, F, WangErlandsson, L, Cornell, S, Gleeson, T, Porkka, M, Häyhä, T, Crépin, A, Fetzer, I, Gerten, D, Hoff, H, Matthews, N, RicaurteVillota, C, Kummu, M, Wada, Y and Gordon, L (2020). Integrating the Water Planetary Boundary with Water Management from Local to Global Scales. Earth’s Future, 8(2). https://doi.org/10.1029/2019EF001377

 

 

D.  Assessing the Vulnerability and Risk of Populations (more in Section IJ and Section VIII)

 

Barnett, J (2020). Global Environmental Change II: Political Economies of Vulnerability to Climate Change. Progress in Human Geography, 44(6). https://doi.org/10.1177/0309132519898254

 

Bene, C, Godfrey-Wood, R, Newsham, A and Davies, M (2012). Resilience: New Utopia or New Tyranny? Reflection about the Potentials and Limits of the Concept of Resilience in Relation to Vulnerability Reduction Programmes. Institute of Development Studies, Working Paper 405. http://www.ids.ac.uk/files/dmfile/Wp405.pdf

 

Berke, P (2017). Why is Houston So Vulnerable to Devastating Floods? BBC, Aug. 31. https://www.bbc.com/news/world-us-canada-41107049

 

Bizikova, L, Habtezion, Z, Bellali, J, Diakhite, M and Pinter, L (2009). VIA Module: Vulnerability and Climate Change Impact Assessments for Adaptation. United Nations Environment Programme. https://www.unenvironment.org/resources/report/vulnerability-and-climate-change-impact-assessments-adaptation-module

 

Bukvic, A, Rohat, G, Apotsos, A and de Sherbinin, A (2020). A Systematic Review of Coastal Vulnerability Mapping. Sustainability, 12(7). https://doi.org/10.3390/su12072822

 

Byers, E et al., (2018). Global Exposure and Vulnerability to Multi-sector Development and Climate Change Hotspots. Environmental Research Letters, 13(5). https://iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1088/1748-9326/aabf45

 

Cardona, O, van Aalst, M, Birkmann, J, Fordham, M, McGregor, G, Perez, R, Pulwarty, R, Schipper, E and Sinh, B (2012). Determinants of Risk: Exposure and Vulnerability, in Field, C., Barros, V, Stocker, T, Qin, D, Dokken, D, Ebi, K, Mastrandrea, M, Mach, K, Plattner, G, Allen, S, Tignor, M and Midgley P (eds.) Managing the Risks of Extreme Events and Disasters to Advance Climate Change Adaptation. International Panel on Climate Change, Cambridge Univ. Press. https://www.ipcc.ch/site/assets/uploads/2018/03/SREX-Chap2_FINAL-1.pdf

 

Casola, J, Roop, H, Fellows, K, Galaviz, V, Gruen, D, Jacobs, S and Seto, E (2018). An Unfair Share: Exploring the Disproportionate Risks from Climate Change Facing Washington State Communities. A report prepared for Seattle Foundation by the UW Climate Impacts Group, and the UW Department of Environmental and Occupational Health Sciences. University of Washington, Seattle.  https://cig.uw.edu/wp-content/uploads/sites/2/2018/08/AnUnfairShare_WashingtonState_August2018.pdf

 

CDP Worldwide (2021). Cities Climate Risk and Vulnerability Assessments. https://data.cdp.net/Climate-Hazards/2021-Cities-Climate-Risk-and-Vulnerability-Assessm/8ihd-6z76

 

Coughlin, M, Ellison, A and Cavanaugh, A (2019). Social Vulnerability and Wildfire in the Wildland-Urban Interface: Literature Synthesis. Ecosystem Workforce Program Working Paper Series, Institute for a Sustainable Environment, University of Oregon. https://www.researchgate.net/publication/337499719_Social_vulnerability_and_Wildfire_in_the_Wildland_Urban_Interface

 

Creighton, J,.Strobel, M, Hardegree, S, Steele, R, Van Horne, B, Gravenmier, B, Owen, W, Peterson, D, Hoang, L, Little, N, Bochicchio, J, Hall, W, Cole, M, Hestvik, S and Olson, J (2015). Northwest Regional Climate Hub Assessment of Climate Change Vulnerability and Adaptation and Mitigation Strategies. United States Department of Agriculture. https://www.climatehubs.usda.gov/sites/default/files/Northwest%20Vulnerability%20Assessment%20Final.pdf

 

Cutter, S (2005).  The Geography of Social Vulnerability: Race, Class, and Catastrophe, in Understanding Katrina, Perspectives from Social Science.  The Social Science Research Council http://understandingkatrina.ssrc.org/Cutter/   

 

Cutter, S and Derakhshan, S (2020). Temporal and Spatial Change in Disaster Resilience in US Counties, 2010–2015. Environmental Hazards, 19(1). https://doi.org/10.1080/17477891.2018.1511405

 

DARA and the Climate Vulnerable Forum (2012). Climate Vulnerability Monitor 2nd Edition: A Guide to the Cold Calculus of a Hot Planet. Fundación DARA Internacional. https://daraint.org/wp-content/uploads/2012/10/CVM2-Low.pdf

 

Davies, I, Huago, R, Roberstons, J, and Levin, P (2018). The Unequal Vulnerability of Communities of Color to Wildfire. PLoS ONE, 13(11): e0205825. https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0205825

 

Dunning, C and Durden, S (2013). Social Vulnerability Analysis: A Comparison of Tools. U.S. Army Corps of Engineers Institute for Water Resources. https://www.iwr.usace.army.mil/Portals/70/docs/iwrreports/Social_Vulnerability_Analysis_Tools.pdf

 

Eckstein, D, Hutfils, M and Winges, M (2019). Global Climate Risk Index 2019. Germanwatch. https://germanwatch.org/sites/germanwatch.org/files/Global%20Climate%20Risk%20Index%202019_2.pdf

 

Emrich, C and Cutter, S (2011). Social Vulnerability to Climate-Sensitive Hazards in the Southern United States. Weather, Climate and Society, 3. http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/pdf/10.1175/2011WCAS1092.1

 

Flanagan, B, Gregory, E, Hallisey, E, Heitgerd, J, and Lewis, B (2011). A Social Vulnerability Index for Disaster Management. Journal of Homeland Security and Emergency Management, 8(1). https://svi.cdc.gov/A%20Social%20Vulnerability%20Index%20for%20Disaster%20Management.pdf

 

Fragile States Index (2020). Measuring Fragility: Risk and Vulnerability in 178 Countries. https://fragilestatesindex.org/

 

Franco, E (2020). Global Risk Report 2020. World Economic Forum. http://www3.weforum.org/docs/WEF_Global_Risk_Report_2020.pdf

 

Frank, T (2020). Flooding Disproportionately Harms Black Neighborhoods. Scientific American, June 2. https://www.scientificamerican.com/article/flooding-disproportionately-harms-black-neighborhoods/

 

Friggens, M, Bagne, K, Finch, D, Falk, D, Triepke, J and Lynch, A (2013). Review and Recommendations for Climate Change Vulnerability Assessment Approaches with Examples from the Southwest. Gen. Tech. Rep. RMRS-GTR-309. U.S. Department of Agriculture, Forest Service. https://www.fs.usda.gov/treesearch/pubs/44184

 

Fussel, H and Klein, R (2006). Climate Change Vulnerability Assessments: An Evolution of Conceptual Thinking. Climatic Change, 75(3). https://www.climatelearningplatform.org/sites/default/files/resources/Fussel%2BKlein_2006_vulnerability.pdf  

Garg, A, Rana, A, Shukla, P, Kapshe, M and Azad, M (2007). Handbook of Current and Next Generation Vulnerability and Adaptation Assessment Tools. The BASIC Project, Environment Directorate of the European Commission. http://www.basic-project.net/data/final/Paper08India%20Vulnerability%20and%20Adaptation%20Assessment%20Tools%85.pdf

 

Governor’s Office of Planning and Research (2018). Defining Vulnerable Communities in the Context of Climate Adaptation. State of California. https://opr.ca.gov/docs/20200720-Vulnerable_Communities.pdf

 

Green Growth Knowledge Platform (2021). Poverty and Equity. https://www.greengrowthknowledge.org/themes/poverty-and-equity [Portal to many articles and reports.]

 

Grove, K (2014). Biopolitics and Adaptation: Governing SocioEcological Contingency Through Climate Change and Disaster Studies. Geography Compass, 8(3). https://doi.org/10.1111/gec3.12118 

 

Hazards & Vulnerability Research Institute (2014). Social Vulnerability Index – 2010-2014. University of South Carolina. http://artsandsciences.sc.edu/geog/hvri/sovi%C2%AE-0

 

Howell, J and Elliott, J (2019). Damages Done: The Longitudinal Impacts of Natural Hazards on Wealth Inequality in the United States. Social Problems, 66(3). https://academic.oup.com/socpro/article/66/3/448/5074453

 

Howell, P (2003). Indigenous Early Warning Indicators of Cyclones: Potential Application in Coastal Bangladesh. Benfield Hazard Research Centerhttps://www.preventionweb.net/files/1529_workingpaper6.pdf

 

Iglesias, V et al., (2021). Risky Development: Increasing Exposure to Natural Hazards in the United States. Earth’s Future, 9(7). https://doi.org/10.1029/2020EF001795

 

Jager, J et al., (2007). Vulnerability of People and the Environment: Challenges and Opportunities, in Global Environment Outlook 4. United Nations Environment Programme. https://www.unenvironment.org/resources/global-environment-outlook-4

 

Joakim, E, Mortsch, L and Oulahen, G (2015). Using Vulnerability and Resilience Concepts to Advance Climate Change Adaptation. Environmental Hazards, 14(2). https://doi.org/10.1080/17477891.2014.1003777

 

Johansen, C, Horney, J and Tien, I (2017). Metrics for Evaluating and Improving Community Resilience. Journal of Infrastructure Systems, 23(2). https://ascelibrary.org/doi/10.1061/%28ASCE%29IS.1943-555X.0000329

 

Katic, K (2017). Social Vulnerability Assessment Tools for Climate Change and DRR Programming. United Nations Development Programme. https://www.adaptation-undp.org/sites/default/files/resources/social_vulnerability05102017_0.pdf

 

King, D, Schrag, D, Dadi, Z, Ye, Q and Ghosh, A (2015). Climate Change: A Risk Assessment. Centre for Science and Policy, University of Cambridge. http://www.csap.cam.ac.uk/projects/climate-change-risk-assessment/

 

Krosby, M, Morgan, H, Case, M and Binder, L (2016). Stillaguamish Tribe Natural Resources Climate Change Vulnerability Assessment. University of Washington Climate Impacts Group. https://www.cakex.org/documents/stillaguamish-tribe-natural-resources-climate-change-vulnerability-assessment

 

Kubacki, K, Siemieniako, D and Brennan, L (2020). Building Positive Resilience Through Vulnerability Analysis. Journal of Social Marketing, 10(4). https://www.emerald.com/insight/content/doi/10.1108/JSOCM-09-2019-0142/full/html

 

Kulp, S and Strauss, B (2019). New Elevation Data Triple Estimates of Global Vulnerability to Sea-level Rise and Coastal Flooding. Nature Communications, 10(4844). https://www.nature.com/articles/s41467-019-12808-z

 

Lane, K, Charles-Guzman, K, Wheeler, K, Abid, Z, Graber, N and Matte, T (2013). Health Effects of Coastal Storms and Flooding in Urban Areas: A Review and Vulnerability Assessment. Journal of Environmental and Public Health, Article ID 913064. http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2013/913064

 

Leichenko, R and Thomas, A (2012). Coastal Cities and Regions in a Changing Climate: Economic Impacts, Risks and Vulnerabilities. Geography Compass, 6(6). https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1749-8198.2012.00495.x

 

Liden, K (2021). National Risk Assessments: A Political Vaccine Against the Next Disaster? Open Democracy, Feb. 15. https://www.opendemocracy.net/en/can-europe-make-it/national-risk-assessments-political-vaccine-against-next-disaster/

 

Liu, H, Lauta, K and Maas, M (2018). Governing Boring Apocalypses: A New Typology of Existential Vulnerabilities and Exposures for Existential Risk Research. Futures, 102. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.futures.2018.04.009

 

McCarthy, K and Valdez, Z (2019). Mapping Heat Vulnerability to Protect Community Health. EOS, April 5. https://eos.org/agu-news/mapping-heat-vulnerability-to-protect-community-health

 

McCormick, S (2016). Assessing Climate Change Vulnerability in Urban America: Stakeholder-driven Approaches. Climatic Change, 138. https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s10584-016-1757-3

 

Nelitz, M, Boardley, S and Smith, R (2013). Tools for Climate Change Vulnerability Assessment for Watersheds. ESSA Technologies Ltd for the Canadian Council of Ministers of the Environment. https://www.ccme.ca/files/Resources/water/climate_change/pn_1494_vat.pdf

 

Nugent, C (2019). The 10 Countries Most Vulnerable to Climate Change Will Experience Population Booms in the Coming Decades. Time. https://time.com/5621885/climate-change-population-growth/

 

O’Brien, K, Sygna, L, Leichenko, R, Adger, W, Barnett, J, Mitchell, T, Schipper, L, Tanner, T, Vogel, C and Mortreux, C (2008). Disaster Risk Reduction, Climate Change Adaptation and Human Security. A Commissioned Report for the Norwegian Ministry of Foreign Affairs. https://citeseerx.ist.psu.edu/viewdoc/download?doi=10.1.1.569.6835&rep=rep1&type=pdf

 

O’Neill, B, Jiang, L, KC, S, Fuchs, R, Pachauri, S, Laidlaw, E, Zhang, T, Zhou and Ren, X (2020). The Effect of Education on Determinants of Climate Change Risks. Nature Sustainability, 3. https://www.nature.com/articles/s41893-020-0512-y?draft=collection

 

Organisation for Economic Cooperation and Development (2018). National Risk Assessments: A Cross Country Perspective. https://doi.org/10.1787/9789264287532-en

 

Partnership for Resilience and Preparedness (2019). https://prepdata.org/ [Visualizing data to build climate resilience]

 

Pielke, R [ed.] (2013). Climate Vulnerability: Understanding and Addressing Threats to Essential Resources.  Elsevier Publ.  https://www.sciencedirect.com/referencework/9780123847041/climate-vulnerability#book-info

 

Pollock, W and Wartman, J (2020). Human Vulnerability to Landslides. GeoHealth, 4(10). https://doi.org/10.1029/2020GH000287

 

Porfiriev, B (2009). Community Resilience and Vulnerability to Disasters: Qualitative Models and Megacities – A Comparison with Small Towns. Environmental Hazards, 8. pdf

 

Preston, B, Yuen, E and Westaway, R (2011). Putting Vulnerability to Climate Change on the Map: A Review of Approaches, Benefits, and Risks. Sustainability Science, 6. https://www.researchgate.net/publication/225227138_Putting_vulnerability_to_climate_change_on_the_map_A_review_of_approaches_benefits_and_risks

 

Preston, B, Yuen, E and Westaway, R (2011). Putting Vulnerability to Climate Change on the Map: A Review of Approaches, Benefits, and Risks. Sustainability Science, 6. https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s11625-011-0129-1

 

Preston, B, Dow, K and Berkhout, F (2013). The Climate Adaptation Frontier. Sustainability, 5(4). https://www.mdpi.com/2071-1050/5/3/1011

 

Pricope, N, Pardo-Rodriguez, L and Lopez-Carr, D (2018). Vulnerability to Climate Change. Oxford Bibliographies. https://www.oxfordbibliographies.com/view/document/obo-9780199874002/obo-9780199874002-0040.xml?print%23mainContent  [Provides an overview of the topic with many annotated citations.]

 

Rangwala, L, Burke, L, Wihanesta, R, Elias-Trostmann, K and Chandra, M (2018). Prepared Communities: Implementing the Urban Community Resilience Assessment in Vulnerable Neighborhoods of Three Cities. World Resources Institute. https://www.wri.org/publication/prepared-communities

 

Raymond, C, Peterson, D, Rochefort, R (2014). Climate Change Vulnerability and Adaptation in the North Cascades Region, Washington. General Technical Report, PNW-GTR-892. U.S. Dept. of Agriculture, Forest Service, Pacific Northwest Research Station. https://www.fs.fed.us/pnw/pubs/pnw_gtr892.pdf

 

Reale, A (2010). Acts of God(s): The Role of Religion in Disaster Risk Reduction. Humanitarian Practice Network. Issue 48. https://odihpn.org/magazine/acts-of-gods-the-role-of-religion-in-disaster-risk-reduction/

 

Rohat, G (2018). Projecting Drivers of Human Vulnerability Under the Shared Socioeconomic Pathways. International Journal of Environmental Research and Public Health, 15(3). https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC5877099/

 

Shamsuddoha, M (2005). Climate Change, Disaster and Coastal Vulnerabilities in Bangladesh. Coastbd.org. https://www.preventionweb.net/publications/view/4032

 

Shepherd, A, Mitchell, T, Lewis, K, Lenhardt, A, Jones, L, Scott, L, and Muir-Wood, R (2013). The Geography of Poverty, Disasters and Climate Extremes in 2030. Overseas Development Institute. http://www.odi.org.uk/sites/odi.org.uk/files/odi-assets/publications-opinion-files/8633.pdf

 

Smit, B and Wandel, J (2006). Adaptation, Adaptive Capacity and Vulnerability. Global Environmental Change, 16. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2006.03.008

 

Soares, M, Gagnon, A and Doherty, R (2012). Conceptual Elements of Climate Change Vulnerability Assessments: A Review. International Journal of Climate Change Strategies and Management, 4(1). https://www.researchgate.net/publication/235276470_Conceptual_elements_of_climate_change_vulnerability_assessments_A_review

 

Social Science Research Council (2007). Understanding Katrina. Items. https://items.ssrc.org/category/understanding-katrina/ [Collection of articles “addressing the implications of the tragedy that extend beyond “natural disaster,” “engineering failures,” “cronyism” or other categories of interpretation that do not directly examine the underlying issues—political, social and economic—laid bare by the events surrounding Katrina.”]

 

Sultana, F (2010). Living in Hazardous Waterscapes: Gendered Vulnerabilities and Experiences of Floods and Disasters. Environmental Hazards, 9. https://www.farhanasultana.dev/wp-content/uploads/2015/01/Sultana-EnvHazards-Final-2010.pdf

 

Tarling, H (2017). Comparative Analysis of Social Vulnerability Indices: CDC’s SVI and SoVI®. Division of Risk Management and Societal Safety, Lund University. http://lup.lub.lu.se/luur/download?func=downloadFile&recordOId=8928519&fileOId=8928520

 

Thomas, K, Hardy, D, Lazrus, H, Mendez, M, Orlove, B, Rivera-Collazo, I, Roberts, T, Rockman, M, Warner, B and Winthrop, R (2018). Explaining Differential Vulnerability to Climate Change: A Social Science Review. WIREs Climate Change, 10(2). https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/full/10.1002/wcc.565

 

Thomas, K and Warner, B (2019). Weaponizing Vulnerability to Climate Change. Global Environmental Change, 57. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2019.101928 or https://www.academia.edu/39709604/Weaponizing_vulnerability_to_climate_change

 

United Nations Climate Change (2016). Climate Change Mainly Impacting Vulnerable Children. https://unfccc.int/news/climate-change-mainly-impacting-vulnerable-children

 

United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change (2009). Climate Change: Impacts, Vulnerabilities and Adaptation in Developing Countries.  https://unfccc.int/resource/docs/publications/impacts.pdf

 

United Nations Office for Disaster Risk Reduction (2019). Chapter 2: Systemic Risks, the Sendai Framework and the 2030 Agenda, in The UN Global Assessment Report on Disaster Risk Reduction 2019. https://gar.unisdr.org/sites/default/files/chapter/2019-06/chapter_2.pdf

 

United Nations Office for Disaster Risk Reduction (2019). Chapter 3: Risk, in The UN Global Assessment Report on Disaster Risk Reduction 2019. https://gar.unisdr.org/sites/default/files/reports/2019-05/full_gar_report.pdf

 

U.S. Climate Resilience Toolkit (2017). Quinault Indian Nation Plans for Village Relocation. https://toolkit.climate.gov/case-studies/quinault-indian-nation-plans-village-relocation

U.S. Department of Education (2008). A Guide to School Vulnerability Assessments: Key Principles for Safe Schools. https://www.hsdl.org/?abstract&did=232984 

 

U.S. Department of Energy (2021). 2021 Climate Adaptation and Resilience Plan. Report to the White House National Climate Task Force and Federal Chief Sustainability Officer. https://www.energy.gov/sites/default/files/2021-09/DOEClimateAdaptationandResiliencePlanSept21.pdf

 

U.S. Department of Health and Human Services (2018). Sustainable and Climate-Resilient Health Care Facilities Toolkit. https://toolkit.climate.gov/tool/sustainable-and-climate-resilient-health-care-facilities-toolkit

 

Wackernagel, M, Hanscom, L, Jayasinghe, P, Lin, D, Murthy, A, Neill, E and Raven, P (2021). The Importance of Resource Security for Poverty Eradication. Nature Sustainability, 2021. https://www.nature.com/articles/s41893-021-00708-4

 

Wamsler, C and Brink, E (2014). The Urban Domino Effect: A Conceptualization of Cities’ Interconnectedness of Risk. Prepared for the Global Assessment Report on Disaster Risk Reduction 2015. The United Nations Office for Disaster Risk Reduction. https://www.unisdr.org/we/inform/publications/48146

 

Washington Emergency Management Division (2018). Washington State Enhanced Hazard Mitigation Plan Risk and Vulnerability Assessment. https://mil.wa.gov/enhanced-hazard-mitigation-plan

 

 

E.   Other Metrics of Sustainability and Well-Being

 

Abson, D et al., (2017). Leverage Points for Sustainability Transformation. Ambio, 46. https://leveragepointsdotorg.files.wordpress.com/2016/07/abson_et_al_2016_leverage_points_for_sustainability_ambio_personal_copy.pdf

 

Agrawal, S and Harter, J (2011). Wellbeing Meta-Analysis: A Worldwide Study of the Relationship Between the Five Elements of Wellbeing and Life Evaluation, Daily Experiences, Health, and Giving. Gallup. https://www.gallup.com/services/176330/wellbeing-meta-analysis.aspx

 

Alvaredo, F, Chancel, L, Piketty, T, Saiz, E and Zucman, G (2018). World Inequality Report 2018. World Inequality Lab. https://wir2018.wid.world/

 

Avin, S et al., (2018). Classifying Global Catastrophic Risks. Futures, 102. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.futures.2018.02.001

 

Bartram, D (2011). Economic Migration and Happiness: Comparing Immigrants’ and Natives’ Happiness Gains From Income. Social Indicators Research, 103(1). https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s11205-010-9696-2

 

Bauwens, M and Pazaitis, A (2019). P2P Accounting for Planetary Survival. P2P Foundation. https://commonstransition.org/wp-content/uploads/2019/09/AccountingForPlanetarySurvival_defx-2.pdf

 

Bell, S and Morse, S (2018). Sustainability Indicators Past and Present: What Next?  Sustainability, 10(10). https://doi.org/10.3390/su10051688

 

Bergheim, S (2006). Measures of Well-being. Deutsche Bank Research. https://fortschrittszentrum.de/dokumente/Bergheim_2006-Measures_of_well-being.pdf

 

Berry, B and Okulicz-Kozaryn, A (2011). An Urban-Rural Happiness Gradient. Urban Geography, 32(6): 871–883. http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/pdf/10.2747/0272-3638.32.6.871

 

Bertelsmann Stiftung (2020). Sustainable Governance Indicators. https://www.sgi-network.org/2020/

 

Bertelsmann Stiftung (2020b). Sustainable Governance Indicators: Environment. https://www.sgi-network.org/2020/Policy_Performance/Environmental_Policies/Environment [Must click on the country you want from the bottom list.]

 

Binningsbo, H, Soysa, I and Gleditsch, N (2006). Green Giant or Straw Man? Environmental Pressure and Civil Conflict, 1961–99. Paper presented to the 47th Annual Convention of the International Studies Association, San Diego, CA. https://www.researchgate.net/publication/227006651_Green_giant_or_straw_man_Environmental_pressure_and_civil_conflict_1961-99

 

Board on Sustainable Development, National Research Council (1999). Our Common Journey: A Transition Toward Sustainability. National Academy Press. Executive summary: http://www.rwkates.org/pdfs/b1999.01.pdf Full report: https://www.nap.edu/catalog/9690/our-common-journey-a-transition-toward-sustainability [Has a 40 page section on the use of indicators.]

 

Bradshaw, C, Giam, X and Sodhi, N (2010). Evaluating the Relative Environmental Impact of Countries. PLoS ONE, 5(5). https://10.1371/journal.pone.0010440

 

Brander, L and Schuyt, K (2013). Benefits Transfer: The Economic Value of World’s Wetlands. TEEB. http://www.teebweb.org/wp-content/uploads/2013/01/The-economic-value-of-the-worlds-wetlands.pdf

 

Brauman, K, Richter, B, Postel, S, Malsy, M and Florke, M (2016). Water Depletion: An Improved Metric for Incorporating Seasonal and Dry-year Water Scarcity into Water Risk Assessments. Elementa: Science of the Anthropocene, 4. https://doi.org/10.12952/journal.elementa.000083

 

Brauman, K et al., (2020). Global Trends in Nature’s Contributions to People. Proceedings of the National Academy of Science, 117(51). https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.2010473117 [Key update]

 

Brooks, A (2020). The Three Equations for a Happy Life, Even During a Pandemic. The Atlantic, April 9. https://www.theatlantic.com/family/archive/2020/04/how-increase-happiness-according-research/609619/

 

Brown, A and Matlock, M (2011). A Review of Water Scarcity Indices and Methodologies. The Sustainability Consortium, White Paper 106. https://sustainabilityconsortium.org/download/a-review-of-water-scarcity-indices-and-methodologies/

 

Campbell, J et al., (2019). Measuring Progress: Towards Achieving the Environmental Dimension of the SDGs. United Nations Environment Programme. https://wedocs.unep.org/bitstream/handle/20.500.11822/27627/MeaProg2019.pdf?sequence=1&isAllowed=y

 

Cassidy, J (2014). Piketty’s Inequality Story in Six Charts. The New Yorker, March 26. https://www.newyorker.com/news/john-cassidy/pikettys-inequality-story-in-six-charts

 

Center for Systemic Peace (2015). Video Book: Societal-Systems Analytics. https://www.systemicpeace.org/videobook.html

 

Chaigneau, T et al. (2021). Reconciling Well-being and Resilience for Sustainable Development. Nature Sustainability, . https://www.nature.com/articles/s41893-021-00790-8

 

Chaplin-Kramer, R, et al., (2019). Global Modeling of Nature’s Contributions to People. Science, 366(6462). https://science.sciencemag.org/content/366/6462/255

 

Christensen, J. and Olhoff, A. (2019). Lessons from a Decade of Emissions Gap Assessments. United Nations Environment Programme. https://wedocs.unep.org/bitstream/handle/20.500.11822/30022/EGR10.pdf?sequence=1&isAllowed=y

 

Christian Science Monitor Editorial Board (2021). Green Accounting Starts to Add Up. The Christian Science Monitor, Feb. 2. https://www.csmonitor.com/Commentary/the-monitors-view/2021/0202/Green-accounting-starts-to-add-up

 

Climate Action Tracker (2020). The CAT Thermometer. https://climateactiontracker.org/global/cat-thermometer/ [Simple graphic tracks how different policies will yield different warming by 2100.]

 

Cohen, L (2021). "Nothing is Moving": Only One Country in the World has Submitted Plans that Will Mitigate Climate Change by 2030, Watchdog Finds. CBS News, Sept. 16. https://www.cbsnews.com/news/climate-change-2030-gambia/

 

Cohen, S (2020). Defining and Measuring Sustainability. State of the Planet, Oct. 19. Columbia University. https://blogs.ei.columbia.edu/2020/10/19/defining-measuring-sustainability-2/ [Emphasis on sustainability reporting/tracking in the corporate world.]

 

Community Indicators Consortium (2020). About CIC. https://communityindicators.net/about-cic-2/

 

Costanza, R, Hart, M, Posner, S and Talberth, J (2009). Beyond GDP: The Need for New Measures of Progress. The Pardee Papers, 4. The Frederick S. Pardee Center for the Study of the Longer-Range Future, Boston University. https://www.bu.edu/pardee/files/documents/PP-004-GDP.pdf

 

Currie, A and hEigeartaigh, S (2018). Working Together to Face Humanity’s Greatest Threats: Introduction to the Future of Research on Catastrophic and Existential Risk. Futures, 102. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.futures.2018.07.003

 

Daga, G (2014). Towards a New Development Paradigm: Critical Analysis of Gross National Happiness. Thesis for: M.A. in Public Policy, Jindal School of Government and Public Policy. https://www.researchgate.net/publication/262419781_Towards_a_New_Development_Paradigm_Critical_Analysis_of_Gross_National_Happiness

 

Deep Green Resistance (2020). Indicators of Cultural Crisis. https://deepgreenresistance.org/en/why-resist/cultural-crisis

 

De Neve, J and Sachs, J (2020). The SDGs and Human Well-being: A Global Analysis of Synergies, Trade-offs, and Regional Differences. Scientific Reports, 10. https://www.nature.com/articles/s41598-020-71916-9

 

Dockrill, P (2021). Humans Now Control the Majority of All Surface Freshwater Fluctuations on Earth. Science Alert, March 7. https://www.sciencealert.com/humans-have-seized-control-of-the-majority-of-all-surface-freshwater-on-earth

 

Donatuto, J, Campbell, L and Trousdale, W (2020). The “Value” of Values-driven Data in Identifying Indigenous Health and Climate Change Priorities. Climatic Change, 158. https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s10584-019-02596-2

 

Druckman, A and Gatersleben, B (2019). High Subjective Wellbeing, Low-carbon Leisure - A Time-use Approach. Journal of Public Mental Health, 18(2). https://www.cusp.ac.uk/themes/s1/paper-ad-bg-carbon-time-use/

 

Eckstein, D, Hutfils, M and Winges, M (2019). Global Climate Risk Index 2019. Germanwatch. https://germanwatch.org/sites/germanwatch.org/files/Global%20Climate%20Risk%20Index%202019_2.pdf

 

The Economics of Ecosystems and Biodiversity (TEEB) (2018). Measuring What Matters in Agriculture and Food Systems: A Synthesis of the Results and Recommendations of TEEB for Agriculture and Food’s Scientific and Economic Foundations Report. UN Environment. http://teebweb.org/our-work/agrifood/reports/measuring-what-matters-synthesis/

 

Ellsmoor, J (2019). New Zealand Ditches GDP For Happiness and Wellbeing. Forbes, July 11. https://www.forbes.com/sites/jamesellsmoor/2019/07/11/new-zealand-ditches-gdp-for-happiness-and-wellbeing/?sh=782ea1e21942

 

Elmqvist T, Cornell, S, Öhman, M, Daw, T, Moberg, F, Norström, A, Persson, Å, Peterson, G, Rockström, J, Schultz, M, and Hermansson-Török, E (2014). Global Sustainability and Human Prosperity – Contribution to the Post-2015 Agenda and the Development of Sustainable Development Goals. Nordic Council of Ministers. http://norden.diva-portal.org/smash/get/diva2:714418/FULLTEXT01.pdf

 

Energy & Climate Intelligence Unit (2020). Net Zero: Why Is It Necessary? https://eciu.net/analysis/briefings/net-zero/net-zero-why

 

Energy & Climate Intelligence Unit (2020). Net Zero: Why 1.5°C? https://eciu.net/analysis/briefings/net-zero/net-zero-why-1-5%C2%BAc

 

Energy & Climate Intelligence Unit (2020). Net Zero: The Scorecard. https://eciu.net/analysis/briefings/net-zero/net-zero-the-scorecard

 

Environmental Performance Index (2021). https://epi.yale.edu/ [Ranking country performance on sustainability issues.]

 

Environmental Performance Index (2021). ESRI Living Atlas. https://www.arcgis.com/apps/dashboards/8dd0d10f07544331888ecc2a406d1825

 

Fekete, H et al., (2021). Global Update: Climate Target Updates Slow as Science Ramps Up Need for Action. Climate Action Tracker. https://climateactiontracker.org/documents/871/CAT_2021-09_Briefing_GlobalUpdate.pdf

 

Figgis, P, Mackey, B, Fitzsimons, J, Irving, J and Clarke, P (eds.) (2015). Valuing Nature: Protected Areas and Ecosystem Services. Australian Committee for IUCN Inc. https://www.wavespartnership.org/en/knowledge-center/valuing-nature-protected-areas-and-ecosystem-services

 

Fischer, J and Riechers, M (2019). A Leverage Points Perspective on Sustainability. People and Nature, 1. https://besjournals.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/pdf/10.1002/pan3.13

 

Fiskel, J, Eason, T and Frederickson, H (2012). A Framework for Sustainability Indicators at EPA. National Risk Management Research Laboratory, Office of Research and Development, US EPA. EPA/600/R/12/687. https://www.epa.gov/sites/production/files/2014-10/documents/framework-for-sustainability-indicators-at-epa.pdf

 

Franco, E (2020). Global Risk Report 2020. World Economic Forum. http://www3.weforum.org/docs/WEF_Global_Risk_Report_2020.pdf

 

Frey, U (2017). A Synthesis of Key Factors for Sustainability in Social–ecological Systems. Sustainability Science, 12. https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s11625-016-0395-z

 

Friedlingstein, P, Andrew, R, Rogellj, J, Peters, G, Canadell, J, Knutti, R, Luderer, G, Raupach, M, Schaeffer, M, van Vuuren, D and Quere, C (2014). Persistent Growth of CO2 Emissions and Implications for Reaching Climate Targets. Nature Geoscience, 7: 709-715. https://www.globalcarbonproject.org/global/pdf/Friedlingstein_2014_Persistent%20growth%20of%20CO2%20emissions%20and%20implications%20for%20reaching%20climate%20targets.NatureG.pdf

 

Gain, A, Giupponi, C and Wada, Y (2016). Measuring Global Water Security Towards Sustainable Development Goals. Environmental Research Letters, 11. https://iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1088/1748-9326/11/12/124015

 

Garay, J and Chiriboga, D (2017). A Paradigm Shift for Socioeconomic Justice and Health: From Focusing on Inequalities to Aiming at Sustainable Equity. Public Health, 149. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.puhe.2017.04.015

 

Ghislandi, S, Sanderson, W and Scherbov, S (2018). A Simple Measure of Human Development: The Human Life Indicator. Population and Development Review, 45(1). https://doi.org/10.1111/padr.12205

 

Global Change.Gov (2019). USGCRP Indicator Platform. https://www.globalchange.gov/browse/indicators [Climate indicators showing trends over time in key aspects of our environment.]

 

The Globescan Foundation (2014). The Hope Index: A Survey of Citizen Views on the State of Our World. pdf

 

Graham, C (2016). Unhappiness in America. Brookings Institution, May 27. https://www.brookings.edu/opinions/unhappiness-in-america/

 

Green Growth Knowledge Platform (2021). Indicators and Measurements. https://www.greengrowthknowledge.org/themes/indicators-and-measurement [Portal to many articles and reports.]

 

Haberl, H et al., (2020). A Systematic Review of the Evidence on Decoupling of GDP, Resource Use and GHG Emissions, Part II: Synthesizing the Insights. Environmental Research Letters, 15. https://iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1088/1748-9326/ab842a/pdf

 

Happiness Alliance (2018).  Happiness Report Card 2018. https://issuu.com/happycounts/docs/happiness_report_card_2018_first_qu_826ce1b16f9087?e=33431794/61215392

 

The Happiness Initiative (2011). Happiness Report Card for Seattle. http://wikiprogress.org/data/dataset/seattle-area-happiness-initiative-and-report-card

 

Helliwell, J, Layard, R and Sachs, J (eds.) (2019). World Happiness Report 2019. Sustainable Development Solutions Network. https://worldhappiness.report/ed/2019/#read

 

Hickel, J (2020). The Sustainable Development Index: Measuring the Ecological Efficiency of Human Development in the Anthropocene. Ecological Economics, 167. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecolecon.2019.05.011

 

HowGood (2022). The World’s Largest Sustainability Database. https://howgood.com/

 

Inglehart, R (2000). Globalization and Postmodern Values. The Washington Quarterly.  https://www.uv.es/~genomica/spa/inves/Inglehart.pdf

 

Intergovernmental Science-Policy Platform on Biodiversity and Ecosystem Services (2019). Summary for Policymakers of the Global Assessment Report on Biodiversity and Ecosystem Services of the Intergovernmental Science-Policy Platform on Biodiversity and Ecosystem Services. IPBES Secretariat. https://ipbes.net/global-assessment

 

International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (2018). New Measure for the Wellbeing of Populations Could Replace Human Development Index. Phys.org, Nov. 6. https://phys.org/news/2018-11-wellbeing-populations-human-index.html

 

Investopedia Team (2021). Environmental, Social, and Governance (ESG) Criteria. https://www.investopedia.com/terms/e/environmental-social-and-governance-esg-criteria.asp

 

Johansen, C, Horney, J and Tien, I (2017). Metrics for Evaluating and Improving Community Resilience. Journal of Infrastructure Systems, 23(2). https://ascelibrary.org/doi/10.1061/%28ASCE%29IS.1943-555X.0000329

 

Kaphengst, T, Davis, M, Gerstetter, C, Klaas, K, McGlade, K and Naumann, S (2014). Quality of Life, Wellbeing and Biodiversity. The Role of Biodiversity in Future Development. Final Report submitted toDeutsche Gesellschaft fŸr Internationale Zusammenarbeit. Ecologic Institute Berlin. https://www.ecologic.eu/sites/default/files/publication/2014/ecologic-study-biodiversity-development-2014_0.pdf

 

Kaplan, S (2021). Many Measures of Earth’s Health Are at Worst Levels on Record, NOAA finds. TheWashington Post, Aug. 26. https://www.sfgate.com/news/article/Many-measures-of-Earth-s-health-are-at-worst-16413580.php

 

Karjalainen, J (2013). Towards a 'New' Political Arithmetic: An Assessment of the Indicators of Sustainable Development. University of Helsinki. https://helda.helsinki.fi/handle/10138/135394  [Master’s thesis]

 

Kennedy, E, Gladek, E and Roemers, G (2018). Using Systems Thinking to Transform Society. World Wildlife Fund Netherlands. https://www.metabolic.nl/publication/using-systems-thinking-to-transform-society/

 

Kharin, V, Flato, G, Zhang, X, Gillett, N, Zwiers, F and Anderson, K (2018). Risks from Climate Extremes Change Differently from 1.5°C to 2.0°C Depending on Rarity. Earth’s Future, 6(5). https://agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/full/10.1002/2018EF000813

 

Krieckhaus, J, Son, B, Bellinger, N and Wells, J (2013). Economic Inequality and Democratic Support. The Journal of Politics, 76(1). https://doi.org/10.1017/s0022381613001229

 

Kristof, N (2020). ‘We’re No. 28! And Dropping!’ New York Times, Sept. 9. https://www.nytimes.com/2020/09/09/opinion/united-states-social-progress.html [About our falling ranking on the Social Progress Index.]

 

Kubiszewski, I, Costanza, R, Franco, C, Lawn, P, Talberth, J, Jackson, T and Aylmer, C (2013). Beyond GDP: Measuring and Achieving Global Genuine Progress. Ecological Economics, 93. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecolecon.2013.04.019

 

Lamb, W and Steinberger, J (2017). Human Wellbeing and Climate Change Mitigation. WIREs Climate Change, 8(6). https://doi.org/10.1002/wcc.485

 

Levin, K (2018). Half a Degree and a World Apart: The Difference in Climate Impacts Between 1.5˚C and 2˚C of Warming. World Resources Institute. https://www.wri.org/blog/2018/10/half-degree-and-world-apart-difference-climate-impacts-between-15-c-and-2-c-warming [Good graphics, quick read for students]

 

Liden, K (2021). National Risk Assessments: A Political Vaccine Against the Next Disaster? Open Democracy, Feb. 15. https://www.opendemocracy.net/en/can-europe-make-it/national-risk-assessments-political-vaccine-against-next-disaster/

 

Lupu, N, Bustamante, M and Sellers, L (2021). Are We Achieving the Sustainable Development Goals?: Using AmericasBarometer Data to Measure Progress in the Americas. Vanderbilt University, Insights Series #145. https://www.vanderbilt.edu/lapop/insights/IO945en.pdf

 

Mace, G (2012). The Limits to Sustainability Science: Ecological Constraints or Endless Innovation? PLoS Biology, 10(6): https://journals.plos.org/plosbiology/article?id=10.1371/journal.pbio.1001343

 

Marks, N (2010).  The Happy Planet Index.  TED Conferences, LLC.  http://www.ted.com/talks/nic_marks_the_happy_planet_index.html

 

Marshall, M and Elzinga, (2016). Managing Complexity in Modern Societal-Systems (A Theory of Everyone). Center for Systemic Peace. https://www.youtube.com/user/systemicpeace [Video]

 

Matthews, D (2018). 23 Charts and Maps that Show the World is Getting Much Better. Vox, Oct. 17. https://www.vox.com/2014/11/24/7272929/global-poverty-health-crime-literacy-good-news

 

McKelvey, K et al., (2021). Adapting Research, Management, and Governance to Confront Socioecological Uncertainties in Novel Ecosystems. Frontiers in Forests and Global Change, 4. https://doi.org/10.3389/ffgc.2021.644696  [Employs systems thinking.]

 

McVittie, A and Hussain, S (2013). The Economics of Ecosystems and Biodiversity – Valuation Database Manual. The Economics of Ecosystems and Biodiversity (TEEB). http://teebweb.org/publications/other/teeb-valuation-database/

 

Mischen, P et al., (2019). A Foundation for Measuring Community Sustainability. Sustainability, 11(1903). https://www.mdpi.com/2071-1050/11/7/1903/pdf

 

MIT Technology Review (2021). The Green Future Index. https://www.technologyreview.com/2021/01/25/1016648/green-future-index/ [Interactive web platform showing rankings of 76 leading countries and territories on their progress and commitment toward building a low carbon future.]

 

Motesharrei, S, Rivas, J and Kalnay, E (2014). Human and Nature Dynamics (HANDY): Modeling Inequality and Use of Resources in the Collapse or Sustainability of Societies. Ecological Economics, 101: 90-102. https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0921800914000615?via%3Dihub

 

Munasinghe, P, Druckman, A, and Dissanayake, D. (2021). A Systematic Review of the Life Cycle Inventory of ClothingJournal of Cleaner Production, 320https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jclepro.2021.128852

 

Naviaux, J and Steinberg, N (2020). Measuring What Matters: A New Approach to Assessing Sovereign Climate Risk. Four Twenty Seven Report, Moody’s Corporation. https://427mt.com/2020/12/03/measuring-what-matters-a-new-approach-to-assessing-sovereign-climate-risk/

 

New Economics Foundation (2016). About the HPI. http://happyplanetindex.org/about

 

The Next System Project (2019). The Index of Systemic Trends. https://thenextsystem.org/learn/stories/index-systemic-trends

 

Norgaard, R (2010). Ecosystem Services: From Eye-opening Metaphor to Complexity Blinder. Ecological Economics, 69(6). https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecolecon.2009.11.009

 

Nunez, C (2014). How Green Are Those Solar Panels, Really? National Geographic, Nov. 11. https://www.nationalgeographic.com/science/article/141111-solar-panel-manufacturing-sustainability-ranking

 

Nussbaum, M (2007). Human Rights and Human Capabilities.  Harvard Human Rights Journal, V. 20. http://wtf.tw/ref/nussbaum.pdf

 

O’Brien, R (2021). The Green Future Index 2021. MIT Technology Review Insights. https://mittrinsights.s3.amazonaws.com/GFI/Report2021.pdf [It measures the degree to which 76 countries and territories are pivoting toward a green future by reducing their carbon emissions, developing clean energy, innovating in green sectors, and preserving their environment, as well as the degree to which governments are implementing effective climate policies.]

 

Organisation for Economic Cooperation and Development (2018). National Risk Assessments: A Cross Country Perspective. https://doi.org/10.1787/9789264287532-en

 

Ortiz-Ospina, E and Roser, M (2017). Happiness and Life Satisfaction. Our World in Data. https://ourworldindata.org/happiness-and-life-satisfaction

 

Oxford Poverty & Human Development Initiative (2020). Bhutan’s Gross National Happiness Index. https://ophi.org.uk/policy/national-policy/gross-national-happiness-index/ [Includes links to many GNHI reports.]

 

Palma-Oliveira, J, and Trump, B (2018). Resilience: Moving Forward from a Metaphor, in Trump, B, Florin, M and Linkov, I (Eds.). IRGC resource Guide on Resilience (Vol. 2): Domains of Resilience for Complex Interconnected Systems. EPFL International Risk Governance Center. https://irgc.org/risk-governance/resilience/irgc-resource-guide-on-resilience/volume-2/

 

Pan, Y (2020). Toward a Better Understanding of Cascading Consequences of Atmospheric Reactive Nitrogen Along its Transport Pathway. Atmospheric and Oceanic Science Letters, 13(3). https://doi.org/10.1080/16742834.2020.1750752 [Part of a special issue on Reactive Nitrogen in the Air: Emissions, Process, Deposition, and Impacts]

 

Peters, G (2017). How Much Carbon Dioxide Can We Emit? Cicero, Mar. 16. https://cicero.oslo.no/no/posts/klima/how-much-carbon-dioxide-can-we-emit

 

Pinker, S (2018).  Is the World Getting Better or Worse? A Look at the Numbers. TED Conferences. https://www.ted.com/talks/steven_pinker_is_the_world_getting_better_or_worse_a_look_at_the_numbers#t-377167

 

Pinsker, J (2021). We’re Learning the Wrong Lessons from the World’s Happiest Countries. The Atlantic, June 27. https://www.theatlantic.com/family/archive/2021/06/worlds-happiest-countries-denmark-finland-norway/619299/

 

Pinter, L, Almassy, and Hatakeyama, S (2014). Sustainable Development Goals and Indicators for a Small Planet. Part II: Measuring Sustainability. Asia-Europe Foundation. https://asef.org/wp-content/uploads/2020/10/ENVforum-Part_II-Measuring_Sustainability-1.pdf

 

Pirgmaier, E (2020). Consumption Corridors, Capitalism and Social Change. Sustainability: Science, Practice and Policy, 16(1). https://doi.org/10.1080/15487733.2020.1829846

 

Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research and Climate Analytics (2012). Turn Down the Heat: Why a 4 °C Warmer World Must Be Avoided. The World Bank. http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/362721468153549916/pdf/632190WP0Turn000Box374367B00PUBLIC0.pdf

 

Reichers, M (2019). A Leverage Points Perspective on Sustainability. Leuphana University Luneburg. https://ideas4sustainability.wordpress.com/2019/10/31/video-a-leverage-points-perspective-on-sustainability/ [6 minute overview video.]

 

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