Monetary Theory II
Part II: Monetary Policy
Spring 2001
Lectures: Tuesday and Thursday, 11:30 am - 1:15 pm
Carney Hall, Room 11
Fabio Ghironi
Carney Hall, Room 141
Tel: 552-3686
E-mail: Fabio.Ghironi@bc.edu
Web page: http://www2.bc.edu/fabio-ghironi
Office Hours: Tuesday, 3:30 - 5:30 pm
The course will focus on the modeling of monetary policy, the evaluation of its performance, and the measurement of its effects. We will spend a substantial amount of time discussing the pros and cons of different monetary policy rules.
This course is meant to give you ideas for dissertation research. I will take knowledge of a number of modeling tools that have been covered in the macro sequence as granted, aside from reviewing some fundamental concepts in the first lectures.
I will make copies of my lecture notes available. Four books provide extensive surveys of several topics we will discuss.
Bernanke, Ben S., Thomas Laubach, Frederic S. Mishkin, and Adam S. Posen,
1999: Inflation Targeting: Lessons from the International Experience,
Princeton: Princeton University Press.
Mankiw, N. Gregory (ed.), 1994: Monetary Policy, Chicago: University
of Chicago Press.
Taylor, John B. (ed.), 1999: Monetary Policy Rules, Chicago:
University of Chicago Press.
Walsh, Carl E., 1998: Monetary Theory and Policy, Cambridge:
MIT Press.
The Taylor book (henceforth, TAYLOR99) is a required reading. The other three volumes (BetAL99, MANKIW94, and WALSH98) are strongly recommended (you should already have WALSH98 from the macro sequence). In addition, you find a list of papers (or book chapters) on specific topics below.
This syllabus should be a resource for you. It contains links to papers, research departments, and people's web pages.
The total requirement of the course is that you write six referee reports and one short paper. As far as Part II of the course is concerned, if you chose to write a paper on a Part I topic, you must write four referee reports on four papers in the list below. The papers must be chosen from four different sections of the list. I encourage you to work on unpublished papers for your reports, i.e., papers that have not yet appeared in journals or books. (Double check on this. Do not trust my references blindly. I may have missed publication of some articles.) If you choose to write a paper on a topic in Part II of the course, you must also write two referee reports on papers from two different sections of the list below. The paper must be between 10 and 15 pages, 1.5 spacing, plus appendix and references.
If I conclude that a referee report that has been submitted in partial
satisfaction of the course requirements is of sufficiently high quality,
I
will ask for the author's permission to send the report to the author
of the paper. I will endorse the report as containing comments that the
author of the paper may find useful in revising her/his work. (This is
one of the reasons why I encourage you to work on unpublished papers. The
other is that these are typically closer to the frontier of research.)
This will give you an early opportunity to have your work recognized outside
the BC Economics Department and will give visibility to the quality of
what is done here. There will be no consequence if permission to send
the report is denied.
This is an incomplete list of papers on the various topics we will cover. It is meant as a source of references for you: It contains a mixture of "classics" and new research. I will use lectures to go over papers that will give you the flavor of the field and a sense of where research is going. It will be up to you to strengthen your knowledge of the field by doing additional readings and working on your paper and reports.
The list includes links to downloadable files for a number of papers. You should be able to access several of those published in journals through JSTOR. You should also be able to access papers published in the Carnegie-Rochester Conference Series on Public Policy and in the Journal of Monetary Economics from the journals' web sites. (I suggest you browse recent volumes for additional readings that are not listed below.) For some published papers, I included links to working paper versions.
In addition to the papers in the list, John Taylor's "Monetary
Policy Rule Home Page" is an excellent reference source. It also contains
a number of interesting links.
Clarida, Richard, Jordi Galí, and Mark Gertler
(1999): "The
Science of Monetary Policy: A New Keynesian Perspective," Journal
of Economic Literature 37: 1661-1707 (link: M. Gertler's web page).
Goodfriend, Marvin S. (2000): "Maintaining Low Inflation:
Rationale and Reality," unpublished manuscript, Federal Reserve
Bank of Richmond.
Greenspan, Alan (1999): "Opening
Remarks," in New Challenges for Monetary Policy, proceedings
of a symposium organized by the Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City.
King, Mervyn (1999): "Challenges
for Monetary Policy: New and Old," in New Challenges for Monetary
Policy, proceedings of a symposium organized by the Federal Reserve
Bank of Kansas City (with John B. Taylor's
commentary
and the general
discussion).
Walsh, Carl E. (1998): "Empirical Evidence on Money
and Output," Chapter 1 in WALSH98.
Money and Output: Modeling Real Effects of Monetary Policy
Blanchard, Olivier J., and Nobuhiro Kiyotaki (1983):
"Monopolistic Competition and the Effects of Aggregate Demand," American
Economic Review 77: 647-666.
Blinder, Alan S. (1994): "On Sticky Prices: Academic
Theories Meet the Real World," in MANKIW94 (with Olivier J. Blanchard's
comment).
Calvo, Guillermo A. (1983): "Staggered Prices in
a Utility Maximizing Framework," Journal of Monetary Economics 12:
383-398.
Caplin, Andrew, and John Leahy (1991): "State-Dependent
Pricing and the Dynamics of Money and Output," Quarterly Journal of
Economics 106: 683-708.
Caplin, Andrew, and John Leahy (1997): "Aggregation
and Optimization with State-Dependent Pricing," Econometrica 65:
601-625.
Caplin, Andrew, and Daniel Spulber (1987): "Menu
Costs and the Neutrality of Money, " Quarterly Journal of Economics
102: 703-725.
Chari, V. V., Patrick J. Kehoe, and Ellen R. McGrattan
(2000): "Sticky
price Models of the Business Cycle: Can the Contract Multiplier Solve the
Persistence Problem?" Econometrica 68: 1151-1179 (link: Federal
Reserve Bank of Minneapolis Staff Report version).
Christiano, Lawrence J., Martin Eichenbaum, and
Charles Evans (1997): "Sticky
Price and Limited Participation Models of Money: A Comparison," European
Economic Review 41: 1201-1249 (link: NBER WP version).
Dotsey, Michael, Robert G. King, and Alexander L.
Wolman (1999): "State Dependent Pricing and the General Equilibrium Dynamics
of Money and Output," Quarterly Journal of Economics 114: 655-690.
Fuhrer, Jeff, and George Moore (1995): "Inflation
Persistence," Quarterly Journal of Economics 110: 127-159.
Galí, Jordi, and Mark Gertler (1999): "Inflation
Dynamics: A Structural Econometric Analysis," Journal of Monetary
Economics 44: 195-222.
Goodfriend, Marvin S., and Robert G. King (1997):
"The New Neoclassical
Synthesis and the Role of Monetary Policy," in Ben S. Bernanke and
Julio J. Rotemberg (eds.), NBER Macroeconomics Annual 1997, Cambridge:
MIT Press (with Olivier J. Blanchard's comments; link: Federal Reserve
of Richmond WP version).
Ireland, Peter N. (1996): "The Role of Countercyclical
Monetary Policy,"
Journal of Political Economy 104: 704-724.
King, Robert G., and Mark W. Watson (1996): "Money,
Prices, Interest Rates, and the Business Cycle," Review of Economics
and Statistics 78: 35-53.
McCallum, Bennett T., and Edward Nelson (1999):
"An Optimizing
IS-LM Specification for Monetary Policy ad Business Cycle Analysis,"
Journal
of Money, Credit, and Banking 31: 296-316 (link: NBER WP version).
Nelson, Edward (1998): "Sluggish Inflation and Optimizing
Models of the Business Cycle," Journal of Monetary Economics 42:
303-322.
Roberts, John M. (2001): "How
Well Does the New Keynesian Sticky-Price Model Fit the Data?" Finance
and Economics Discussion Series, Staff WP 2001-13, Board of Governors of
the Federal Reserve System.
Rotemberg, Julio J. (1982): "Monopolistic Price
Adjustment and Aggregate Output," Review of Economic Studies 49:
517-531.
Rotemberg, Julio J. (1987): "The New Keynesian Microfoundations,"
in NBER Macroeconomics Annual 1987, Cambridge: MIT Press.
Rotemberg, Julio J., and Michael Woodford (1999):
"The Cyclical Behavior of
Prices and Costs," in John B. Taylor and Michael Woodford (eds.), Handbook
of Macroeconomics, Amsterdam: Elsevier Science (link: NBER WP version).
Sbordone, Argia M. (1998): "Prices
and Unit Labor Costs: A New Test of Price Stickiness," unpublished
manuscript, Rutgers University
Sims, Christopher A. (1998): "Stickiness,"
Carnegie-Rochester
Conference Series on Public Policy 49: 317-356 (link: C. A. Sims' web
page).
Taylor, John B. (1980): "Aggregate Dynamics and
Staggered Contracts," Journal of Political Economy 88: 1-24.
Taylor, John B. (1999): "Staggered
Price and Wage Setting in Macroeconomics," in John B. Taylor and Michael
Woodford (eds.), Handbook of Macroeconomics, Amsterdam: Elsevier
Science (link: NBER WP version).
Walsh, Carl E. (1998): "Money and Output in the
Short Run," Chapter 5 in WALSH98.
Time Inconsistency, Rules vs. Discretion, Transparency
Albanesi, Stefania, V. V. Chari, and Lawrence J.
Christiano (2000): "Expectation
Traps and Monetary Policy" unpublished manuscript, Northwestern
University and University of Minnesota.
Albanesi, Stefania, V. V. Chari, and Lawrence J.
Christiano (2001): "How
Severe Is the Time Inconsistency Problem in Monetary Policy?" unpublished
manuscript, Northwestern University and University of Minnesota.
Barro, Robert J., and David B. Gordon (1983): "A
Positive Theory of Monetary Policy in a Natural-Rate Model," Journal
of Political Economy 91(4): 589-610 (link: NBER WP version).
Barro, Robert J., and David B. Gordon (1983): "Rules,
Discretion, and Reputation in a Model of Monetary Policy," Journal
of Monetary Economics 12(1): 101-121 (link: NBER WP version).
Calvo, Guillermo A. (1978): "On the Time Consistency
of Optimal Monetary Policy in a Monetary Economy," Econometrica 46(6):
1411-1428.
Chari, V. V., Lawrence J. Christiano, and Martin
Eichenbaum (1998): "Expectation
Traps and Discretion," unpublished manuscript, University of
Minnesota and Northwestern University.
Christiano, Lawrence J., and Christopher Gust (2000):
"The
Expectations Trap Hypothesis," Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago.
Faust, Jon, and Lars E. O. Svensson (1998): "Transparency
and Credibility: Monetary Policy with Unobservable Goals," NBER WP
6452.
Faust, Jon, and Lars E. O. Svensson (1999): "The
Equilibrium Degree of Transparency and Control in Monetary Policy,"
NBER WP 7152.
Geraats, Petra (2000): "Precommitment,
Transparency and Monetary Policy," unpublished manuscript, University
of Cambridge.
Geraats, Petra (2001): "Why
Adopt Transparency? The Publication of Central Bank Forecasts," ECB
WP 41.
Ireland, Peter N. (1998): "Expectations,
Credibility, and Time-Consistent Monetary Policy," Boston College Economics
Department WP 425.
Ireland, Peter N. (1999): "Does
the Time-Consistency Problem Explain the Behavior of Inflation in the United
States?" Journal of Monetary Economics 44: 279-291 (link: BC
WP version).
Jensen, Henrik (1999): "Optimal
Degrees of Transparency in Monetary Policymaking," CEPR DP 2689.
Kydland, Finn E., and Edward C. Prescott (1977):
"Rules
Rather Than Discretion: The Inconsistency of Optimal Plans," Journal
of Political Economy 85(3): 473-491 (link: JSTOR).
Lucas, Robert E. (1980): "Rules, Discretion, and
the Role of the Economic Advisor," in Stanley Fisher (ed.), Rational
Expectations and Economic Policy, Chicago: University of Chicago Press.
Persson, Torsten, and Guido Tabellini (1993): "Designing
Institutions for Monetary Stability," Carnegie-Rochester Conference
Series on Public Policy 39.
Rogoff, Kenneth S. (1985): "The
Optimal Degree of Commitment to an Intermediate Monetary Target," Quarterly
Journal of Economics 100: 1169-1189 (link: K. S. Rogoff's web page).
Walsh, Carl E. (1995): "Optimal Contracts for Central
Bankers," American Economic Review 85: 150-167.
Walsh, Carl E. (1998): "Discretionary Policy and
Time Inconsistency," Chapter 8 in WALSH98.
[An excellent treatment of this topic is also in Cukierman, Alex (1995): Central Bank Strategy, Credibility, and Independence: Theory and Evidence, Cambridge: MIT Press.]
Evidence on the Effects of Monetary Policy
Bernanke, Ben S., and Ilian Mihov (1995): "Measuring
Monetary Policy," NBER WP 5145.
Bernanke, Ben S., and Ilian Mihov (1998): "The
Liquidity Effect and Long-Run Neutrality," NBER WP 6608.
Faust, Jon (1998): “The Robustness of Identified
VAR Conclusions About Money,” Carnegie-Rochester Conference Series on
Public Policy 49: 207-244 (with Harald Uhlig's comment, pp. 245-263).
Blanchard, Olivier, and Danny Quah (1989): “The
Dynamic Effects of Aggregate Demand and Supply Disturbances,” American
Economic Review 79: 655-673.
Christiano, Lawrence J., Martin Eichenbaum, and
Charles Evans (1996): “The Effects of Monetary Policy Shocks: Evidence
from the Flow of Funds,”
Review of Economics and Statistics 78:
16-34.
Christiano, Lawrence J., Martin Eichenbaum, and
Charles Evans (1998): “Monetary
Policy Shocks: What Have We Learned and To What End?” unpublished
manuscript, Northwestern University and Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago.
Cochrane, John H. (1998): "What
Do the VARs Mean? Measuring the Output Effects of Monetary Policy,"
Journal
of Monetary Economics 41: 277-300.
Faust, Jon, and Eric Leeper (1997): "When Do Long-Run
Identifying Restrictions Give Reliable Results?" Journal of Business
Economics and Statistics 15: 345-354.
Gordon, David, and Eric Leeper (1994): "The Dynamic
Impacts of Monetary Policy: An Exercise in Tentative Identification," Journal
of Political Economy 102: 1228-1247.
Ireland, Peter N. (1999): "A
Method for Taking Models to the Data," Boston College Economics Department
WP 421.
Ireland, Peter N. (2000): "Money’s
Role in the Monetary Business Cycle," Boston College Economics Department
WP 458.
Ireland, Peter N. (2001): "Sticky-Price
Models of the Business Cycle: Specification and Stability," Journal
of Monetary Economics 47: 3-18 (link: BC WP version).
Leeper, Eric M., Christopher A. Sims, and Tao Zha
(1996): "What
Does Monetary Policy Do?" Brookings Papers on Economic Activity
2: 1-63 (with Ben S. Bernanke's discussion, pp. 69-73; link: C.A. Sims'
web page).
Mankiw, N. Gregory (2000): "The
Inexorable and Mysterious Tradeoff Between Inflation and Unemployment,"
NBER WP 7884.
McCallum, Bennett T. (1999): "Analysis
of the Monetary Transmission Mechanism: Methodological Issues," unpublished
manuscript, Carnegie Mellon University.
Rudebusch, Glenn (1997): "Do Measures of Monetary
Policy in a VAR Make Sense?" Brookings Papers on Economic Activity
2: ??? (with Christopher A. Sims' discussion;
link: C.A. Sims' web page).
Sims, Christopher A. (1980): “Macroeconomics and
Reality,” Econometrica 48: 1-48.
Sims, Christopher A. (1992): “Interpreting the Macroeconomic
Time Series Facts: The Effects of Monetary Policy,” European Economic
Review 36: 975-1011.
Sims, Christopher A., and Tao Zha (1996): "Does
Monetary Policy Generate Recessions?" unpublished manuscript,
Princeton University and Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta.
Strongin, S. (1995): “The Identification of Monetary
Policy Disturbances: Explaining the Liquidity Puzzle,” Journal of Monetary
Economics 35: 463-497.
Uhlig, Harald (2001): “What
Are the Effects of Monetary Policy? Results from an Agnostic Identification
Procedure,” unpublished manuscript, Humboldt University.
Reflections on Monetary Policy Rules
McCallum, Bennett T. (1999): "Recent
Developments in the Analysis of Monetary Policy Rules," Holmer Jones
Memorial Lecture at the University of Missouri.
McCallum, Bennett T. (2000): “The
Present and Future of Monetary Policy Rules,” International Finance,
forthcoming.
Poole, William (1999): “Monetary Policy Rules?”
Review,
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, Vol. 81, no. 2.
Tobin, James (1998): "Monetary
Policy: recent Theory and Practice," unpublished manuscript,
Yale University.
Price Stability in the Policy Debate
In 1996, the Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City organized a symposium on "Achieving Price Stability." The proceedings were published in a volume with the same title. Here are some contributions (in the order in which they appear in the volume):
Greenspan, Alan (1996): "Opening
Remarks."
Fischer, Stanley (1996): "Why
Are Central Banks Pursuing Long-Run Price Stability?" (with Lawrence
Summers' commentary
and the general
discussion).
King, Mervyn (1996): "How
Should Central Banks Reduce Inflation? Conceptual Issues" (with commentaries--Rudiger
Dornbusch and Bennett
T. McCallum--and general
discussion).
Freedman, Charles (1996): "What
Operating Procedures Should Be Adopted to Maintain Price Stability?--Practical
Issues" (with commentaries--Otmar
Issing and Donald
L. Kohn--and general
discussion).
Taylor, John B. (1996): "How
Should Monetary Policy Respond to Shocks While Maintaining Long Run Price
Stability" (with commentaries--David
W. Mullins and Lars
E. O. Svensson--and general
discussion).
You can find the remaining contributions at http://www.kc.frb.org/PUBLICAT/SYMPOS/1996/Sym96prg.htm. FYI, the Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City organizes a symposium on an important policy issue each year. The proceedings of recent symposia can be found at http://www.kc.frb.org/PUBLICAT/SYMPOS/SYMMAIN.HTM.
Interest Rate Rules: Introduction
Romer, David (2000): "Keynesian
Macroeconomics Without the LM Curve," NBER WP 7461.
Taylor, John B. (1993): "Discretion
vs. Policy Rules in Practice," Carnegie-Rochester Conference Series
on Public Policy 39: 195-214.
Taylor, John B. (1999): "A Historical Analysis of
Monetary Policy Rules," in TAYLOR99 (with Richard Clarida's comment).
Walsh, Carl E. (1998): "Interest Rates and Monetary
Policy," Chapter 10 in WALSH98.
Woodford, Michael (1999): "Price-Level
Determination under Interest-Rate Rules," Chapter 2 in Interest
and Prices, unpublished manuscript, Princeton University.
Woodford, Michael (2000): "A
Neo-Wicksellian Framework for the Analysis of Monetary Policy," Chapter
4 in Interest and Prices, unpublished manuscript, Princeton
University.
Inflation, Welfare, and Optimal Monetary Policy/Interest Rate Rules
Ball, Laurence (1997): "Efficient
Monetary Policy Rules," NBER WP 5952.
Cecchetti, Stephen G., and Erica L. Groshen (2000):
"Understanding Inflation:
Implications for Monetary Policy," NBER WP 7482.
Chari, V.V., and Patrick J. Kehoe (1999): “Optimal
Fiscal and Monetary Policy,” in John B. Taylor and Michael Woodford (eds.),
Handbook
of Macroeconomics, Amsterdam: Elsevier Science.
Clark, Peter, Charles Goodhart, and Haizhou Huang
(1999): "Optimal
Monetary Policy Rules in a Rational Expectations Model of the Phillips
Curve," FMG DP 0247, London School of Economics.
Dotsey, Michael, and Peter N. Ireland (1996): "The
Welfare Cost of Inflation in General Equilibrium," Journal of Monetary
Economics 37: 29-47.
Giannoni, Marc P. (2000): "Optimal
Interest-Rate Rules in a Forward-Looking Model, and Inflation Stabilization
versus Price-Level Stabilization," unpublished manuscript, Federal
Reserve Bank of New York.
Goodfriend, Marvin S., and Robert G. King (2000):
"The Case for Price Stability," unpublished manuscript, Federal
Reserve Bank of Richmond and Boston University.
Khan, Aubhik, Robert G. King, and Alexander L. Wolman
(2000): "Optimal
Monetary Policy," Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond WP 00-10.
King, Robert G., and Alexander L. Wolman (1999):
"What Should the Monetary Authority Do When Prices Are Sticky?" in TAYLOR99
(with Benjamin M. Friedman's comment).
Lucas, Robert E., and Nancy L. Stokey (1983): "Optimal
Fiscal and Monetary Policy in an Economy Without Capital," Journal of
Monetary Economics 12: 55-93.
McCallum, Bennett T. (1997): "Issues
in the Design of Monetary Policy Rules," in John B. Taylor and Michael
Woodford (eds.), Handbook of Macroeconomics, Amsterdam: Elsevier
Science (link: NBER WP version).
Rotemberg, Julio J., and Michael Woodford (1997):
"An Optimization-Based Framework
for the Evaluation of Monetary Policy," in Ben S. Bernanke and Julio
J. Rotemberg (eds.), NBER Macroeconomics Annual 1997, Cambridge:
MIT Press (link: NBER WP version).
Rotemberg, Julio J., and Michael Woodford (1999):
“Interest Rate Rules in an
Estimated Sticky Price Model,” in TAYLOR99 (with Martin Feldstein's
comment).
Schmitt-Grohé, Stephanie, and Martín
Uribe (2000a): “Optimal
Fiscal and Monetary Policy under Imperfect Competition,” unpublished
manuscript, Rutgers University and University of Pennsylvania.
Schmitt-Grohé, Stephanie, and Martín
Uribe (2000b): “Optimal
Fiscal and Monetary Policy under Sticky Prices,” unpublished manuscript,
Rutgers University and University of Pennsylvania.
Svensson, Lars E. O. (1999): "How
Should Monetary Policy Be Conducted in an Era of Price Stability?"
in New Challenges for Monetary Policy, proceedings of a symposium
organized by the Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City (with commentaries--Allan
Meltzer and Michael
Woodford--and general
discussion).
Steinsson, Jon (2000): "Optimal Monetary Policy
in an Economy with Inflation Persistence," unpublished manuscript,
Princeton University.
Woodford, Michael (1999): "Inflation
Stabilization and Welfare," Chapter 6 in Interest and Prices,
unpublished
manuscript, Princeton University (NBER
WP 8071, 2001).
Batini, Nicoletta, and Andrew G. Haldane (1999):
"Forward-Looking
Rules for Monetary Policy," in TAYLOR99 (with Donald L. Khon's comment;
link: Bank of England WP version).
Batini, Nicoletta, and Edward Nelson (2000): "Optimal
Horizons for Inflation Targeting," WP 119, Bank of England.
Bernanke, Ben S., and Frederic S. Mishkin (1997):
"Inflation Targeting: A New
Framework for Monetary Policy?" Journal of Economic Perspectives
11: 97-116 (link: NBER WP version).
Bernanke, Ben S., and Michael Woodford (1997): "Inflation
Forecasts and Monetary Policy," NBER WP 6157.
Cecchetti, Stephen G. (1995): "Inflation
Indicators and Inflation Policy," in Ben S. Bernanke and Julio J. Rotemberg
(eds.), NBER Macroeconomics Annual 1995, Cambridge: MIT Press (link:
NBER WP version).
Cecchetti, Stephen G., and Michael Ehrmann (1999):
"Does Inflation Targeting
Increase Output Volatility? An International Comparison of Policymakers'
Preferences and Outcomes," NBER WP 7426.
Cukierman, Alex (2000): "Establishing a Reputation
for Dependability by Means of Inflation Targets," Economics of Governance,
February.
Erceg, Christopher J., Dale W. Henderson, and Andrew
T. Levin (1999): "Tradeoffs Between Inflation and Output-Gap Variances
in an Optimizing Agent Model," unpublished manuscript, Board of
Governors of the Federal Reserve System.
European Central Bank (1999): "The
Monetary Policy Strategy and the Operational Framework of the Eurosystem,"
from the ECB's web site.
Galí, Jordi (2001): "Targeting
Inflation in an Economy with Staggered Price Setting," unpublished
manuscript, Universitat Pompeu Fabra.
King, Mervyn (1997): "Changes in UK Monetary Policy:
Rules and Discretion in Practice," Journal of Monetary Economics
39: 81-97.
King, Robert G., and Alexander L. Wolman (1996):
"Inflation
Targeting in a St. Louis Model of the 21st Century," Federal Reserve
Bank of St. Louis Review 78: 83-107 (with commentaries: Edward
C. Prescott and Julio
J. Rotemberg).
Kuttner, Kenneth N., and Adam S. Posen (1999): "Does
Talk Matter After All? Inflation Targeting and Central Bank Behavior,"
Staff Report 88, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
McDonough, William J, (1997): "A
Framework for the Pursuit of Price Stability," Economic Policy Review,
Federal Reserve Bank of New York, Vol. 3, No. 3.
Mishkin, Frederic S., and Adam S. Posen (1997):
"Inflation
Targeting: Lessons from Four Countries," Economic Policy Review,
Federal Reserve Bank of New York, Vol. 3, No. 3.
Nessén, Marianne, and David Vestin (2000):
"Average Inflation
Targeting," unpublished manuscript, Sveriges Riksbank and Institute
for International Economic Studies, Stockholm University.
Rudebusch, Glenn D., and Lars E. O. Svensson (1999):
"Policy Rules
for Inflation Targeting," in TAYLOR99 (with Frederic S. Mishkin and
James H. Stock's comments).
Rudebusch, Glenn D., and Lars E. O. Svensson (1999):
"Eurosystem Monetary Targeting:
Lessons from U.S. Data," NBER WP 7179.
Smets, Frank (2000): "What
Horizon for Price Stability?" ECB WP 24.
Svensson, Lars E. O. (1997): "Inflation
Forecast Targeting: Implementing and Monitoring Inflation Targets,"
European
Economic Review 41: 1111-1146 (link: NBER WP version).
Svensson, Lars E. O. (1999): "Inflation
Targeting as a Monetary Policy Rule," Journal of Monetary Economics
43: 607-654 (link: NBER WP version).
Svensson, Lars E. O. (1999): "Inflation
Targeting: Some Extensions," NBER WP 5962.
Svensson, Lars E. O. (1999): "Monetary
Policy Issues for the Eurosystem," NBER WP 7177.
Svensson, Lars E. O. (1999): "Price
Stability as a Target for Monetary Policy: Defining and Maintaining Price
Stability," NBER WP 7276.
Svensson, Lars E. O. (2000): "The
First Year of the Eurosystem: Inflation Targeting or Not?" NBER WP
7598.
Svensson, Lars E. O., and Michael Woodford (1999):
"Implementing
Optimal Policy Through Inflation Forecast Targeting," unpublished
manuscript, IIES and Princeton University.
Végh, Carlos A. (1998): "Monetary
Policy, Interest Rate Rules, and Inflation Targeting: Some Basic Equivalences,"
unpublished
manuscript, University of California, Los Angeles.
[In addition, BetAL99 is an excellent reading on this topic. On the U.S. experience reducing inflation, you may want to read Thomas J. Sargent's The Conquest of American Inflation, Princeton: Princeton University Press, 1999.]
More on Optimal Monetary Policy, Comparison of Rules, and Rules vs. Discretion Revisited
Alvarez, Fernando, Robert E. Lucas, and Warren E.
Weber (2001): "Interest
Rates and Inflation," American Economic Review Papers and Proceedings,
forthcoming.
Canzoneri, Matthew B., Dale W. Henderson, and Kenneth
S. Rogoff (1983): "The
Information Content of the Interest Rate and Optimal Monetary Policy,"
Quarterly
Journal of Economics 98: 545-566 (link: K. S. Rogoff's web page).
Christiano, Lawrence J., and Christopher J. Gust
(1999): "Taylor Rules in
a Limited Participation Model," NBER WP 7017.
Cooley, Thomas F., and Vincenzo Quadrini (2000):
"Optimal
Monetary Policy in a Phillips-Curve World," unpublished manuscript,
New York University.
Dupor, William (1999): "Optimal
Monetary Policy with Nominal Rigidities,"
unpublished manuscript,
University of Pennsylvania.
Erceg, Christopher J., Dale W. Henderson, and Andrew
T. Levin (2000): "Optimal Monetary Policy with Staggered Wage and Price
Contracts," Journal of Monetary Economics 46: 281-313.
Feldstein, Martin, and James H. Stock (1994): "The
Use of a Monetary Aggregate to Target Nominal GDP," in MANKIW94 (with
John B. Taylor and Bennett T. McCallum comments; link: NBER WP version).
Galí, Jordi (2000): "New
Perspectives on Monetary Policy, Inflation, and the Business Cycle,"
unpublished
manuscript, Universitat Pompeu Fabra.
Gerlach, Stefan, and Lars E. O. Svensson (2000):
"Money and Inflation in the
Euro Area: A Case for Monetary Indicators?" NBER WP 8025.
Hall, Robert E., and N. Gregory Mankiw (1994): "Nominal
Income Targeting," in MANKIW94 (with Kenneth D. West's comment; link:
NBER WP version).
Henderson, Dale W., and Jinill Kim (1999): "Exact
Utilities under alternative Monetary Rules in a Simple Macro Model with
Optimizing Agents," International Finance Discussion Paper 635, Board
of Governors of the Federal Reserve System.
Henderson, Dale W., and Jinill Kim (2000): "Exactly
How Suboptimal Are Inflation Targeting and Nominal Income Growth Targeting?"
unpublished
manuscript, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System and University
of Virginia.
Ireland, Peter N. (2000): "Implementing
the Friedman Rule," Boston College Economics Department WP 460.
Jensen, Henrik (1999): "Targeting
Nominal Income Growth or Inflation?" CEPR DP 2341.
Lengwiler, Yvan, and Athanasios Orphanides (1999):
"Optimal
Discretion," Finance and Economics Discussion Series, Staff WP 1999-42,
Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System.
McCallum, Bennett T. (1997): "The
Alleged Instability of Nominal Income Targeting," NBER WP 6291.
McCallum, Bennett T. (1999): "Recent
Developments in Monetary Policy Analysis: The Roles of Theory and Evidence,"
unpublished
manuscript, Carnegie Mellon University.
McCallum, Bennett T. (2001): "Should
Monetary Policy Respond Strongly to Output Gaps?" unpublished manuscript,
Carnegie Mellon University.
McCallum, Bennett T., and Edward Nelson (1999):
"Performance of Operational
Policy Rules in an Estimated Semiclassical Structural Model," in TAYLOR99
(with Mark Gertler's comment; link: NBER WP version).
McCallum, Bennett T., and Edward Nelson (2000):
"Timeless Perspective vs.
Discretionary Monetary Policy in Forward-Looking Models," NBER WP 7915.
Mishkin, Frederic S. (1999): "International
Experiences with Different Monetary Policy Regimes," NBER WP 7044.
Neiss, Katharine S., and Edward Nelson (2000): "The
Real Interest rate Gap as an Inflation Indicator," unpublished manuscript,
Bank of England.
Sack, Brian, and Volker Wieland (1999): "Interest-rate
Smoothing and Optimal Monetary Policy: A Review of Recent Empirical Evidence,"
Finance and Economics Discussion Series, Staff WP 1999-39, Board of Governors
of the Federal Reserve System.
Svensson, Lars E. O. (2000): "Does
the P* Model Provide Any Rationale for Monetary Targeting?" NBER WP
7178.
Svensson, Lars E. O. (2001): "Requiem
for Forecast-Based Instrument Rules," unpublished manuscript,
Institute for International Economic Studies, Stockholm University.
Svensson, Lars E. O. (2001): "What
Is Wrong with Taylor Rules? Using Judgment in Monetary Policy," unpublished
manuscript, Institute for International Economic Studies, Stockholm
University.
Uhlig, Harald (1999): "Should
We Be Afraid of Friedman's Rule?" Journal of the Japanese and International
Economies, forthcoming.
Williams, John C. (1999): "Simple
Rules for Monetary Policy, " Finance and Economics Discussion Series,
Staff WP 1999-12, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System.
Woodford, Michael (1994): "Nonstandard Indicators
for Monetary Policy: Can Their Usefulness Be Judged from Forecasting Regressions?"
in MANKIW94.
Woodford, Michael (1999): “Optimal
Monetary Policy Inertia,” NBER WP 7261.
Monetary Policy and Asset Bubbles
Bernanke, Ben S., and Mark Gertler (1999): "Monetary
Policy and Asset Price Volatility," in New Challenges for Monetary
Policy, proceedings of a symposium organized by the Federal Reserve
Bank of Kansas City (with Rudiger Dornbusch's commentary
and the general
discussion).
Bernanke, Ben S., and Mark Gertler (2001): "Should
Central Bankers Respond to Asset Prices?" American Economic Review
Papers and Proceedings, forthcoming.
Bryan, Michael F., Stephen G. Cecchetti, and Roisin
O'Sullivan (2001): "Asset
Prices in the Measurement of Inflation," unpublished manuscript,
Ohio State University.
Cecchetti, Stephen G., Hans Genberg, John Lipsky,
and Sushil Wadhwani (2000): "Asset
Prices and Central Bank Policy," Geneva Report on the World Economy
No. 2.
Evidence on Interest Rate Rules
Christiano, Lawrence J., and Christopher Gust (1999):
"The
Great Inflation of the 1970s," unpublished manuscript, Northwestern
University and Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System.
Clarida, Richard, Jordi Galí, and Mark Gertler
(1998): "Monetary
Policy Rules in Practice: Some International Evidence," European
Economic Review 42: 1033-1067 (link: M. Gertler's web page).
Clarida, Richard, Jordi Galí, and Mark Gertler
(2000): "Monetary
Policy Rules and Macroeconomic Stability: Evidence and Some Theory,"
Quarterly
Journal of Economics 115: 147-180 (link: M. Gertler's web page).
Galí, Jordi, J. David López-Salido,
and Javier Vallés (2000): "Technology
Shocks and Monetary Policy: Assessing the Fed's Performance," unpublished
manuscript, Universitat Pompeu Fabra and Bank of Spain.
Ireland, Peter N. (1999): "Interest
Rates, Inflation, and Federal Reserve Policy Since 1980," Boston College
Economics Department WP 419.
Leeper, Eric M., and Tao Zha (2000): "Assessing
Simple Policy Rules: A View from a Complete Macro Model," Federal Reserve
Bank of Atlanta Working Paper 2000-19.
McCallum, Bennett T. (2000): "Alternative
Monetary Policy Rules: A Comparison with Historical Settings for the United
States, the United Kingdom, and Japan," Economic Quarterly,
Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond.
McGrattan, Ellen R. (1999): "Predicting
the Effects of Federal Reserve Policy in a Sticky-Price Model: An Analytical
Approach," Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis Working Paper 598.
Nelson, Edward (2000): "UK
Monetary Policy 1972-97: A Guide Using Taylor Rules," Bank of England
WP 120.
Orphanides, Athanasios (2000): "Activist
Stabilization Policy and Inflation: The Taylor Rule in the 1970s,"
Finance and Economics Discussion Series, Staff WP 2000-13, Board of Governors
of the Federal Reserve System.
Sims, Christopher (1998): "The
Role of Interest Rate Policy in the Generation and Propagation of Business
Cycles: What Has Changed Since the '30s?" unpublished manuscript,
Princeton University (with Lawrence J. Christiano's discussion).
Indeterminacy, Liquidity Traps, the Zero Bound: Drawbacks of Interest Rate Rules?
Benhabib, Jess, Stephanie Schmitt-Grohé, and
Martín Uribe (1999): "The
Perils of Taylor Rules," Journal of Economic Theory 96: 40-69
(link: M. Uribe's web page).
Benhabib, Jess, Stephanie Schmitt-Grohé,
and Martín Uribe (1999): "Monetary
Policy and Multiple Equilibria,"
American Economic Review, forthcoming.
Benhabib, Jess, Stephanie Schmitt-Grohé,
and Martín Uribe (2000): "Avoiding
Liquidity Traps," unpublished manuscript, New York University,
Rutgers University, and University of Pennsylvania.
Bernanke, Ben S. (2000): "Japanese Monetary Policy:
A Case of Self Induced Paralysis?" Institute for International Economics.
Blanchard, Olivier (2000): "Bubbles, Liquidity Traps,
and Monetary Policy: Comments on Jinushi et al. and on Bernanke," unpublished
manuscript, MIT.
Buiter, Willem H., and Nikolaos Panigirtzoglou (1999):
"Liquidity Traps: How to
Avoid Them and How to Escape Them," NBER WP 7245.
Clouse, James, Dale Henderson, Athanasios Orphanides,
David Small, and Peter Tinsley (2000): "Monetary
Policy When the Nominal Short-Term Interest Rate Is Zero," Finance
and Economics Discussion Series, Staff WP 2000-51, Board of Governors of
the Federal Reserve System.
Dupor, William (1999): "Interest Rate Policy and
Global Indeterminacy,"
unpublished manuscript, University of Pennsylvania.
Dupor, William (2000): "August
14, 1990: Monetary Policy and Confidence,"
unpublished manuscript,
University of Pennsylvania.
Goodfriend, Marvin S. (2000): "Overcoming
the Zero Bound on Interest Rate Policy," Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond
WP 00-3.
Jinushi, T., Y. Kuroki, and R. Miyao (2000): "Monetary
Policy in Japan Since the Late 1980s: Delayed Policy Actions and Some Explanations,"
Institute
for International Economics, forthcoming.
McCallum, Bennett T. (1999): "Theoretical
Analysis Regarding a Zero Lower Bound on Nominal Interest Rates," unpublished
manuscript, Carnegie Mellon University (with Lawrence J. Christiano's
comment).
Orphanides, Athanasios (1999): "The
Quest for Prosperity Without Inflation," Board of Governors of the
Federal Reserve System.
Orphanides, Athanasios, and Volker Wieland (1998):
"Price
Stability and Monetary Policy Effectiveness when Interest Rates Are Bounded
at Zero," Finance and Economics Discussion Series, Staff WP 1998-35,
Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System.
Orphanides, Athanasios, and Volker Wieland (1999):
"Efficient
Monetary Policy Design Near Price Stability," Finance and Economics
Discussion Series, Staff WP 1999-67, Board of Governors of the Federal
Reserve System.
Reifschneider, David, and John C. Williams: "Three
Lessons for Monetary Policy in a Low Inflation Era," Finance and Economics
Discussion Series, Staff WP 1999-44, Board of Governors of the Federal
Reserve System.
Schmitt-Grohé, Stephanie, and Martín
Uribe (2000): "Liquidity
Traps with Global Taylor Rules,"
unpublished manuscript, Rutgers
University and University of Pennsylvania.
Woodford, Michael (2000): "Pitfalls
of Forward-Looking Monetary Policy," American Economic Review Papers
and Proceedings 90: 100-104.
McCallum, Bennett T. (1999): "Role
of the Minimal State Variable Criterion in Rational Expectation Models,"
International
Tax and Public Finance 6: 621-639.
McCallum, Bennett T. (2000): "Monetary
Policy Analysis in Models Without Money," unpublished manuscript,
Carnegie Mellon University.
Woodford, Michael (2000): "Monetary
Policy in a World Without Money," NBER WP 7853.
Parameter Uncertainty, Model Uncertainty, Measurement Errors
Estrella, Arturo, and Frederic S. Mishkin (1999):
"Rethinking the Role of NAIRU
in Monetary Policy: Implications of Model Formulation and Uncertainty,"
in TAYLOR99 (link: NBER WP version).
Galí, Jordi (2000): "The
Conduct of Monetary Policy in the Face of Technological Change: Theory
and Postwar U.S. Evidence," unpublished manuscript, Universitat
Pompeu Fabra.
Giannoni, Marc P. (2000): "Does
Model Uncertainty Justify Caution? Robust Optimal Monetary Policy in a
Forward-Looking Model,"
Macroeconomic Dynamics, forthcoming.
Giannoni, Marc P. (2000): "Robust
Optimal Monetary Policy in a Forward-Looking Model with Parameter and Shock
Uncertainty,"
unpublished manuscript, Federal Reserve Bank of
New York.
Levin, Andrew, Volker Wieland, and John C. Williams
(1998): "Robustness
of Simple Monetary Policy Rules under Model Uncertainty," in TAYLOR99
(with Lawrence J. Christiano and Christopher J. Gust's comment).
Levin, Andrew, Volker Wieland, and John C. Williams
(1999): "The Performance of Forecast-Based Monetary Policy Rules under
Model Uncertainty," unpublished manuscript, Board of Governors of
the Federal Reserve System (authors 1 and 3) and Goethe University Frankfurt.
Meyer, Laurence H., Eric T. Swanson, and Volker
W. Wieland (2001): "NAIRU
Uncertainty and Nonlinear Policy Rules," Finance and Economics Discussion
Series, Staff WP 2001-1, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System.
Orphanides, Athanasios (1997): "Monetary
Policy Rules Based on Real Time Data," Finance and Economics Discussion
Series, Staff WP 1998-03, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System.
Orphanides, Athanasios (1998): "Monetary
Policy with Noisy Information," Finance and Economics Discussion Series,
Staff WP 1998-50, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System.
Orphanides, Athanasios, Richard D. Porter, David
Reifschneider, Robert Tetlow, and Frederico Finan (1999): "Errors
in the Measurement of the Output Gap and the Design of Monetary Policy,"
Finance and Economics Discussion Series, Staff WP 1999-45, Board of Governors
of the Federal Reserve System.
Smets, Frank (1998): "Output
Gap Uncertainty: Does It Matter for the Taylor Rule?" BIS WP 60.
Svensson, Lars E. O., and Michael Woodford (2000):
"Indicator Variables
for Optimal Policy," unpublished manuscript, IIES and Princeton
University.
Tetlow, Robert J. (2000): "Inflation
Targeting and Target Instability," Finance and Economics Discussion
Series, Staff WP 2000-1, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System.
Tetlow, Robert J., and Peter von zur Muehlen (2000):
"Robust
Monetary Policy with Misspecified Models: Does Model Uncertainty Always
Call for Attenuated Policy?" Finance and Economics Discussion Series,
Staff WP 2000-28, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System.
von zur Muehlen, Peter (2001): "Activist
vs. Non-Activist Monetary Policy: Optimal Rules Under Extreme Uncertainty
(A Primer on Robust Control)," Finance and Economics Discussion Series,
Staff WP 2001-2, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System.
Bullard, James, and Kaushik Mitra (1999): "Learning
About Monetary Policy Rules," Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis WP
2000-001.
Tetlow, Robert J., Peter von zur Muehlen,
and Frederico S. Finan (1998): "Learning
and the Complexity of Monetary Policy Rules," Reserve Bank of New Zealand.
Tetlow, Robert J., and Peter von zur Muehlen (1999):
"Simplicity
Versus Optimality: The Choice of Monetary Policy Rules When Agents Must
Learn," Finance and Economics Discussion Series, Staff WP 1999-10,
Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System.
Wieland, Volker (1999): "Monetary
Policy, Parameter Uncertainty, and Optimal Learning," Finance and Economics
Discussion Series, Staff WP 1999-48, Board of Governors of the Federal
Reserve System.
Monetary Policy Rules in Open Economies
Time permitting, we may go over one or two papers from those listed at the following URL:
http://www.geocities.com/monetaryrules/mpoe.htm
A web page on monetary policy rules in open economies created and maintained by Gianluca Benigno (Bank of England), Pierpaolo Benigno (New York University), and myself.
(Browse the Journal of International Economics for interesting published papers on monetary policy in open economies.)
Another topic we may discuss is
Buiter, Willem H. (1998): "The
Young Person's Guide to Neutrality, Price Level Indeterminacy, Interest
Rate Pegs, and Fiscal Theories of the Price Level," NBER WP 6396.
Buiter, Willem H. (1999): "The
Fallacy of the Fiscal Theory of the Price Level," NBER WP 7302.
Canzoneri, Matthew B., Robert E. Cumby, and Behzad
T. Diba (2000): "Is
the Price Level Determined by the Need for Fiscal Solvency?" American
Economic Review, forthcoming.
Christiano, Lawrence J., and Terry J. Fitzgerald
(2000): "Understanding
the Fiscal Theory of the Price Level," unpublished manuscript,
Northwestern University.
Cochrane, John H. (1999): "A
Frictionless View of U.S. Inflation," unpublished manuscript,
University of Chicago.
Cochrane, John H. (1999): "Money
as Stock: Price Level Determination with No Money Demand," unpublished
manuscript, University of Chicago.
Cochrane, John H. (2001): "Long-Term
Debt and Optimal Fiscal Policy in the Fiscal Theory of the Price Level,"
Econometrica
69: 69-116 (link: J. H. Cochrane's web page).
Drazen, Allan, and Elhanan Helpman (1990): "Inflationary
Consequences of Anticipated Macroeconomic Policies," Review of Economic
Studies 57: 147-166.
Sargent, Thomas J., and Neil Wallace (1981): "Some
Unpleasant Monetarist Arithmetic," Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis
Quarterly
Review 5: 1-17.
Sims, Christopher A. (1993): "A
Simple Model for the Study of the Determination of the Price Level and
the Interaction of Monetary and Fiscal Policy," unpublished manuscript,
Princeton University.
Sims, Christopher A. (2000): "Whither
ISLM," unpublished manuscript, Princeton University.
Taylor, John B. (1995): "Monetary
Policy Implications of Greater Fiscal Discipline," in Budget Deficits
and Debt: Issues and Options, proceedings of a symposium organized
by the Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City (with commentaries--Mervyn
King and Helmut
Schieber--and general
discussion).
Woodford, Michael (1998): "Public
Debt and the Price Level," unpublished manuscript, Princeton
University.
Woodford, Michael (2000): "Fiscal
Requirements for Price Stability," Journal of Money, Credit, and
Banking, forthcoming.
Additional Topics for a Full Semester Course (possibly, Fall 2001)
In addition to the material in this syllabus, the course would cover:
A number of researchers at various central banks' research departments work on issues that are directly relevant to the course. Several of their papers were included in the list. I encourage you to explore the working paper series I list below to find additional interesting readings for your research:
Finance and Economics
Discussion Series, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System.
Staff Reports,
Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
Staff
Reports and Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis.
Working Paper
Series, Bank of England.
Working Paper Series,
European Central Bank.
Working Paper Series,
Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond.
JSTOR
ECONbase:
Elsevier Journals
Carnegie-Rochester
Conference Series on Public Policy
Journal
of Monetary Economics
Journal
of International Economics
NBER and CEPR publish working paper series and organize high quality conferences. Keeping up to date with the papers and looking at the conference programs is a good way to gauge trends in research. (Links to conferences on monetary policy are also in the web page on "Monetary Policy Rules in Open Economies" mentioned above.)
Here are links to the Federal Reserve's research departments:
Federal Reserve Board
Federal Reserve Bank
of Atlanta
Federal Reserve
Bank of Boston
Federal
Reserve Bank of Chicago
Federal Reserve
Bank of Cleveland
Federal
Reserve Bank of Dallas
Federal Reserve
Bank of Kansas City
Federal Reserve
Bank of Minneapolis
Federal Reserve
Bank of New York
Federal Reserve Bank
of Philadelphia
Federal Reserve Bank of
Richmond
Federal Reserve
Bank of San Francisco
Federal Reserve
Bank of St. Louis
The map of the Federal Reserve (with links)
Links to an arbitrary list of other central banks:
Banco Central
de la República Argentina
Banco
Central de Chile
Banco Central do Brasil
Banco
de México
Bank of Canada
Bank of England
Bank of Israel
Bank of Japan
Banka Slovenije
(Slovenia)
Central Bank of Egypt
Central bank of the Republic of Turkey
Central Bank of Swaziland
Eesti Pank (Estonia)
European Central Bank (with links
to European Union central banks)
Narodowy Bank Polski (Poland)
Reserve Bank of Australia
Reserve Bank of India
Reserve Bank of New Zealand
South African Reserve Bank
Sveriges Riksbank (Sweden)
The Central Bank of the Russian Federation
More: http://directory.google.com/Top/Science/Social_Sciences/Economics/Central_Banks/
Reading central bank press releases and the speeches of senior officials is a good way to keep up to date with policy issues and how central banks communicate with the public.
Here are links to the web pages of some of the scholars whose work is featured in the reading list:
Stefania Albanesi
Fernando Alvarez
Laurence Ball
Robert
J. Barro
Olivier J. Blanchard
Jess Benhabib
Ben S. Bernanke
Willem H. Buiter
Guillermo A. Calvo
Matthew
B. Canzoneri
Stephen G.
Cecchetti
Richard Clarida
V. V. Chari
Lawrence
J. Christiano
John
H. Cochrane
Thomas Cooley
Michael
Dotsey
Allan Drazen
William Dupor
Martin Eichenbaum
Jon Faust
Martin
Feldstein
Jordi Galí
Petra
Geraats
Mark Gertler
Marc
Giannoni
Marvin
S. Goodfriend
Peter Ireland
Henrik
Jensen
Patrick J. Kehoe
Jinill Kim
Kenneth
N. Kuttner
Eric M. Leeper
N.
Gregory Mankiw
Bennett
T. McCallum
Ellen
R. McGrattan
Ilian
Mihov
Edward C. Prescott
David Romer
Julio
J. Rotemberg
Thomas J. Sargent
Argia Sbordone
Stephanie
Schmitt-Grohé
Christopher A. Sims
Lars E. O. Svensson
John B.
Taylor
Harald Uhlig
Martín Uribe
Carlos A. Végh
Carl E. Walsh
Volker
Wieland
Alexander
L. Wolman
Michael Woodford
Following are a few of those who have been focusing more specifically on monetary policy issues for open economies using the formal tools that are now dominant:
Gianluca Benigno
Pierpaolo Benigno
Giancarlo Corsetti
Michael B. Devereux
Charles Engel
Fabio Ghironi
Enrique G. Mendoza
Tommaso Monacelli
Maurice
Obstfeld
Paolo
Pesenti
Kenneth
S. Rogoff
Cédric
Tille
More scholars appear in the web page on "Monetary Policy Rules in Open Economies" mentioned above as authors of papers. A number of contributions and contacts in this particular area of research are also listed in Brian M. Doyle's "New Open Economy Macroeconomics" home page.
Keep an eye on all these people's work: Their publications and ongoing research will give you an idea of how the field is evolving.
Giancarlo Corsetti's "Euro Homepage," Nouriel Roubini's "Global Macroeconomic and Financial Policy Site," and John Taylor's above mentioned "Monetary Policy Rule Home Page" should be among your bookmarks.
Comments and suggestions?
E-mail me at Fabio.Ghironi@bc.edu.