THIS SCHEDULE IS PRELIMINARY, AND SUBJECT TO CHANGE
INFORMATION WILL BE UPDATED THROUGH THE QUARTER
FPP denotes the course text, Freedman, Pisani, and Purves (3 rd. edition).
| WEEK 1 | ||
| Wednesday, Jan 3 |
Introduction Designed experiments (FPP Ch. 1) |
Requests for add codes Notes for first week (PDF) |
| Thursday, Jan 4 Sections. |
Introductions and information Some very basic math ideas |
Print out and sign this statement First-day numbers examples |
| Friday, Jan 5 |
Observational studies & Confounding factors (FPP Ch 2) | |
| WEEK 2 | ||
| Monday, Jan 8 | Sampling from a population (FPP Ch 19) | Quiz1 from 2006 (as set, but minus figure from FPP.P34) |
| Tuesday, Jan 9 Sections. |
Randomized treatment/control Selecting a random sample | Bring dice/coins (not everyone!) |
| Wednesday, Jan 10 |
Introduction to Histograms (FPP Ch 3) | Notes for second week (PDF) |
| Thursday, Jan 11 Sections. |
Histograms and more histograms What is good? What is bad? | Homework 1 due |
| Friday, Jan 12 |
Other graphical displays (FPP Ch 3) The Horizon Homeopathy Experiment | The link to the Homeopathy article is for interest only. You will probably be able to access only through a UW computer. |
| WEEK 3 | ||
| Monday, Jan 15 | NO CLASSES | MLK Holiday |
| Tuesday, Jan 16 Sections. |
Review of sampling and studies. Review of graphical displays. |
Quiz1 from 2006 with solution
Notes for third week (PDF) |
| Wednesday, Jan 17 | Mean, median and SD (FPP Ch 4) | Review items for Quiz1 (FPP Chapters 1,2,19,3) |
| Thursday, Jan 18 Sections. |
QUIZ #1 :closed-book, 20 minutes In the second half of your section. |
Did you hand in your signed statement yet? Homework 2 due |
| Friday, Jan 19 |
More means, SD, and SD units. The homeopathy example again. | |
| WEEK 4 | ||
| Monday, Jan 22 |
The normal curve. Percentiles. (FPP Ch 5) | |
| Tuesday, Jan 23 Sections. |
Quiz 1 will be returned. Discussion of questions arising from quiz and from homeworks. Mean and median. |
Quiz 1 solutions uploaded Jan 24 Notes for fourth week (PDF) |
| Wednesday, Jan 24 |
Associations and Scatterplots (FPP, Chapters 8,9) Points and lines.(FPP Ch 7) |
Some information about the nidterm 2006 midterm, with solutions A midterm review list |
| Thursday, Jan 25 Sections. |
Percentiles,
Areas, SD units. FPP. P.84 No 1, P.88 No. 1 |
Last chance to get 1% for your
in your signed statement. Homework 3 due Short version of the Normal Table |
| Friday, Jan 26 |
The SD line. The slope of the SD line does NOT measure association Use of standardized values. | |
| WEEK 5 | ||
| Monday, Jan 29 |
The correlation coefficient The correlation is not the whole story Association is not cause! | |
| Tuesday, Jan 30 Sections. |
Association and correlation |
Possible FPP questions to discuss: P. 130 No. 6. ; P.156-7 No 12 (parts). |
| Wednesday, Jan 31 | Midterm review |
Notes section 5: for week 6 (PDF) Study Center open until 5.30 p.m. (as usual) |
| Thursday, Feb 1 Sections. |
More percents and percentiles. Example: Question 2 from 2006 Midterm. |
Study Center open until 5.30 p.m. (EXTRA hours) Homework 4 due |
| Friday, Feb 2 | MIDTERM EXAM |
SAV 239: Sections AC. AD, AE, AF (Lee's and Le's) SAV 216: Sections AA, AB (``overflow'' to SAV 239) |
| WEEK 6 | ||
| Monday, Feb 5 |
Regression: The regression estimate Regression to the mean. |
You will need
Notes section 5: for week 6 (PDF) FPP Ch. 10,11,12 |
| Tuesday, Feb 6 Sections. |
Correlation and regression Good FPP Qu re correlation: P.135 No 5; | |
| Wednesday, Feb 7 |
More regression examples The R.M.S.Error: the SD of prediction errors. | |
| Thursday, Feb 8 Sections. |
More regression: good examples FPP (Chapter 10) P. 161 No. 2; P.167 No. 2; P. 174 No.1 | Homework 5 due |
| Friday, Feb 9 |
More regression: residuals The normal curve in vertical strips. |
Notes section 6: for week 7 (PDF) |
| WEEK 7 | ||
| Monday, Feb 12 |
When regression is problematic. Final regression cautions: interventions | |
| Tuesday, Feb 13 Sections. |
Vertical Strips: Good examples: Any Set E, P197-8. General review of regression: |
Midterm to be returned Midterm solutions |
| Wednesday, Feb 14 |
Chance variability: the law of averages More chance variability: box models | You will need Notes section 6: for week 7 (PDF) (Posted Feb 8) |
| Thursday, Feb 15 Sections. | QUIZ 2 (Regression) |
Homework 6 due |
| Friday, Feb 16 |
Probability histograms Expected value and Standard error. | |
| WEEK 8 | ||
| Monday, Feb 19 | NO CLASSES | Presidents' Day |
| Tuesday, Feb 20 Sections. |
The EV and SE of a count. Review of chances, SE and law of averages |
Good examples: Ch. 16, Set C, No. 1; Ch. 18, Set A, Nos. 2, 4; |
| Wednesday, Feb 21 |
The central limit theorem. Use the normal curve to figure chances |
Notes set 7: last set (PDF) (uploaded Feb 20) |
| Thursday, Feb 22 Sections. | Review of midterm and quiz2 |
A note on interpreting your midterm score Homework 7 due (updated Feb 14) Quiz-2 will be returned: solutions uploaded Feb 23 |
| Friday, Feb 23 |
Sampling populations vs box models. Chance variation in proportions and averages. | |
| WEEK 9 | ||
| Monday, Feb 26 |
Confidence intervals. Examples of proportion, and population mean. Summary of SE -- given or estimated. |
Notes set 7: last set(?) (PDF) (Again: same link as before: no changes) |
| Tuesday, Feb 27 Sections. | EV and SE of sum, avg, count and proportion. Using the normal curve to figure chances |
Good examples: P.297 No. 2: do average as well as sum P. 380 No. 4: do count as well as proportion/percentage. |
| Wednesday, Feb 28 |
Hypothesis testing: P-values Testing a given value of a proportion or mean. | |
| Thursday, Mar 1 Sections. |
One last review of EV, SE QUIZ #3 :closed-book, 20 minutes In the second half of your section. Chance error in sampling; normal approx. for counts, proportions, sums and averages. |
Homework 8 due
(updated Feb 14) |
| Friday, Mar 2 |
Testing a given value of a mean. The SE the of difference in means Testing a difference in means. | Review list of topics for the final |
| WEEK 10 | ||
| Monday, Mar 5 |
Tests vs confidence intervals for means. Testing difference in means: The Homeopathy example: one more time. | Lecture Student evaluations |
| Tuesday, Mar 6 Sections. | Hypothesis testing: testing the value or difference of a mean |
For example:
Chapter 26; REVIEW EXX: No. 4 or 5 (P.497) Section Student evaluations |
| Wednesday, Mar 7 |
Testing for a difference in proportions The Boston (Woburn MA) birth defects study. Info about the final exam: start of review. |
Good examples for review; in study and in sections z-scores, percents, percentiles '06 MT, Q3; '07 MT Q2. Ch 5: P.88, Set C Nos, 1,2 Ch 5; P.92, Set E Nos. 1,2,3 Regression: '06 MT, Q4; '07 Quiz-2. Ch. 11: P. 197, Set E, Nos. 1,2,3 Chance: '07 Quiz-3. Ch. 17: P.303, Set E. Nos 3,7,9 Inference: Conf intervals: Ch 23: p.420, Set B, Nos 5,6. Hypothesis testing: many examples in notes!! Also the two Hwk 9 examples. |
| Thursday, Mar 8 Sections. |
Review for final: esp. z-scores, percentiles, regression The computations/numbers part. |
Quiz 3 will be returned; solutions
will be posted Homework 9 due (updated Feb 25) |
| Friday, Mar 9 | FINAL REVIEW: mainly the "words" part. | |
| EXAMS WEEK | ||
| Sunday, Mar 11 | Study Center open 4.00-7.00 p.m. | |
| Monday, Mar 12 |
Provisional Plan: In Study Center: my office hr 2.30-3.30 p.m. Le's office hr; 11.30 a.m.-12.30 p.m.; Lee's office hr: 1.30-2.30 p.m. Linqiu' offcie hour: 4.00-5.00 p.m. | Study Center open 11.30-7.30 p.m. |
| Tuesday, Mar 13 8:30-10:20 a.m. |
Final Exam: this is the UW official time. |
FINAL EXAM FOR ALL IN SMI 120 REMEMBER THE CLOCKS HAVE CHANGED MARCH 11 |