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Kam Wing Chan 陳金永 Professor ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------- My recent commentaries: 渐进的、破冰的全面户籍改革 《保尔森基金会政策备忘录》, 2014年12月 戶籍改革是关乎中国发展的重大课题。中国的耕地有限，比美国的还要少，但仍然有二亿多人口依靠农业为生，八亿多仍然拿着“农村户口”的人口。中国要进一步发展，走城镇化的道路，同时让农民工“市民化”，是无可避免的选择。、...閲讀全文 Related Links: China’s Closed Cities Threaten Population
Goals, Report Says,
WSJ.com, December 17, 2014 中国流动人口约2.3亿 美媒称户籍改革应更大胆,《参考消息》, 2014-12-19 Migrant Children are Now Losing School
Places in Large Cities in China, South China Morning Post, December 6, 2014. More migrants are taking children with
them to cities. But it is grossly premature to say these children "can
look forward to a better life" with their parents. The harsh reality,
sadly, is probably the exact opposite….
Read
more People Not Buildings — China’s New
Approach to Urbanization, Bloomberg
Brief, October, 2014
China’s creaking household registration system, known as the hukou,
was a product of Mao’s industrialization strategy. The system has been a
barrier to full participation in the social and economic life of the city for
hundreds of millions of migrants. During the past three decades, lack of
reform has skewed China’s urbanization path and produced a
mammoth underclass, which threatens social stability. The
case for reform has become overwhelming and the government has finally started
to act.. …. Read
more Migration and Urbanization in China, Seattle Times, May
21, 2014 In the last three decades, China has
undergone rapid and massive urbanization. Today, more than 700 million people
live in cities and towns, more than triple the
nearly 200 million in 1980. While this epic rural-urban shift has many of the
trappings of urbanization, as observed elsewhere in the world, the Chinese
case is much more complex. …. Read more 城鎮化新藍圖的突破與不足 《明報》, 2014-4-2 各方期待多時的《國家新型城鎮化規劃》（下稱《規劃》）3月中終於公布，這也是中國首部國家級城鎮化規劃。自1949年起，中國始建城鄉二元體制，推行「中國式」城鎮化，
以法律、政治手段將社會、人口、勞動力等割裂成不平等的兩塊，並將戶籍制度與城鎮化緊緊綑綁。、...閲讀全文 Related Link: China’s
Urbanization 2020: A New Blueprint and Direction, Eurasian Geography and
Economics, 2014, No.1 The
Great Change South China Morning Post,
March 27, 2014 China's bold new urbanisation plan raises many questions, not least how
the increased social costs will be funded and whether the focus on small
cities can achieve the desired result…. Read more
滬學生評估奪冠的光環背後 《明報》, 2014-1-3 OECD的PISA 2012年學生評估測驗，上海再奪冠，在國際（包括本港）引起不少爭議。有人認為這是中國實力上升的表現，同時也憂心戚戚，尤其有些美國人，深怕沒法與中國人競爭。反而有些人認為不必過度歡欣（或惶恐），測驗分數不代表分析能力、創造力；這樣說的人，有好幾個竟是國內的知名教育界人士。他們更認為，還要進一步檢省上海那種「應試教學」模式的弊病。最後，也有外國人認為這個分數不正常，是造假的，不具代表性。、...閲讀全文 Related Links:
Shanghai Test
Scores and the Mystery of the Missing Children, The New York Times,
January 23,
2014 Left Behind: Young Children on
Their Own in China, video,
Wall Street Journal, January
6, 2014. China is not Eating Our Lunch, The Seattle Times, January 3, 2011 外来”与未来：美国移改对中国户改的启示 《中国改革》,
2013年第8期,
2013-8-1 改革移民制度、户籍制度，中美各自都说了十多年。这个题目终于成为今年的热门课题。经过多月来艰苦的讨论和谈判，美国参议院在6月底以大比数压倒性通过了30多年来最重要的移民改革法案，主要内容是让1100万无证移民可以成为合法居民。.... 阅读全文 户籍改革路线图 财新《新世纪》, 2013年 第18期,
2013-05-13 从2015年开始， 所有大中小城镇，首先向外地大学毕业生开放，然后向有熟练技术又有稳定就业的农民工开放，再逐步有序地向其他农民工开放.... 阅读全文 Related Links: 十五年完成户籍改革 《中国改革》2013年 第6期, 2013-6-1 A Road Map
for Reforming China’s Hukou System, China Dialogue, October 22, 2013. Cities of Dreams South China Morning Post,
January 19, 2013 Dreams
are in vogue in mainland China. During a widely publicised
tour of Shenzhen, the new head of the Communist Party, Xi Jinping, called for
the realisation of the “Chinese dream”…. Read more Related
Link: 圆“城市梦”须改革户籍制度,《参考消息》, 2013-1-21 Not Quite There Yet July
1, 2012 (with Dorothy Solinger) Chasing China’s middle class
shoppers has been American business’ “China dream” for decades. In a recent Wall Street Journal article titled
“Chasing China’s Shoppers” (June 15, 2012, B1), the authors attributed the
lack of success of some American businesses in China to their misjudgment of
its middle-class shoppers' preferences. … .. Read more Path to Riches is Paved through Cities China Daily, May 25, 2012.
Last year marked a milestone in China’s
several-thousand-year history: for the first time, more people lived in
cities and towns than in the countryside. The country’s 690 million urban dwellers
now account for 51.3 percent of China’s total population of 1.35 billion.
China’s recent urban transition is definitely a historic event of global
importance. … . Read
the full article. Related links: 中文译文: 迈向富裕的城市化道路 Can China’s Urbanisation Save the World? Conversation, June 1, 2012. Apple’s
Secret The Ave, January 23,
2012 Apple, despite its innovative
greatness, has a reputation for secrecy. “How the U.S. Lost Out on iPhone
Work” (The New York Times, January 22) puts some of its secrets,
perhaps dirty ones, out in the open. In addition to low costs (to Apple),
“the speed and flexibility (of Chinese labor) is
breathtaking,” ….. Read the full text F(r)ee Country The Ave,January
15, 2012 As a
lifelong foreign student of English I’ve been intrigued, if at times
confused, by the magical power of certain words to conceal as well as to
reveal. For example, after twenty years in this free country, I have finally
come to learn about the real meanings …
Read the full text The Limp in China’s Great Leap The Seattle Times,
December 6, 2011. With the U.S. economy in the doldrums and
Europe's ongoing debt crisis continuing its downward spiral, analysts are
left to wonder if China might be the savior of the global economy or, rather,
whether the country is simply a multitrillion bubble about to burst… Read the full text 美國夢、中國夢，仍然遙遠 《星島日報》（美西版）2011-11-30 剛下筆開始寫這篇文章時，在紐約的兒子就傳來電郵，說警察已在清晨時份強制清走在曼哈頓祖科蒂公園的帳篷。有人說，一個人沒有夢，生命也就死了。一個沒有夢的社會，是一個死的社會。... 阅读全文 In the City, but Not of the City: the
Myth of China’s Urbanization China-US Focus, July 16, 2011.
In the popular media and the business world, urbanization is often the
most cited fundamental driver of global economic growth, especially for the
next few decades. The assumption is that such a rural-urban shift
will transform poor farmers into industrial and office workers, raise their incomes
and create a mass consumer class.... Read
the full text Related links: Bright Lights,
Big Questions About China's Urban
Legend, Wall Street Journal, August 1, 2011.
（中文译文: 中国式城市化的发展症结）
Urban Myth, South China Morning
Post, August 24, 2011.
Plight of the
Rat Pack, The Straits Times, September 10,
2011 Mothers Who Understand the Importance of Education, The
Ave, May 7, 2011.
Many mothers understand the importance of education. Some pushy
ones, like the “tiger mom” who has ignited a firestorm of debate about
parenting, have given mom a bad name. Many others, gentler and far less
known, in my opinion, are equally powerful and decidedly smarter,…… Read
the full text China’s High-Speed Trains: Too Fast, Too Furious, China-US Focus, March 28, 2011. This year China endured its
grueling 40-day annual chunyun – the epic “spring
movement” of an estimated 120 million people traveling long distances home
and back during the Lunar New Year interlude. This took place right after
China entered its glittering bullet-train age last year… Read
the full text
Related link: Fast and
Furious, China Economic Review, September
2011, pp.12-13. China
is Not ‘Eating Our Lunch’, The
Seattle Times, January 3, 2011. The lackluster performance of our
15-year-olds in math, science and reading in a standardized test compared
with Shanghai's students scoring first in all three subjects, have stirred
some interesting and somewhat self-deprecating comments. President Obama
declared it a "Sputnik moment," …
Related link: Chinese
Education: The Truth Behind the Boasts, China Bloomberg
Businessweek, April 4, 2013. 中国要走正常城镇化道路 财新网 (2010-12-8) 城镇化将成为中国经济下一轮的新增长点，但如何结合发展战略，具体走什么样的城镇化的路，是目前急需要探讨的问题.. 阅读全文 户籍改革如何在渐进中突破 南方报网 (2010-03-10 ) 在金融危机后的中国，
户口改革又成为热烘烘讨论的话题。温总理最近讲了几次关于开放中小城市的户籍，要解决好民工的新生代的就业和生活问题，要利用城市化推动内需。户籍改革已经谈了十几年… 阅读全文 Making Real Hukou Reform, East Asia Forum, March 3, 2010 Yes
it’s true – hukou (household registration) reform is again back in
vogue in China’s ‘post-crisis’ conversations. Premier Wen Jiabao
has been talking.... Read the
full text The Problem with China’s Population
Data, ft.com Dragonbeat, July 14,
2009. How big are Chinese cities? That depends on
how you measure them. Back in 2005, Time magazine proclaimed that
Chongqing had become “the largest city not only in China but in the world”,
with a population in excess of 30m....
Read
the full text ---------------------------------------------------------- RECENT
AND FORTHCOMING PUBLICATIONS Forstall, Richard L., and Kam Wing Chan, 2015.
“Urban Places: Statistical Definitions,” in International Encyclopedia of
the Social and Behavioral Sciences, 2nd edition, Elsevier (in press). Chan, Kam Wing, 2014. “Achieving
Comprehensive Hukou Reform in China,” Paulson Policy Memoranda,
December, 2014. Chan, Kam Wing, 2014. China’s Urbanization 2020: A
New Blueprint and Direction, Eurasian Geography and
Economics, 2014, No.1 陈金永，2013. “探讨户籍改革之路”， 蔡昉主编《中国人口与劳动问题报告No.14》, 第111至125页 Chan, Kam Wing, 2013. “China, Internal Migration,” in Immanuel
Ness and Peter Bellwood (eds.) The Encyclopedia of Global Migration,
Blackwell Publishing. Chan, Kam Wing, 2012. “Migration and
Development in China: Trends, Geography and Current Issues,” Migration and
Development, Vol.1, No.2, pp.187-205 Chan, Kam Wing, 2012. “Crossing the 50 Percent Population
Rubicon: Can China Urbanize to Prosperity?” Eurasian Geography and
Economics, Vo1.53, No.1, pp.63-86. Related links: China’s
Urbanization Unlikely to Lead to Fast Growth of Middle Class: UW Geographer, UW Today, February 29, 2012 China's
Imaginary Middle Class, The Wilson
Quarterly, December 2012, Woodrow Wilson International Center for
Scholars. Chan, Kam Wing and Alana Boland, 2012. "Cities of East
Asia," in Stanley Brunn, Maureen
Hays-Mitchell, Donald Zeigler (eds.), Cities of the World: World Regional
Urban Development,5th ed, Lanham: Rowman & Littlefield, pp.470-521 陈金永, 2011.“中国户籍制度和农民工,”《神州交流》, 第八卷,
第一期, 第32-41页。 USEFUL resources on China Migration Statistics and
Trends Urban
Population Statistics Urban Population Data,
1970-2010 Population of Largest 10 Cities Rural and Urban Employment
and Unemployment in 2009
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