THIS SCHEDULE IS PRELIMINARY, AND SUBJECT TO CHANGE
INFORMATION WILL BE UPDATED THROUGH THE QUARTER
FPP denotes the course text, Freedman, Pisani, and Purves (3 rd. edition).
| WEEK 1 | ||
| Monday, Jan 2 | NO CLASSES | New Year Holiday |
| Tuesday, Jan 3 Sections. |
Introduction. First Day Numerical Examples | If you read this, please bring a calculator! |
| Wednesday, Jan 4 |
Introduction Designed experiments (FPP Ch. 1) | Notes for first week (PDF) |
| Thursday, Jan 5 Sections. |
Randomized treatment/control Selecting a random sample | Bring dice (not everyone!) |
| Friday, Jan 6 |
Observational studies & Confounding factors (FPP Ch 2) | |
| WEEK 2 | ||
| Monday, Jan 9 | Sampling from a population (FPP Ch 19) | |
| Tuesday, Jan 10 Sections. |
Review some newspaper studies What is good? What is bad? |
Find a study in a newspaper. Bring it, and discuss it. |
| Wednesday, Jan 11 |
Introduction to Histograms (FPP Ch 3) | Notes for second week (PDF) |
| Thursday, Jan 12 Sections. | Histograms and more histograms | Homework 1 due |
| Friday, Jan 13 |
Other graphical displays (FPP Ch 3) The Horizon Homeopathy Experiment | |
| WEEK 3 | ||
| Monday, Jan 16 | NO CLASSES | MLK Holiday |
| Tuesday, Jan 17 Sections. |
Review of sampling and studies. Review of graphical displays. | Notes for third week (PDF) |
| Wednesday, Jan 18 |
More of the homeopathy experiment Mean and median (FPP Ch 4) | |
| Thursday, Jan 19 Sections. |
QUIZ #1 :closed-book, 20 minutes In the second half of your section. | Homework 2 due |
| Friday, Jan 20 |
More means, SD, and SD units. The homeopathy example again. | |
| WEEK 4 | ||
| Monday, Jan 23 |
The normal curve. Percentiles. (FPP Ch 5) | |
| Tuesday, Jan 24 Sections. |
Quiz 1 will be returned. Discussion of questions arising from quiz and from previous homeworks. | Notes for fourth week (PDF) |
| Wednesday, Jan 25 |
Associations and Scatterplots (FPP, Chapters 8,9) | Quiz 1 solutions |
| Thursday, Jan 26 Sections. |
Percentiles,
Areas, SD units. FPP. P.84 No 1, P.88 No. 1 | Homework 3 due |
| Friday, Jan 27 |
Points and lines.(FPP Ch 7) The SD line. |
Some information about the Midterm An old exam See below for link to updated review list |
| WEEK 5 | ||
| Monday, Jan 30 |
About the class: some why's and why not's The correlation coefficient | Notes for week 5 (PDF) |
| Tuesday, Jan 31 Sections. |
More SD's and percentiles. Association and correlation? |
Possible FPP questions to discuss: P. 130 No. 6. ; P.156-7 No 12 (parts). |
| Wednesday, Feb 1 |
The correlation is not the whole story Association is not cause! | |
| Thursday, Feb 2 Sections. |
QUIZ #2 :closed-book, 20 minutes In the second half of your section. | Homework 4 due |
| Friday, Feb 3 |
Regression: The regression estimate Regression to the mean. | FPP Ch. 10,11,12 |
| WEEK 6 | ||
| Monday, Feb 6 |
More regression exanples The R.M.S.Error: the SD of prediction errors. | Notes for week 6-7 (PDF) |
| Tuesday, Feb 7 Sections. |
Quiz 2 should get returned. Good FPP Qu re correlation: P.135 No 5; |
AA,AD: Maclean Sloughter will take Adele's sections Quiz 2 solutions NOTE: Homework P134 No 1 is Review Exx, NOT Set D |
| Wednesday, Feb 8 |
More regression: residuals The normal curve in vertical strips. When regression is problematic. |
An Updated MIDTERM review list (PDF) NOTE: Homework P134 No 1 is Review Exx, NOT Set D |
| Thursday, Feb 9 Sections. |
Association, correlation and regression Good FPP questions: P. 176 Nos, 4,7,8,9. |
Homework 5 due NOTE: Homework P134 No 1 is Review Exx, NOT Set D AA,AD: Maclean Sloughter will take Adele's sections |
| Friday, Feb 10 |
Final regression cautions: interventions Chance variability: the law of averages |
A SHORT VERSION OF NORMAL TABLE This is the table you will be provided with in the midterm exam. |
| WEEK 7 | ||
| Monday, Feb 13 |
More chance variability: box models Probability histograms Expected value and Standard error. | |
| Tuesday, Feb 14 Sections. |
Vertical Strips: Example: FPP P.198 No. 4 General review of regression: Good example for TAs to work: FPP P198-9, Nos 4,5 | |
| Wednesday, Feb 15 | Midterm review | |
| Thursday, Feb 16 Sections. |
Homework 6 due McCarty Study Center extra hours: open to 6.00 p.m. Prof Thompson's 2.30-3.30 office hour will be at Study Center. | |
| Friday, Feb 17 |
MIDTERM EXAM |
Sections AA, AD, AE, AF: Savery 239 Sections AB, AC (Maggie's sections): Savery 249. |
| WEEK 8 | ||
| Monday, Feb 20 | NO CLASSES | Presidents' Day |
| Tuesday, Feb 21 Sections. |
The law of averages. Chance error. The EV and SE of a count. | AB,AC: Minfeng Zhu will take Maggie's sections. |
| Wednesday, Feb 22 |
Review of chances, SE and law of averages The central limit theorem. Use the normal curve to figure chances |
Notes set 7: last set(?) (PDF) |
| Thursday, Feb 23 Sections. |
Probability histograms: Some of FPP P314, 4, 5: P. 324 5, 6, 7. (not all!!) Examples of using the normal curve to figure chances. (P. 327 No. 2 ?) |
Homework 7 due(updated, Feb 13) Midterm solutions |
| Friday, Feb 24 |
Sampling populations vs box models. Chance variation in proportions and averages. | |
| WEEK 9 | ||
| Monday, Feb 27 |
Confidence intervals. Examples of proportion, and population mean. |
Notes set 7: last set(?) (PDF) (Again: same link as before: no changes) |
| Tuesday, Feb 28 Sections. |
More normal approx using EV and SE: FPP P. 380 Nos 7,8 Midterm return: see link at Feb 23 for solutions. | Return ORIGINAL HWK1, if you wish the "detergent question" regraded. |
| Wednesday, Mar 1 |
Summary of SE etc. Tests of hypotheses. | |
| Thursday, Mar 2 Sections. |
One last review of EV, SE QUIZ #3 :closed-book, 20 minutes In the second half of your section. Chance error in sampling; normal approx. 95% Confidence interval for a proportion. |
Homework 8 due |
| Friday, Mar 3 |
Hypothesis testing: P-values Testing a given value of a mean or proportion | Review list of topics for the final |
| WEEK 10 | ||
| Monday, Mar 6 |
The SE the of difference in means Testing a difference in means: The Homeopathy example: one more time. |
Quiz 3 solutions Lecture Student evaluations |
| Tuesday, Mar 7 Sections. | Hypothesis testing: testing the value of a mean | Section Student evaluations |
| Wednesday, Mar 8 |
Testing for a difference in proprtions The Boston (Woburn MA) birth defects study. Info about the final exam: start of review. | |
| Thursday, Mar 9 Sections. | Review for final: including review of points from midterm. |
Homework 9 due |
| Friday, Mar 10 | FINAL REVIEW |
Note the
Tutoring Center will be open Sunday March 12 4:00 - 7:00 pm Monday March 13 10:30 am - 7:00 pm |
| EXAMS WEEK | ||
| Monday, Mar. 13 |
Note the
Tutoring Center will be open Sunday March 12 4:00 - 7:00 pm Monday March 13 10:30 am - 7:00 pm (Dr. Thompson will be Center, 2.30-4.00 p.m.) | |
| Tuesday, Mar. 14 8:30-10:20 a.m. |
Final Exam: this is the UW official time. |
FINAL EXAM FOR ALL IN SMITH 120 (SAV 239 not big enough: 249 not available) |