University of Washington
Geography 207, Economic Geography
Professor Harrington
Economic Development
 

Development is a very contentious word.  Is it a process, a progression along some dimension(s), where some countries and regions are farther advanced than others?  Or is it a condition, which some countries and regions have at the expense of others?  Is economic growth central to the process or the condition of development?  Or are social and political institutions the key indicators and causes of development?  Are there international actions that result in development or the lack of development in some places?  Or is development largely determined by characteristics internal to a country or sub-national region?
 

Contents:
Defining development
Causes or attributes of intensive economic growth
Economic development as a diffusion process
Economic development as a polarizing process
Strategies for economic development

DEFINING  DEVELOPMENT
Distinguish between growth and development:  more is not always better.

extensive economic growth:  increase in the total size of a territory's economy.

intensive economic growth:  increase in the size of a territory's economy, per person.

economic development:  "the integration of an economy's productive resources and markets" [Hanink, p. 406];  change in the economic structure of a territory;  an increase in the range and value of economic activity conducted within the territory.
Elements of economic structure include the economic institutions (markets, labor institutions, financial institutions, etc.), the mix of sectors in the economy, the mix of sectors in the economic base, and the mix of occupations in which people are engaged.

development:  a historical process that encompasses the entire economic and social life of a nation, resulting in change for the better.  Development is related to, but not synonymous with, economic growth [Stutz & deSouza, p. 562].
 


CAUSES  OR  ATTRIBUTES  OF  INTENSIVE  ECONOMIC  GROWTH

Increased use of territorial factors

Increased productivity of territorial factors
ECONOMIC  DEVELOPMENT  AS  A  DIFFUSION  PROCESS
Can economic development be viewed as a sequence of stages that most countries achieve?  Is removing the bottlenecks to progression through these stages a key to international development?

Demographic transition
Recall that the demographic transition is an empirical regularity of demographic change in a territory.

For all these reasons, the demographic transition is often seen as a corollary of development, including economic development.  (However, given this mix of causes and results of the transition, it can't be viewed as a cause of development).
 

Increases in domestic value added  ("Development Stages")
Some countries and regions have increased per capita incomes by processing  more of their key resources before export:  exporting finished lumber (a product of manufacturing, or secondary activity) rather than raw logs (a product of forestry, or primary activity);  exporting simple machinery or ships rather than basic steel;  designing and exporting computers and operating systems rather than assembling semiconductor chips.   The result is increased complexity in the local economy,  higher export-base multipliers, and less dependence on relatively raw exports that (usually) face greater fluctuations in demand and price.
 

Sectoral change
Stutz and deSouza  Figure 12.3 illustrates a striking empirical regularity:  a correspondence between national per capita incomes and the proportions of employed people in primary (from the earth:  mining, fishing, forestry, agriculture), secondary (fabricated or manufactured products), and tertiary (services, in which the primary production is not the fabrication of a physical product) economic sectors.  The higher the per capita income of a nation, the smaller the proportion of employment in primary and secondary sectors, and the higher the proportion in tertiary sectors.  (Note that on page 537, S&deS actually define five broad sectors, including quaternary (high-level services that use information to control or coordinate other economic activity) and quinary (economic activities that produce knowledge or new information:  education, research, product or process development -- see note 1).

Why might this occur?

  • Employment generally doesn't decline in the primary or secondary sectors until labor productivity increases substantially in these sectors;  this boosts overall labor productivity in the economy.
  • The local availability of tertiary, quaternary, and quinary activities increases the productivity and competitiveness of primary and secondary activities and the economy as a whole.

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    ECONOMIC  DEVELOPMENT  AS  A  POLARIZING  PROCESS
    Rather than a process leading from un-developed to developed, is development a polarizing process, that leads to ever-increasing wealth and self-generated social change in some places, but relative declines in wealth and externally-mandated social change in other places?

    Cumulative causation
    S&deS's Figure 12.13 encapsulates some of the relationships that would lead to increased productivity and wealth in "core" or "developed" places within a country or across the world:

    These circular and cumulative relationships operate in reverse in poor regions.

    Factor or product mobility
    However, if factors of production are mobile, then someone should decide to invest capital in low-wage, capital-scarce settings where the return to capital is greater:  this should increase the capital in these capital-scarce areas, and increase labor productivity and per capita incomes.  People (especially younger people) would migrate from the low-wage areas, reducing the labor surplus in these areas and increasing the supply of labor (and perhaps moderating average wages) in the high-income areas.  Returns, costs, and wages should move toward equalization.

    Even if factors are not mobile, if products are mobile (if there is specialization and trade), the demand in the wealthy region for cheaply produced goods in the poorer region should have a multiplier effect in the poorer region, increasing incomes there.

    What might prevent this tendency toward equalization?


    STRATEGIES  FOR  ECONOMIC  DEVELOPMENT
    Managing development by managing trade:  Import Substitution
  • A country with a large domestic market could encourage inward investment (from domestic and international sources) by erecting trade barriers around the market, so that local industry must develop to serve the domestic market.
  • The national government may have to allow strategic imports to provide capital equipment or key inputs to the protected sectors.
  • At some point, the protected sector(s) may achieve a domestic scale and efficiency to export widely.
  • This is the argument for "infant industry" protection and the basic process of import-substitution industrialization (ISI).
  • Brazil, Canada, India, and Mexico each pursued this development strategy for part of the 20th century.

  • Managing development by managing trade:  Export Promotion

  • A country without a large domestic market can encourage inward investment by establishing low-cost, industrial labor and reasonable physical infrastructure, so long as exports from that country have free (or low-barrier) entry into some large market(s).
  • The national government has to provide political stability and labor stability, and encourage inward investment and exporting.
  • The national government needs to target specific export sectors, and to encourage successful technology transfer into the country, in order to develop indigenously based export sectors that purchase increasing proportions of their inputs within the national economy.
  • This is the basic process of export-promotion industrialization (EPI).
  • Hong Kong, Singapore, South Korea, and Taiwan, among other countries, pursued this development strategy for much of the past 30-40 years.
  • At the subnational, regional scale, many U.S. states and countries provide subsidies for new investment in certain industries, generally industries that are assumed to be "basic" -- increasing demand for products of the region.

  • Managing development by improving infrastructure,  factors, and institutions:  Capacity Building
    Our discussions of comparative advantage and of competitive advantage noted the importance of acquired resources:

  • Institutions that encourage infrastructure investment, labor training, pre-worker education, and adoption of innovation are important for development.
  • To the extent that these are government institutions, the government needs to be able to plan and execute its plans without the exclusive control of one interest group in the country, and to have the resources to engage in planning and policy implementation.
  • To the extent that these are private institutions, they need to have some autonomy within the territory (so as to depend upon the success of the territory's economy -- as opposed to externally based MNCs) and to be protected from extreme political pressure.
  • Germany and the U.S. are, perhaps, examples of this development strategy.
  • Postwar Japan has followed a complex strategy that (in these simple typologies) is a combination of all three of these strategies.
  • At the subnational, regional scale, most U.S. states now recognize that education, training, and physical infrastructure are important "supply-side" investments that can be made to promote economic growth and economic development.

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    Note:
    1.  Stutz and deSouza include "medical care, research, education, arts, and recreation" in the quinary sector.


    copyright James W. Harrington, Jr.
    revised 18 May 2000