Reading: AB, chapter 4, section 3.
Determining equilibrium in the goods market
Equilibrium in the market for goods and services occurs when the aggregate demand for goods and services, defined as Yd = Cd + Id + G0, is equal to the aggregate supply of goods and services, Y. Hence in goods market equilibrium Yd = Y =Cd + Id + G0. We may express this goods market equilibrium in a different but equivalent manner. By subtracting Cd +G0 from the left and right hand sides of the equilibrium condition we get: Y - Cd - G0 = Id. Using the fact that, in equilibrium, desired national saving is defined as Sd = Y - Cd - G0 we get the equivalent equilibrium condition: Sd = Id. Therefore, in our economy without a foreign sector we have equilibrium in the market for goods and services if desired national saving is equal to desired investment expenditure. We may represent this equilibrium condition in a savings-investment diagram relating both desired national saving and investment as functions of the real interest rate. This graph is depicted below
In goods market equilibrium the desired savings and investment graphs intersect at the interest
rate r* and the desired values of savings and investment are equal and are also equal to the actual
values of saving and investment as recorded in the national income and product accounts.
In goods market equilibrium there are no forces acting on savers and investors to move the real interest rate up or down. When the interest rate is such that desired saving is not equal to desired investment then the goods market is not in equilibrium (it is in disequilibrium) and there are market forces acting to move the economy back into equilibrium.
The diagram below illustrates a situation where the real interest rate is higher than the equilibrium interest rate.
At r > r*, the return to saving is high and the cost of investment is high so that desired saving is greater than desired investment so that there is an excess supply of saving. In this case, banks have more cash on hand than they can loan out to firms. In order to create more loans banks must lower the real interest rate. As r falls, we move down along the savings and investment curves toward the equilibrium point r* where Sd(r*) = Id(r*). A similar analysis corresponds when r < r*.
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Last updated on July 15, 1996 by Eric Zivot.