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cadolph at uw dot edu

I am a faculty member of the University of Washington, Seattle, where I am an associate professor of political science, an adjunct associate professor of statistics, and the director of consulting in the Center for Statistics and the Social Sciences.

COVID-19 State Policy Project

My current research focuses on comparing policy responses to the COVID-19 pandemic across the US states. I lead a team of political science and public health researchers collecting and analyzing data on state-level social distancing policies. Frequently updated data are available at covid19statepolicy.org. See also our papers on the partisan adoption of social distancing mandates (in JHPPL) and mask mandates (at MedRxiv).

Substantive Interests

Generally, my political economy and comparative politics research concerns the ways political institutions and interests jointly determine the public policies that shape our lives, including monetary policy, fiscal policy, health policy, and trade policy. I am particularly interested in the influence of career incentives and partisanship on elite behavior and policy making.

Methodological interests

I specialize in the visual display of scientific information, particularly the illustration of substantive findings from statistical models. I’m also interested in statistical inference using data whose logical bounds enable or improve estimation, as in the study of political rank, compositional data like budgets and trade portfolios, and ecological inference.

Other activities

I serve as an expert witness on the use of statistical methods to resolve contested elections. I also consult on matters relating to statistical methodology and data visualization.


2-apr-21.  New publication: “Governor Partisanship Explains the Adoption of Statewide Mask Mandates in Response to COVID-19,” joint work with Kenya Amano, Bree Bang-Jensen, Nancy Fullman, Beatrice Magistro, Grace Reinke, and John Wilkerson, will appear in State Politics & Policy Quarterly. An earlier version of this paper garnered extensive media coverage in Fall 2020 (Washington Post, UW News).

22-mar-21.  New appointment: Professor of Political Science and Adjunct Professor of Statistics at the University of Washington, effective September 2021.

30-jan-21.  Spring course offered: Political Economy from Great Recession to Pandemic is intended for advanced undegraduate students in political science and economics. The course readings and syllabus will be revised before the start of spring quarter to reflect recent research on the pandemic economy.

University of Washington link

CSSS Center for Statistics and the Social Sciences link

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