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YU-CHIN CHEN' CV (updated 11/13; pdf version)


PERSONAL INFORMATION: Female; U.S. citizen.

EDUCATION:
Jun, 02 Ph.D. and M.A. in Economics, Harvard University
Jun, 96 Masters in Public Policy, John F. Kennedy School of Government
Jun, 93 A.B. in Physics, cum laude, Harvard/Radcliffe Colleges


CURRENT POSITION:

March 2013 - : Visiting Associate Professor, Melbourne Business School
Sept 2012 - : Associate Professor, Department of Economics, University of Washington
2013 - : Research Associate, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, National University of Australia
2013 - : Editorial Board, Journal of International Money and Finance
2013 - : Editorial Board, Pacific Economic Review



PREVIOUS APPOINTMENTS AND VISITING POSITIONS:
2003-2012 Assistant Professor, Department of Economics, University of Washington (On leave: 2007, 2009, 2011)
Sept, 10 Visiting Research Fellow, Hong Kong Institute for Monetary Research
Dec, 09 Visiting Research Fellow, Hong Kong Institute for Monetary Research
Jan-Jun, 09 Visiting Researcher, Academia Sinica, Taipei, Taiwan
Aug, 07 Visiting Assistant Professor, National Taiwan University
Jan-Jul, 07 Visiting Assistant Professor, Department of Economics, Harvard University
Oct, 06 Visiting Researcher, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco
May, 06 Visiting Researcher, Reserve Bank of New Zealand, Wellington, New Zealand
Jun, 05 Visiting Assistant Professor, Swiss Federal Institute of Technology (ETH) in Zurich
Apr, 05 Visitor, Program in Economics Research, Columbia University
02-03 Post-Doctoral Fellow, Center for International Development, Harvard University
02-03 Visiting Scholar, The Federal Reserve Bank of Boston
Sum, 02 Graduate Summer Intern, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System
96-03 Teaching Fellow, J. F. Kennedy School of Government and Harvard College (excl 99-00)
00-03 Advisor of Undergraduate Studies, Harvard Economics Department
99-00 Staff Economist, Council of Economic Advisers, Washington, DC
98-99 Associate Director of Undergraduate Studies, Harvard Economics Department
Sum, 95 Research Assistant, Brookings Institute, Washington, DC
93-94 Associate, Hwa Yue Foundation, Taipei, Taiwan, R.O.C.

RESEARCH INTERESTS:

 International Finance, Open Economy Macroeconomics, International Trade

COURSES TAUGHT:

Global Business Economics (MBA); International Finance (MBA); International Macroeconomics and Finance (Undergraduate and Graduate), Macroeconomics (Graduate), International Trade and Investment (Undergraduate); Honors Thesis Seminar (Undergraduate)

AWARDS/FELLOWSHIPS:

- Gary Waterman Distinguished Scholar, 2012 - present
- Best Paper Award, 2005 Global Finance Conference, Trinity College, Dublin, Ireland
- Henry Buechel Award for Distinguished Undergraduate Teaching, University of Washington, 2005
- Royalty Research Fund Grant, "Optimal Foreign Reserve Management", 2005

PUBLICATIONS (See Research Page for Links and Updates)

"The Role of Commodity Price Aggregates for Monetary Policy" with Stephen J. Turnovksy and Eric Zivot, forthcoming in Journal of Econometrics.

"What Does the Yield Curve Tell Us About Exchange Rate Predictability?" (2013) with Kwok Ping Tsang, Review of Economics and Statistics, Vol. 95, No. 1: 185–205.

"Are Commodity Currencies an Exception to the Rule?" (2012) with Kenneth Rogoff, forcoming in Global Journal of Economics, Vol. 1. No. 1.

"Predicting Agri-Commodity Prices: An Asset Pricing Approac " (2012) with Kenneth Rogoff and Barbara Rossi, in Global Uncertainty and the Volatility of Agricultural Commodities Prices, ed. B. Munier. IOS Press. April, 2012.

"Can Exchange Rates Forecast Commodity Prices?" (2010) with Kenneth Rogoff and Barbara Rossi, Quarterly Journal of Economics, Vol. 125, No. 3, pp.1145–1194.

"Growth and Inequality in a Small Open Economy" (2010) with Stephen Turnovsky, Journal of Macroeconomics,Vol. 32, No. 2, pp.497-514.

"Adaptive Learning and Monetary Policy in an Open Economy: Lessons from Japan" (2008) with Pisut Kulthanavit. Pacific Economic Review, Vol. 13, Issue 4, pp.405-430.

"Commodity Currencies" (2003) with Kenneth Rogoff. Journal of International Economics, Vol. 60, No.1, pp.133-160.

"Accounting for Differences in Economic Growth" (1996) with Bosworth, B, and S. Collins, in Structural Adjustment and Economic Reform: East Asia, Latin America, and Central and Eastern Europe, ed. A. Kohsaka and K. Ohno.

 

WORKING PAPERS:

"FX Options and Excess Returns: A Multi-Moment Term Structure Model of Exchange Rate Dynamics" with Ranganai Gwati

"What Makes a Commodity Currency?" with Dong Won Lee

"Estimation, Monitoring, and Forecasting with Mixed Frequency Regressions: a Generalized ADL Approach" with Wen Jen Tsay

"Home Bias in Currency Forecasts" with Kwok Ping Tsang and Wen Jen Tsay

"Risk versus Expectations in Exchange Rates: A Macro-Finance Approach" with Kwok Ping Tsang

"Risk and Return in Exchange Rates: Evidence from Commodity Currencies” with Chang-Jin Kim and Seong Tae Kim

"Monetary Policy Design and Imperfect Knowledge: An Open Economy Analysis ” with Pisut Kulthanavit

"Local Labor Markets and Icreasing Returns to Scale: How Strong is the Evidence?” with Noah Weisberger and Edwin Wong

“The Search for Stationarity in Real Exchange Rates: An Unobserved Component Regime-Switching Approach” with Bruce Wang

“Exchange Rates and Fundamentals: Evidence from Commodity Economies” with Erica Clower

WORK-IN-PROGRESS:

"Monitoring Structural Stability in Dynamic Factor Models" with Wen Jen Tsay

"Monetary Policy, Learning, and Global Risk Factors" with Kwok Ping Tsang and Wen Jen Tsay

"What's in an FX Option?" with Isaac Cameron and Ranganai Gwati

 

PH.D. DISSERTATION SUPERVISION:

- Committee Chair:

Erica Clower (current)
Ranganai Gwati (current)
Kyungkeun Kim (current)
Seojin Lee (co-chair; current)
Javier Pereira (co-chair; current)
Dong Won Lee, Ph.D. 2014 (UC Riverside)
Pisut Kulthanavit, Ph.D. 2008 (Thammasat University, Thailand)
Bruce Wang, Ph.D. 2007 (Goldman Sachs, NYC)

- Committee Member:

Emre Aylar (current)
Ching-Chieh Chang (current)
So Ra Chon (current)
Jaeho Kim (current)
David Kuenzel (current)
Wun Ho Lee (current)
Clark Lundberg (current)
Kara Ng (current)
Galip K. Ozhan (current)
Sangeetha Srinivasan (current)
Syed G. Sultan (current)
Celine Sun, Ph.D. 2013 (Wealthfront)
Yufang Huang, Ph.D. 2013 (Capital Univ. of Economics and Business, China)
Brian Donhauser, Ph.D. 2012 (AQR)
Aditi Mitra, Ph.D. 2012 (Deloitte)
Sumant Rai, Ph.D. 2012 (Univ. of Memphis, visiting)
Lindy Helfman, Ph.D. 2011 (Intellectual Ventures)
Cherl Hyun Kim, Ph.D. 2011(POSCO Research)
Jianguo Wang, Ph.D. 2011 (Blue Cross Blue Shield)
Murat Koyuncu, Ph.D. 2009 (Boḡaziçi University, Turkey)
Serpil Bouza, Ph.D. 2009 (IMF)
Jeffrey Begun, Ph.D. 2009 (University of Washington, Tacoma)
Byron Tsang, Ph.D. 2008 (Virginia Tech)
Wei-Choun Yu, Ph.D. 2007 (Winona State University)
Yu-Ning Huang, Ph.D. 2006 (National Chengchi University, Taiwan)
Keunsuk Chung, Ph.D. 2006 (Penn State Harrisburg)

PROFESSIONAL ACTIVITIES:

3/2014 Seminar at Universit of Melbourne
12/2013 Seminar at Academia Sinica, Taipei, Taiwan
10/2013 Presentation at NBER Commodity Markets Meeting
09/2013 Seminar at Australian National University
08/2013 Visiting Researcher, Reserve Bank of New Zealand
08/2013 Seminar at Monash Univ., Melbourne, Australia
08/2013 Seminar at Univ. of New South Wales, Sydney, Australia
04/2013 Presentation at Southern Workshop in Macroeconomics, Wellington, NZ
03/2013 Society for Nonlinear Dynamics and Econometrics Program Committee
12/2012 Visiting Researcher and Seminar at Institute of Economics, Academia Sinica, Taiwan
11/2012 Seminar at UC Riverside
10/2012 Presentation at West Coast International Finance Workshop
10/2012 Talk on "the Euro-zone Crisis" at the Dept of Economics Visiting Committee Meeting
06/2012 Presentation at Special Conference in Honor of Charles Nelson, Seattle, WA
03/2012 Presentation at Melbourne Business School
11/2011 Presentation at the Latin American Meeting of the Econometric Soceity, Santiago, Chile
09/2011 Discussant at the 4th Annual JIMF-SCIIE Conference, UC Santa Cruz
08/2011 Presenter at Asian Meeting of the Econometric Society, Seoul, Korea
08/2011 Visiting Researcher and Seminar at Institute of Economics, Academia Sinica, Taiwan
03/2011 Seminar at Duke University
01/2011 Pubic talk on "Forecasting and Global Economic Outlook" at the Puget Sound Chapter of the American Association of Individual Investors
11/2010 Seminar at the San Francisco Federal Reserve Bank
09/2010 Seminar at Hong Kong University of Science and Technology
09/2010 Visiting researcher at Hong Kong Institute of Monetary Research
08/2010 Seminar at Institute of Economics, Academia Sinica, Taiwan
08/2010 Society for the Advancement of Economic Theory Conference, Singapore
08/2010 Discussant, "Recent Developments on Exchange Rate Economics", Summer Workshop at Hong Kong Institute for Monetary Research
07/2010 Invited presentation at the 30th Anniversary of the Summer Palace Workshop on Econometrics, Chinese Academy of Social Sciences, Beijing, China
06/2010 2010 Taipei International Conference on Growth, Trade and Dynamics, Academia Sinica, Taipei, Taiwan
03/2010 Co-organizer & presenter, "2010 Taipei Conference on DSGE Modeling and Monetary Policy"
01/2010 Discussant, AEA session on "R&D, Technology and Growth"
07/2009 Discussant, NBER Summer Institute
06/2009 Invited presentation at the 3rd Bank of Canada - European Central Bank FX Workshop: "Exchange Rates: The Global Perspective"
06/2009 Seminar at National Chengchi University, Taipei, Taiwan
06/2009 Invited presentation at "Uncertainty and Price Volatility of Agricultural Commodities", hosted by IAE de Paris Sorbonne’s Graduate Business School, Arts & Métiers ParisTech, and ESTP, Paris, France
05/2009 Public talk at National Taiwan University on Paul Krugman's Contribution in Economics
05/2009 Seminar at Institute of Economics, National Sun Yat-sen University, Kaohsiung, Taiwan
04/2009 UW Alumni Association/Economic Alumni Organization Annual Nobel Prize Lecture: The Brilliance Behind the Columns: Paul Krugman, an Economist of Scale
04/2009 Seminar at the Boston Federal Reserve Bank
03/2009 Seminar at Academia Sinica
11/2008 Presentations at LAMES/LACEA annual conference, Rio
11/2008 Panelist, "The Financial Crisis: What Should We Do Now?", Financial Turmoil: UW Insight, University of Washington
10/2008 Seminar at UC Davis
10/2008 Seminar at University of British Columbia
09/2008 Seminar at Georgetown University
09/2008 Discussant at Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco Pacific Basin Conference
08/2008 Co-Organizer of "Castor Workshop on International Macroeconomics", Seattle, WA
07/2008 Presentation at the Society of Economic Dynamics Annual Meeting, Cambridge, MA
07/2008 Seminar at Academia Sinica, Taipei, Taiwan
06/2008 Seminar at Hong Kong University
06/2008 Seminar at Hong Kong University of Science & Technology
04/2008 Seminar at the IMF Research Division
03/2008 Seminar at Boston College
03/2008 Presentation at the NBER IFM Meeting
01/2008 Discussant at the AEA
09/2007 Seminar at Academia Sinica, Taipei, Taiwan
08/2007 Summer lecture at National Taiwan University on Open Economy Macroeconomics
06/2007 Presentation at IFINITI Conference on International Finance, Dublin, Ireland
12/2006 Presentation at Kobe University Economics Workshop
12/2006 Seminar at Hong Kong University
10/2006 Presentation at the San Francisco Federal Reserve Bank
10/2006 Presentation at the 9th Annual Conference on International Economics,co-sponsored by the San Francisco Federal Reserve Bank and the Santa Cruz Center for International Economics
09/2006 Presentations at the the 1st International Conference on Economics hosted by Turkish Economic
Association, Ankara, Turkey
07/2006 Session organizer, "Patterns and Impacts of International Capital Flows” at the Asia and Pacific Economic Association Conference, Seattle
07/2006 Presentation at the Bank of Canada Workshop on Commodity Price Issues, Ottawa, Canada
07/2005 Session organizer, "Understanding Exchange Rates: Theory and Empirics", and presentation at the 1st Asia-Pacific Economic Association Conference, Tokyo
06/2005 Presentation at the 12th Global Finance Conference, Trinity College, Dublin
06/2005 Research presentation and lecture series on “Open Economy Macroeconomics”, Swiss Federal Institute of Technology (ETH) in Zurich
05/2005 Paul Heyne Lecture for the Undergraduates on "Doing Research in International Macroeconomics"
04/2005 UW Economics Alumni Organization Lecture, "Today's Policy: Good for Tomorrow? Understanding the 2004 Nobel Prize in Economics", University of Washington
04/2005 Seminar presentation, Department of Economics, Columbia University
04/2005 Seminar presentation, Department of Economics, Univerisity of British Columbia
02/2005 3rd Annual Western Regional International Health Conference, University of Washington
12/2004 9th Annual Meeting of the Latin American and Caribbean Economic Association, San Jose, Costa Rica
08/2004 “Asian Crisis, VI” conference, Tokyo, Japan
10/2003 8th Annual Meeting of the Latin American and Caribbean Economic Association, Puebla, Mexico
10/2002 7th Annual Meeting of the Latin American and Caribbean Economic Association, Madrid, Spain
07/2002 Summer School in Economic Theory on Growth, Fluctuations, & Open Economy Macroeconomics, Venice International University, Italy
06/2002 1st Summer Symposium for Central Bank Researchers at the Study Center Gerzensee, Switzerland
01/2002 CEANA International Finance session at American Economic Association/Allied Social Sciences Association Annual Meeting, Atlanta
11/2001 4th Annual Conference “Understanding Exchange Rates”, De Nederlandsche Bank, Amsterdam, The Netherlands
09/2001 “Empirical Exchange Rate Models” Conference, University of Wisconsin-Madison
   

JOURNAL REFEREEING:

Quarterly Journal of Economics; Review of Economics and Statistics; Journal of International Economics; Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control; Journal of Development Economics; Journal of International Money and Finance; Economics of Transition; IMF Staff Papers; Journal of Macroeconomics; Canadian Journal of Economics; Journal of Money, Credit and Banking; Journal of Futures Markets; Review of International Economics; Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics; Econometrics; Pacific Economic Review

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