THIS SCHEDULE IS PRELIMINARY, AND SUBJECT TO CHANGE
INFORMATION WILL BE UPDATED THROUGH THE QUARTER
DO NOT EXPECT ALL LINKS TO BE WORKING YET.
(If a link is not working by the time it is needed, please ask!)
FPP denotes the course text, Freedman, Pisani, and Purves (4 th. edition).
| WEEK 1 | ||
| Monday, Jan 7 |
Introduction Designed experiments (FPP Ch. 1) The Salk Vaccine Trials. |
Requests for add codes Notes for first week (PDF) (12/30/2007) |
| Tuesday, Jan 8 Sections. |
Introductions and information Some very basic math ideas |
Print out and sign this statement First-day numbers examples |
| Wednesday, Jan 9 | Observational studies & Confounding factors (FPP Ch 2). The breast cancer screening trial. | |
| Thursday, Jan 10 Sections. | Examples of observational studies and confounding. | |
| Friday, Jan 11 |
Observational studies and Simpson's paradox:
Example of the Berkeley Admissions data Polls and surveys: types of bias in sampling (FPP Ch 19) | Information and flyer provided about the Statistics Tutor & Study Center(STSC) |
| WEEK 2 | ||
| Monday, Jan 14 |
More about Sampling from a population (FPP Ch 19) Start on variables and histograms (FPP Ch 3) | Notes for second week (PDF) (01/05/2008) |
| Tuesday, Jan 15 Sections. |
Randomized treatment/control Selecting a random sample | Bring dice/coins (not everyone!) |
| Wednesday, Jan 16 |
More on Histograms (FPP Ch 3) | QUIZ 1 (with soln) from 2007 (posted Jan 11,2008) |
| Thursday, Jan 17 Sections. |
Histograms and more histograms What is good? What is bad? And/or TAs may review old 2007 quiz-1 |
Homework 1 due (posted 12/30/2007) Thompson: Not available this day. Chunn: away. J.Gruel to take AE,AD. |
| Friday, Jan 18 |
Other graphical displays (FPP Ch 3) The Horizon Homeopathy Experiment | The link to the Homeopathy article is for interest only. You will probably be able to access only through a UW computer. |
| WEEK 3 | ||
| Monday, Jan 21 | NO CLASSES | MLK Holiday |
| Tuesday, Jan 22 Sections. |
Review of sampling and studies. Review of graphical displays. |
Review list for Quiz1
(Posted Jan 18) (FPP Chapters 1,2,19,3) |
| Wednesday, Jan 23 | Mean, median and SD (FPP Ch 4) |
Notes for third week (PDF)(Posted Jan 15, 2008) Thompson: Unavailable after 9.20 a.m.: No Thompson office hr today. |
| Thursday, Jan 24 Sections. |
QUIZ #1 :closed-book, 20 minutes In the second half of your section. |
Did you hand in your signed statement yet? Homework 2 due(posted 12/30/2007) |
| Friday, Jan 25 |
More means, SD, and SD units. The homeopathy example again. | |
| WEEK 4 | ||
| Monday, Jan 28 |
The normal curve. Percentiles. (FPP Ch 5) | |
| Tuesday, Jan 29 Sections. |
Discussion of questions arising from quiz
and from homeworks. Mean, median, and SD: SD units. |
Quiz 1 solutions Notes for fourth week (PDF) (posted Jan 27) |
| Wednesday, Jan 30 |
Associations and Scatterplots (FPP, Chapters 8,9) Points and lines.(FPP Ch 7) |
Some information about the midterm
(posted Jan 25) 2007 midterm with solutions (posted Jan 25) A midterm review list (posted Jan 25) |
| Thursday, Jan 31 Sections. |
Percentiles,
Areas, SD units. FPP. P.84 No 1, P.88 No. 1 |
Last chance to get 1% for your
in your signed statement. Homework 3 due (Posted Jan 18) Short version of the Normal Table (posted Jan 27) |
| Friday, Feb 1 |
The SD line. The slope of the SD line does NOT measure association Use of standardized values. | |
| WEEK 5 | ||
| Monday, Feb 4 |
The correlation coefficient The correlation is not the whole story Association is not cause! | Next week (Feb 11) you will need Notes section 5: for week 6 (PDF) (Posted Feb 3) |
| Tuesday, Feb 5 Sections. |
Association and correlation Example: Question 4 from 2007 midterm. |
Possible FPP questions to discuss: P. 130 No. 6. ; P.156-7 No 12 (parts). |
| Wednesday, Feb 6 | Midterm review: See all the review etc. info under the Jan 30 date. |
Study Center open until 5.30 p.m. (as usual) |
| Thursday, Feb 7 Sections. |
More percents and percentiles. Example: Question 3 from 2007 Midterm. |
Study Center open until 5.30 p.m. (as usual) Homework 4 due(posted Jan 24) |
| Friday, Feb 8 |
MIDTERM EXAM See all the review etc. info under the Jan 30 date. |
SIEG 134: Sections AE, AD; Jennifer's sections. JHN 102: Sections AA,AB,AC,AF; Aneesh's and Kevin's. Remember to bring a working calculator. |
| WEEK 6 | ||
| Monday, Feb 11 |
Regression FPP Ch. 10,11,12 The regression estimate; Regression to the mean. |
Notes section 5: for week 6 (PDF)
(Posted Feb 3) Note: On 5.5 (P.9), r=0.5 NOT r=0.6; Elsewhere r=0.6 |
| Tuesday, Feb 12 Sections. |
Correlation and regression OK FPP Qu re correlation: P.135 No 5; Good FPP Qu on regression: e.g. FPP (Ch 10) P161 No 2; |
Kevin See away: Derek McClure to take AC,AF.
|
| Wednesday, Feb 13 |
More regression examples The R.M.S.Error: the SD of prediction errors. | |
| Thursday, Feb 14 Sections. |
More regression: good examples FPP (Chapter 10) P.167 No. 2; P. 174 No.1, P. 175 No. 1 | Homework 5 due (posted Feb 3) |
| Friday, Feb 15 |
More regression: residuals The normal curve in vertical strips. | Old 2007 Quiz-2 with solutions (posted Feb 12) |
| WEEK 7 | ||
| Monday, Feb 18 | NO CLASSES | Presidents' Day |
| Tuesday, Feb 19 Sections. |
Vertical Strips: Good examples: Any Set E, P197-8. General review of regression: |
Midterm to be returned:
Solutions (posted Feb 19) A note on interpreting your midterm score (Feb 19) |
| Wednesday, Feb 20 |
When regression is problematic. Final regression cautions: interventions | You will need Notes section 6: for week 7 (PDF) (posted 02/19/2008) |
| Thursday, Feb 21 Sections. | QUIZ 2 (Regression) |
Homework 6 due (posted Feb 3) |
| Friday, Feb 22 |
Chance variability: the law of averages More chance variability: box models | |
| WEEK 8 | ||
| Monday, Feb 25 |
Probability histograms Expected value and Standard error. The EV and SE of a count. | |
| Tuesday, Feb 26 Sections. | Review of chances, law of averages, probability histograms and SE (of count only) |
Good examples: Ch. 16, Set A No. 4; Set C, No. 1; Ch. 18, Set A, Nos. 2, 4; |
| Wednesday, Feb 27 |
The central limit theorem. Use the normal curve to figure chances |
Info for quiz 3 (posted Feb 26): 2007 Quiz 3 (corrected): without solutions See below (Mar 4): for version with solutions: version that was here had couple typos. 2007 version of formulas etc, provided for Quiz 3. |
| Thursday, Feb 28 Sections. | Review of midterm and quiz2 |
Homework 7 due (posted Feb 19) Quiz-2 will be returned solutions (posted Feb 26) |
| Friday, Feb 29 |
Sampling populations vs box models. Chance variation in proportions and averages. |
Notes set 7: last set (PDF)
(Posted Feb 27) The Rice Virtual Lab in Statistics (Posted Feb 27) |
| WEEK 9 | ||
| Monday, Mar 3 |
Demo of sampling variation and confidence intervals Confidence intervals: Example of population percentage. | |
| Tuesday, Mar 4 Sections. | EV and SE of sum, avg, count and proportion. Using the normal curve to figure chances |
Good examples: P.297 No. 2: do average as well as sum P. 380 No. 4: do count as well as proportion/percentage. 2007 Quiz 3: with solutions Corrected version: posted Mar 4 (See Feb 26, for no-solution version, and formulas page) |
| Wednesday, Mar 5 |
Conf interval for population mean. Summary of SE -- given or estimated. Hypothesis testing: P-values Testing a given value of a percentage. | |
| Thursday, Mar 6 Sections. |
One last review of EV, SE QUIZ #3 :closed-book, 20 minutes In the second half of your section. Chance error in sampling; normal approx. for counts, proportions, sums and averages. |
Homework 8 due (posted Feb 19)
|
| Friday, Mar 7 |
Testing a given value of a mean. The SE the of difference in means Testing a difference in means (small example). |
Review list of topics for the final (posted March 5) Page of Normal Table and formulas you will have in Final (posted March 7) |
| WEEK 10 | ||
| Monday, Mar 10 |
Tests vs confidence intervals for means. Testing difference in means (more examples): The Homeopathy example: one more time. |
Lecture Student evaluations Kevin: extra office hours: Study Center, 11:30-3 Elizabeth: regular office hour slightly extended: 1.45-3.15 |
| Tuesday, Mar 11 Sections. |
Hypothesis testing: testing the value or difference
of a mean For example: Chapter 26; REVIEW EXX: No. 4 or 5 (P.497) |
Quiz 3 will be returned; solutions
posted (Mar 11) Section Student evaluations Special announcement re quiz 3, question 2c scores Kevin See away: Derek McClure to take AC,AF. Aneesh away: Sabino Kornrich to take AA, AB Jennifer will extend her 11-12 office hour at Study Center, to cover Aneesh's 12-1 |
| Wednesday, Mar 12 |
Testing for a difference in proportions The Boston (Woburn MA) birth defects study. Info about the final exam: start of review. |
Special announcement re quiz 3, question 2c scores Good examples for review; in study and in sections z-scores, percents, percentiles '07 MT Q2, '08 MT Q3. Ch 5: P.88, Set C Nos, 1,2 Ch 5; P.92, Set E Nos. 1,2,3 Regression: '07, '08 Quiz-2. Ch. 11: P. 197, Set E, Nos. 1,2,3 Chance: '07, '08 Quiz-3. Ch. 17: P.303, Set E. Nos 3,7,9 Inference: Conf intervals: Ch 23: p.420, Set B, Nos 5,6. Hypothesis testing: many examples in notes!! Also the two Hwk 9 examples. Hypothesis testing example from 2007 final (posted Mar 11) Jennifer: usual Study Center Office hours, 11-12 Elizabeth extended Study Center Office hours, 12-2.30 (covering Kevin's hour); |
| Thursday, Mar 13 Sections. |
Review for final: esp. z-scores, percentiles, regression The computations/numbers part. Special announcement re quiz 3, question 2c scores |
Homework 9 due (posted Mar 1)
Kevin See away: Derek McClure to take AC,AF. Aneesh away: Sabino Kornrich to take AA, AB Thompson will visit AA, AC, AF, AB, (in that order) in case of questions. |
| Friday, Mar 14 | FINAL REVIEW | Kevin: extra office hours: 11:45-1:45 (C329 PDL) |
| EXAMS WEEK | ||
| Sunday, Mar 16 | Study Center open 4-7 p.m. | |
| Monday, Mar 17 |
Provisional Plan: Instructor and TA extra office hours. Some homeworks (NOT Hwk 9), midterms, quizzes not yet returned will be at the Study Center, Monday p.m. |
Study Center open 11.30 a.m.-7.30 p.m. 11-12.30: Jennifer: special session-- next room (A); all welcome 12.30-2: Kevin: extended office hours 1.45 - 3.45: Elizabeth: extended office hours. |
| Tuesday, Mar 18 8:30-10:20 a.m. |
Final Exam: this is the UW official time. |
The exam is in SMITH 120 for ALL sections. |