Publications

Submitted / in preparation:

  • Po-Chedley S, KC Armour, CM Bitz, MD Zelinka, BD Santer and Q Fu (2017) Sources of intermodel spread in the lapse rate and water vapor feedbacks, submitted
  • Goosse H, JE Kay, KC Armour, A Bodas-Salcedo, H Chepfer, D Docquier, A Jonko, PJ Kushner, O Lecomte, F Massonnet, H-S Park, F Pithan, G Svensson, and M Vancoppenolle (2017) Quantitative estimation of climate feedbacks in polar regions, submitted
  • Kostov Y, DG Ferreira, KC Armour and J Marshall (2017) Why have climate models not reproduced the multidecadal Southern Ocean surface cooling?, submitted
  • Siler N, GH Roe, KC Armour and N Feldl (2017) Surface energy budget constraints on the increase in global precipitation with warming, submitted

2017

  • Stuecker MF, CM Bitz and KC Armour (2017) Conditions leading to the unprecedented low Antarctic sea ice extent during the 2016 austral spring season, Geophysical Research Letters, 44, doi: 10.1002/2017GL074691
  • Haugstad AD, KC Armour, DS Battisti and BEJ Rose (2017) Relative roles of surface temperature and climate forcing patterns in the inconstancy of radiative feedbacks, Geophysical Research Letters, 44, doi: 10.1002/2017GL074372 [pdf]
  • Kostov Y, J Marshall, U Hausmann, KC Armour, DG Ferreira and MM Holland (2017) Fast and slow responses of Southern Ocean sea surface temperature to SAM in coupled climate models, Climate Dynamics, 48:1595, doi: 10.1007/s00382-016-3162-z

2016

  • Armour KC (2016) Projection and prediction: Climate sensitivity on the rise, Nature Climate Change, 6, 896–897, doi:10.1038/nclimate3079 [pdf]

2015

  • Armour KC and CM Bitz (2015) Observed and projected trends in Antarctic sea ice, US CLIVAR Variations, 13.4, 13–19 [pdf]
  • Roe GH, N Feldl, KC Armour, Y-T Hwang and DMW Frierson (2015) The remote impacts of climate feedbacks on regional climate predictability, Nature Geoscience, 8, 135-139, doi: 10.1038/ngeo2346 [pdf]
  • Marshall J, J Scott, KC Armour, J-M Campin, M Kelley and A Romanou (2015) The ocean’s role in the transient response of climate to abrupt greenhouse gas forcing, Climate Dynamics, 4, 2287–2299, doi: 10.1007/s00382-014-2308-0  [pdf]

2014

  • Donohoe A, KC Armour, AG Pendergrass and DS Battisti (2014) Shortwave and longwave radiative contributions to global warming under increasing CO2, Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, 111, 16700-16705, doi: 10.1073/pnas.1412190111 [pdf]
  • Kostov Y, KC Armour and J Marshall (2014) Impact of the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation on ocean heat storage and transient climate change, Geophysical Research Letters, 41, doi: 10.1002/2013GL058998  [pdf]  [a news piece]
  • Rose BEJ, KC Armour, DS Battisti, N Feldl and DDB Koll (2014) The dependence of transient climate sensitivity and radiative feedbacks on the spatial pattern of ocean heat uptakeGeophysical Research Letters, 41, doi: 10.1002/2013GL058955  [pdf]  [a news piece]
  • Donohoe A, J Marshall, D Ferreira, KC Armour and D McGee (2014) The inter-annual variability of tropical precipitation and inter-hemispheric energy transport, Journal of Climate, 27, 3377–3392, doi: 10.1175/JCLI-D-13-00499.1 [pdf]

2013

  • Armour KC, CM Bitz and GH Roe (2013) Time-varying climate sensitivity from regional feedbacks, Journal of Climate, 26, 4518–4534, doi: 10.1175/JCLI-D-12-00544.1 [pdf]

2012

  • Bitz CM, KM Shell, PR Gent, DA Bailey, G Danabasoglu, KC Armour, MM Holland and JT Kiehl (2012) Climate sensitivity of the Community Climate System Model Version 4, Journal of Climate, 25, 3053–3070, doi: 10.1175/JCLI-D-11-00290.1 [pdf]
  • Langebroek P, C Bradshaw, A Yanchilina, R Caballero-Gill, C Pew, KC Armour, S-Y Lee and I-M Jansson (2012) Improved proxy record of past warm climates needed, Eos Trans. AGU, 93(14), 144, doi:10.1029/2012EO140007

2011

  • Roe GH and KC Armour (2011) How sensitive is climate sensitivity?Geophysical Research Letters, 38, L14708, doi: 10.1029/2011GL047913 [pdf]
  • Armour KC, CM Bitz, L Thompson and EC Hunke (2011) Controls on Arctic sea ice from first-year and multiyear ice survivability, Journal of Climate, 24, 2378–2390, doi: 10.1175/2010JCLI3823.1  [pdf]
  • Blanchard-Wrigglesworth E, KC Armour, CM Bitz and E DeWeaver (2011) Persistence and inherent predictability of Arctic sea ice in a GCM ensemble and observations, Journal of Climate, 24, 231–250, doi: 10.1175/2010JCLI3775.1 [pdf]