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Spatial Dynamics of Malaria Transmission. Wu SL, et al., (2023), PLoS Computational Biology 19(6):e1010684. https://journals.plos.org/ploscompbiol/article?id=10.1371/journal.pcbi.1010684
SimBA – open access software for Simulation-Based Analytics for malaria and other mosquito-transmitted pathogens
Recent
Impact of six-month COVID-19 travel moratorium on Plasmodium falciparum prevalence on Bioko Island, Equatorial Guinea. Hergott DEB, et al (2024). Nat Commun 15, 8285. https://www.nature.com/articles/s41467-024-52638-2
MGSurvE: A framework to optimize trap placement for genetic surveillance of mosquito populations. Sánchez C. HM, Smith DL, Marshall JM (2024) PLoS Comput Biol 20(5): e1012046. https://journals.plos.org/ploscompbiol/article?id=10.1371/journal.pcbi.1012046
PhD Thesis
Publications in Peer Review Journals
Marvier MA, & Smith DL (1997). Conservation implications of host use for rare parasitic plants. Conservation Biology 11(4):839–848.
Smith D (2000). The population dynamics and community ecology of root hemiparasitic plants. The American Naturalist 155(1):13–23.
Other
Bolker BM, Deutschman DH, Hartvigsen G, & Smith DL (1997). Individual-based modelling: What is the difference? Trends in Ecology & Evolution 12(3):111.
Smith D, Barkman TJ, & dePamphilis CW (2001). Hemiparasitism. In Levin SA ed. Encyclopedia of Biodiversity 3:317–328. Academic Press, Inc.
Publications in Peer Review Journals
Lucey BT, Russell CA, Smith D, Wilson ML, Long A, Waller LA, Childs JE, & Real LA. Spatiotemporal analysis of epizootic raccoon rabies propagation in Connecticut, 1991-1995. Vector Borne & Zoonotic Diseases 2(2):77–86.
Harris AD, Smith D, Johnson JA, Bradham DD, & Roghmann MC. Risk factors for imipenem-resistant Pseudomonas aeruginosa among hospitalized patients. Clinical Infectious Diseases 34(3):340–345.
Publications in Peer Review Journals
Smith DL, Johnson JA, Harris AD, Furuno JP, Perencevich EN, & Morris JG. Assessing risks for a pre-emergent pathogen: virginiamycin use and the emergence of streptogramin resistance in Enterococcus faecium. The Lancet, Infectious Disease 3(4):241–249.
Singh R, Stine OC, Smith DL, Spitznagel JK, Labib ME, & Williams HN. Microbial diversity of biofilms in dental unit water systems. Applied & Environmental Microbiology 69(6):3412–3420.
Waller LA, Smith D, Childs JE, & Real LA. Monte Carlo assessments of goodness-of-fit for ecological simulation models. Ecological Modelling 164:49–63.
Garg P, Aydanian A, Smith DL, Morris JG, Johnson JA, Nair GB, & Stine OC. Molecular epidemiology of O139 Vibrio cholerae: mutation, lateral gene transfer & founder flush. Emerging Infectious Diseases 9(7):810–814.
Smith DL, Ericson L, & Burdon JJ. Epidemiological patterns at multiple spatial scales; an 11-year study of a Triphragmium ulmariae - Filipendula ulmaria metapopulation. Journal of Ecology 91:890–903.
Other
Hartley DM & Smith DL. Uncertainty in SARS epidemiology. The Lancet 362(9378):170–171.
Grais RF, Smith DL, Sturke R, Elixhauser A, & Simonsen L. Exploring spatial and temporal trends in U.S. childhood rotavirus hospitalization. ESRI Health GIS Conference Proceedings 2003, Arlington, VA, May 4-7, 2003.
Smith DL & Johnson JA. Antibiotic use in animals and the emergence of antibiotic resistance in human commensal bacteria and zoonotic pathogens. In OIE International Standards on Antimicrobial Resistance, World Health Organization for Animal Health, 12 Rue de Prony, 75017 Paris, France.
Publications in Peer Review Journals
Harris AD, Nemoy L, Johnson JA, Martin-Carnahan A, Smith DL, Standiford H, & Perencevich EN. (2004) Co-carriage rates of vancomycin-resistant Enterococcus and extended-spectrum β-Lactamase-producing bacteria among a cohort of intensive care unit patients: Implications for an active surveillance program. Infection Control & Hospital Epidemiology 25(2):105–108.
Perencevich EN, Fisman DN, Lipsitch M, Harris AD, Morris JG, & Smith DL. (2004) Projected benefits of active surveillance for vancomycin resistant enterococcus in intensive care units. Clinical Infectious Diseases 38(8):1108–1115.
Feng Z, Smith DL, McKenzie FE, and Levin SA. (2004) Coupling ecology and evolution: Malaria and the S-gene across time scales. Mathematical Biosciences 189(1):1–19.
Stine CB, Smith DL, Vobelbein WK, Harshbarger JC, Gudla PR, & Kane AS. (2004) Morphometry of hepatic neoplasms and altered foci in the mummichog, Fundulus heteroclitus. Toxicologic Pathology 32:1–9.
Kelly LA, Smith DL, Snary EL, Johnson JA, Harris AD, Wooldridge M, & Morris JG. (2004) Animal growth promoters: to ban or not to ban? A risk assessment approach. International Journal of Antimicrobial Agents 24(3):205–212.
Publications in Peer Review Journals
Smith KF, Dobson AP, McKenzie FE, Real LA, Smith DL, Wilson ML (2005). Ecological theory to enhance infectious disease control and public health policy. Frontiers in Ecology & the Environment 3(1):29–37.
Smith DL, Levin SA, Laxminarayan R (2005). Strategic interactions in multi-institutional epidemics of antibiotic resistance. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, USA 103(8):3153–3158.
Russell CA, Smith DL, Childs JE, & Real LA (2005). Predictive spatial dynamics and strategic planning for raccoon rabies emergence in Ohio. PLoS Biology 3(3):e88.
Real LA, Russell C, Waller L, Smith D, Childs J (2005). Spatial dynamics and molecular ecology of North American rabies. Journal of Heredity 96(3):253–260.
Le Menach A, McKenzie FE, Flahault A, Smith DL (2005). The unexpected importance of mosquito oviposition behaviour for malaria: non-productive larval habitats can be sources for malaria transmission. Malaria Journal 4(1):23.
Laxminarayan R, Smith DL, Real LA, Levin SA (2005). On the importance of incentives in hospital infection control spending. Discovery Medicine 5(27):303–308.
Smith DL, Dushoff J, Morris JG (2005). Agricultural antibiotics and human health: Does antibiotic use in agriculture have a greater impact than hospital use? PLoS Medicine2(8):e232
Smith DL, Waller LA, Russell CA, Childs JE, Real LA (2005). Assessing the role of long-distance translocation and spatial heterogeneity in the raccoon rabies epidemic in Connecticut. Preventive Veterinary Medicine 71(3-4):225–240.
Smith DL, Dushoff J, Snow RW, Hay SI (2005). The entomological inoculation rate and Plasmodium falciparum infection in African children. Nature 438: 492-495.
Other
Smith DL (2005). Spatial heterogeneity in infectious disease epidemics. Chapter 8 in GM Lovett, CG Jones, MG Turner and KC Weathers eds. Ecosystem Function in Heterogeneous Landscapes, 137-164. Springer.
Laxminarayan R, Over M, Smith DL (2005). Will a global subsidy of artemisinin-based combination treatment (ACT) for malaria delay the emergence of resistance and save lives? World Bank Policy Research Working Paper No. 3670.
Publications in Peer Review Journals
McKenzie FE, Wongsrichanalai C, Magill AJ, Forney JR, Permpanich B, Lucas C, Erhart LM, O’Meara WP, Smith DL, Sirichaisinthop J, Gasser RA. Gametocytemia in Plasmodium vivax and Plasmodium falciparum infections. Journal of Parasitology 92(6):1281–1285.
Russell CA, Real LA, Smith DL. Spatial control of rabies on heterogeneous landscapes. PLoS One 1(1):e27.
Le Menach A, Vergu E, Grais RF, Smith DL, Flahault A. Key strategies for reducing spread of avian influenza among commercial poultry holdings: lessons for transmission to humans. Proceedings of the Royal Society of London, B, Biological Sciences 273(1600):2467–2475.
McKenzie FE, Smith DL, O’Meara WP, Forney JR, Magill AJ, Permpanich B, Erhart LM, Sirichaisinthop J, Wongsrichanalai C, Gasser RA. Fever in mixed-species malaria. Clinical Infectious Diseases 42(12):1713–1718.
Takala SL, Smith DL, Stine OC, Coulibaly D, Thera MA, Doumbo K, Plowe CV. A high throughput method for quantifying alleles and haplotypes of the malaria vaccine candidate Plasmodium falciparum merozoite surface protein-1 19 kDa. Malaria Journal 5:e31.
O’Meara WP, Smith DL, McKenzie FE. Potential impact of Intermittent Preventive Treatment (IPT) on spread of drug-resistant malaria PLoS Medicine 3(5):e181.
Viboud C, Bjørnstad O, Smith DL, Simonsen L, Miller MA, Grenfell BT. Synchrony, waves, and spatial heirarchies in the spread of influenza. Science 312(5772):447–451.
Furuno JP, McGregor JS, Harris AD, Johnson JA, Johnson JK, Langenberg P, Venezia RA, Finkelstein J, Smith DL, Strauss SM, Perencevich EN. Identifying high risk groups for carriage of antibiotic-resistant bacteria. Archives of Internal Medicine 166:580–585.
Laxminarayan R, Over M, Smith DL. Will a global subsidy of antimalarials delay the emergence of resistance and save lives? Health Affairs 25(2):325–336.
Hartley DM, Furuno JP, Wright MO, Smith DL, Perencevich EN. The role of institutional epidemiologic weight in guiding infection surveillance and control in community and hospital populations. Infection Control and Hospital Epidemiology 27(2):170–174.
Hartley DM, Morris JG, Smith DL. Hyperinfectivity: a critical element in the ability of V. cholerae to cause epidemics? PLoS Medicine 3(1):e7.
Other
McKenzie FE, Smith DL. Mixed-species malaria infections in travelers. Journal of Travel Medicine 13(2):123.
Smith DL, Boni MF, Laxminarayan R. Dynamics and control of antibiotic resistance in structured metapopulations. Chapter 11 in Feng Z, Dieckmann U, Levin S, eds. Disease evolution: Models, concepts, and data analyses, 213–237. DIMACS Series in Discrete Mathematics and Theoretical Computer Science. American Mathematical Society.
Laxminarayan R, Smith DL. Ecology and economics of cycling antibiotics: Insights from mathematical modeling. Chapter 8 in CF Am ́abile-Cuevas ed. Antimicrobial Resistance in Bacteria, pp 169-180. Taylor & Francis, Inc.
Publications in Peer Review Journals
Klein E, Smith DL, Laxminarayan R. Hospitalizations and deaths caused by methicillin-resistant Staphylococcus aureus, United States, 1999-2005. Emerging Infectious Diseases 13(12):1840–1846.
Smith DL, Guerra CA, Snow RW, Hay SI. Standardizing estimates of the Plasmodium falciparum parasite rate. Malaria Journal 6:131.
Klein E, Laxminarayan R, Smith DL, Gilligan CA. Economic incentives and mathematical models of disease. Environmental and Development Economics 12(5):707-732.
Takala SL, Smith DL, Coulibaly D, Thera M, Doumbo O, Plowe CV. Rare Plasmodium falciparum merozoite surface protein 1 19-KDA (MSP-119) haplotypes identified in Mali using high-throughput genotyping methods. American Journal of Tropical Medicine & Hygiene 76(5):855–859.
Kelly-Hope LA, Alonso WJ, Thiem VD, Anh DD, Canh DG, Lee H, Smith DL, Miller MA. Geographical distribution and risk factors associated with enteric diseases in Vietnam. American Journal of Tropical Medicine & Hygiene 76(4):706–712.
Takala SL, Coulibaly D, Thera MA, Dicko A, Smith DL, Guindo AB, Kone AK, Traore K, Ouattara A, Djimde AA, Sehdev PS, Lyke KE, Diallo DA, Doumbo OK, Plowe CV. Dynamics of polymorphism in a malaria vaccine antigen at a vaccine-testing site in Mali. PLoS Medicine 4(3):e93.
Smith DL, McKenzie FE, Snow RW, Hay SI. Revisiting the basic reproductive number for malaria and its implications for malaria control. PLoS Biology 5(3):e42.
Le Menach A, Takala S, McKenzie FE, Perisse A, Harris A, Flahault A, Smith DL. An elaborated feeding cycle model for reductions in vectorial capacity of night-biting mosquitoes by insecticide-treated nets. Malaria Journal 6:10.
Other
Laxminarayan R, Malani A, Howard D, Smith DL. Extending the Cure. Resources for the Future, Washington, DC.
Smith DL. The epidemiology of antibiotic resistance: Policy levers. Chapter 2 in Extending the Cure. Robert Woods Johnson Foundation.
Publications in Peer Review Journals
Boni MF, Smith DL, Laxminarayan R. Benefits of using multiple first-line therapies against malaria. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, USA 105(37):14216-21.
Klein EY, Smith DL, Boni MF, Laxminarayan R. Clinically immune hosts as a refuge for drug-sensitive malaria parasites. Malaria Journal 7:67.
McKenzie FE, Smith DL, O’Meara WP, Riley EM. Strain theory of malaria: The first 50 years. Advances in Parasitology 66(1):1–46.
Hay SI, Smith DL, Snow RW. Measuring malaria endemicity from intense to interrupted transmission. The Lancet, Infectious Diseases 8:369–378.
Guerra C, Gikandi, PW, Tatem AJ, Noor AM, Smith DL, Hay SI, Snow RW. The limits and intensity of Plasmodium falciparum transmission: Implications for malaria control and elimination worldwide. PLoS Medicine 5:e38.
Other
Publications in Peer Review Journals
Tatem AJ, Qiu Y, Smith DL, Sabot O, Ali AS, Moonen B. The use of mobile phone data for the estimation of travel patterns and imported Plasmodium falciparum rates among Zanzibar residents. Malaria Journal 8:287.
Escalante AA, Smith DL, Kim Y. The dynamic of mutations associated with antimalarial drug resistance in Plasmodium falciparum. Trends in Parasitology 25(12):557-563.
Klein E, Smith DL, Laxminarayan, R. Community-associated methicillin-resistant Staphylococcus aureus in outpatients, United States, 1999-2006. Emerging Infectious Diseases 15(12):1925-1930.56.
Smith DL, Hay SI, Noor AM, Snow RW. Predicting changing malaria risk after expanded insecticide treated net coverage in Africa. Trends in Parasitology 25(11):511-51.
Lawpoolsri S, Klein EY, Singhasivanon P, Yimsamran S, Thanyavanich N, Maneeboonyang W, Hungerford LL, Maguire JH, Smith DL. Optimally timing primaquine treatment to reduce Plasmodium falciparum transmission in low endemicity Thai-Myanmar border populations. Malaria Journal 8:159.
Smith DL, Hay SI (2009). Endemicity response timelines for Plasmodium falciparum elimination. Malaria Journal 8:87.
Hay SI, Guerra CA, Gething PW, Patil AP, Tatem AJ, Noor AM, Kabaria CW, Manh BH, Iqbal RFE, Brooker S, Smith DL, Moyeed RA, Snow RW. A world malaria map: Plasmodium falciparum endemicity in 2007. PLoS Medicine 6(3): e100.038.
Other
Zanzibar Malaria Control Program, with contributions from Belani A, Ali A, Keneko A, Holla A, Bjorkman A, Tatem A, Spiers A, Moonen B, Smith D, Molteni F, Cohen J, Cohen J, Straehler-Pohl K, Msellem M, Sabot O, McElroy P, Njau R, Qiu Y. Malaria Elimination in Zanzibar: A Feasibility Assessment.
Smith DL, Smith TA, Hay SI. Measuring malaria for elimination. Chapter 7 in Targett G and A Phillips eds. A prospectus on malaria elimination. California, USA: Malaria Elimination Group (MEG), University of California Santa Cruz.
Cohen J, Smith DL, Vallely A, Malefoasi G, Sabot O. Holding the Line. Chapter 3 in Targett G and A Phillips eds. A prospectus on malaria elimination. California, USA: Malaria Elimination Group (MEG), University of California Santa Cruz.
Hay SI, Smith DL, Snow RW. The influence of first nature geography: is it possible to eradicate malaria? Box 3.7 in World Development Report 2009: Reshaping Economic Geography, 117. The World Bank, Washington, DC.
Smith DL, Tatem AJ. This could be the last time: The bioeconomics of eradication. Resources, Fall 2009, 11-12.
Publications in Peer Review Journals
Moonen B, Cohen JM, Tatem AJ, Cohen J, Hay SI, Sabot O, Smith DL. A framework for assessing the feasibility of malaria elimination. Malaria Journal 9:322.
Smith DL, Drakeley CJ, Chiyaka C, Hay SI. A quantitative analysis of transmission efficiency versus intensity for malaria. Nature Communications 1(8):108.
Moonen B, Cohen JM, Snow RW, Slutsker L, Drakeley C, Smith DL, Abeyasinghe R, Rodriguez MH, Maharaj R, Tanner M, Targett G. Operational strategies to achieve and maintain malaria elimination. The Lancet 376(9752):1592-1603.65.
Tatem AJ, Smith DL, Kabaria CK, Snow RW, Hay SI. Ranking of elimination feasibility between malaria endemic countries. The Lancet 376(9752):1579-91.
Smith DL, Klein EY, McKenzie FE, Laxminarayan R. Prospective strategies to delay the evolution of antimalarial drug resistance: Weighing the uncertainty. Malaria Journal9:217.
Cohen JM, Moonen B, Snow RW, Smith DL. How absolute is zero? An evaluation of historical and current definitions of malaria elimination. Malaria Journal 9:213.
Tatem AJ, Smith DL. International population movements and regional Plasmodium falciparum malaria elimination strategies. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, USA 107(27):12222-7.
Gething PW, Smith DL, Patil AP, Tatem AJ, Snow RW, Hay SI. Climate change and the global malaria recession. Nature 465(7296):342-345.
Laxminarayan R, Parry IWH, Smith DL, Klein E. Should new anti-malarial drugs be subsidized? Journal of Health Economics 29(3):445-456.
Other
Chitnis N, Schapira A, Smith D, Smith T, Hay S, Steketee R (2010). Mathematical Modelling to Support Malaria Control and Elimination. Roll Back Malaria, Progress and Impact Series. Geneva, Switzerland.
Smith DL, Ruktanonchai N (2010). Progress in modelling malaria transmission. Advances in Experimental Medicine and Biology 673(1):1-12.
Boni MF, Smith DL (2010). A new chapter in the history of malaria control. In Parry WH and Day F eds. Issues of the Day: 100 Commentaries on Climate, Energy, the Environment, Transportation, and Public Health Policy. Resources for the Future, Washington, DC.
Publications in Peer Review Journals
Gething PW, Patil AP, Smith DL, Guerra CA, Elyazar IRF, Tatem AJ, Hay SI. A new world malaria map: Plasmodium falciparum endemicity in 2010. Malaria Journal 10:378.
Le Menach A, Tatem AJ, Cohen JM, Hay SI, Randell H, Patil A, Smith DL. Travel risk, malaria importation, and malaria transmission in Zanzibar. Scientific Reports 1:93.
Tatarsky A, Aboobakar S, Cohen J, Gopee N, Bheecarry A, Moonasar D, Phillips AA, Kahn JG, Moonen B, Smith DL, Sabot O. Preventing the reintroduction of malaria in Mauritius: a programmatic and financial assessment. PLoS One 6(9): e23832.
Smith DL, Cohen JM, Moonen B, Tatem AJ, Sabot O, Ali A, Mugheiry SM. Solving the Sisyphean problem of malaria in Zanzibar. Science 332:1384-1385.
George D, Webb C, Farnsworth M, O’Shea T, Cryan P, Bowen R, Smith DL, Stanley T, Ellison L, Rupprecht C. Host and viral ecology determine bat rabies seasonality and maintenance. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, USA 108(25):10308-10313.
Gething PW, Van Boeckel TP, Smith DL, Guerra CA, Patil AP, Snow RW, Hay SI. Modelling the global constraints of temperature on transmission of Plasmodium falciparumand P. vivax. Parasites & Vectors 4:92.
Mukandavire Z, Liao S, Wang J, Gaff J, Smith DL, Morris JG. Estimating the reproductive numbers for the 2008-2009 cholera outbreaks in Zimbabwe. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, USA 108(21):8767-72.
Alonso PL, Eubank S, Ghani A, Hay SI, Sinden R, Smith DL, Smith TA, Tanner M, White L and the MalERA Consultative Group on Modeling. A research agenda for malaria eradication: Modeling. PLoS Medicine 8(1):e10.0303.
Smith DL, Ericson L, Burdon JJ. Co-evolutionary hot and cold spots of selective pressure move in space and time. Journal of Ecology 99:634-641.
Publications in Peer Review Journals
Wesolowski A, Eagle N, Tatem AJ, Smith DL, Noor AM, Snow RW, Buckee CO. Quantifying the impact of human mobility on malaria. Science 338:276-270.
Gething PW, Elyazar IRF, Moyes CM, Smith DL, Battle KE, Guerra CA, Patil AP, Tatem AJ, Howes RE, Myers MF, George DB, Horby P, Wertheim HF, Price R, Mu ̈ller I, Baird JK, Hay SI. A long neglected world malaria map: Plasmodium vivax endemicity in 2010. PLoS NTD 6(9):e1814.
Klein EY, Smith DL, Laxminarayan R, Levin SA. Superinfection and the evolution of resistance to antimalarial drugs. Proceedings of the Royal Society of London B Biolological Sciences 279(1743):3834-42.
Russell CA, Fonville J, Brown AEX, Burke DF, Smith DL, James SL, Herfst S, van Boheemen S, Linster M, Schrauwen EJ, Katzelnick L, Mosterin A, Kuiken T, Maher E, Neumann, G, Osterhaus ADME, Kawaoka Y, Fouchier RAM, Smith DJ. The potential for respiratory droplet - transmissible A/H5N1 influenza virus to evolve in a mammalian host. Science 336:1541-1547.
Pindolia D, Garcia A, Wesolowski A, Smith DL, Buckee CO, Noor AM, Snow RW, Tatem AJ. Human movement data for malaria control and elimination strategic planning. Malaria Journal 11:205.
Cohen JM, Smith DL, Cotter C, Ward A, Yamey G, Sabot OJ, Moonen B. Malaria resurgence: a systematic review and assessment of its causes. Malaria Journal 11:122.
Smith DL, Battle K, Hay SI, Barker CM, Scott TW, Ellis FE. Ross, Macdonald and a theory for the dynamics and control of mosquito-transmitted pathogens. PLoS Pathogens8(4): e1003588.
Midega JT, Smith DL, Olotu A, Mwangangi JM, Nzovu JG, Wambua J, Nyangweso G, Mbogo C, Christophides GK, Marsh K, Bejon P. Wind direction and proximity to larval habitats determines malaria risk in Kilifi District in Kenya. Nature Communications 3:674.
Bousema T, Griffin JT, Sauerwein RW, Smith DL, Churcher TS, Takken W, Ghani A, Drakeley C, Gosling R. Hitting hotspots: spatial targeting of malaria for control and elimination. PLoS Medicine 9(1): e1001165.
Geli P, Laxminaryan R, Dunne M, Smith DL. “One-size-fits-all?” Optimizing treatment duration for bacterial infections. PLoS One 7(1): e29838.
Eisenberg JNS, Cevallos W, Trueba G, Levy K, Scott J, Percha B, Segovia R, Ponce K, Hubbard A, Foxman B, Smith DL, Trostle J. In-roads to the spread of antibiotic resistance: Regional patterns of microbial transmission in northern coastal Ecuador. Journal of the Royal Society Interface 9:1039-39.
Publications in Peer Review Journals
Brady OJ, Johansson MA, Guerra CA, Bhatt S, Golding N, Pigott DM, Dleatte H, Greche MG, Leisnham PT, Mciel-de-Freitas R, Styer LM, Smith DL, Scott TW, Gething PW, Hay SI. Modelling the constraints of temperature on survivorship of adult Aedes aegypti and Aedes albopictus in laboratory and field settings. Parasites & Vectors 6:351.
Perkins TA, Le Menach A, Scott TW, Smith DL. Heterogeneity, mixing, and the spatial scales of mosquito-borne pathogen transmission. PLoS Computational Biology9(12):e1003327.
Kamuliwo M, Chanda E, Haque U, Mwanza-Ingwe M, Sikaala C, Katebe-Sakala C, Mukonka VM, Norris DE, Smith DL, Glass GE, Moss WJ. Assessing progress and revising strategies for malaria control in Zambia: 2006-2011. Malaria Journal 12:437.
Pindolia DK, Garcia AJ, Huang Z, Smith DL, Alegana V, Noor AM, Snow RW, Tatem AJ. The demographics of human and malaria movement and migration patterns in East Africa. Malaria Journal 12:397.
White M, Smith DL. Life-stage specific kinetic requirements for malaria vaccines. Malaria Journal 12:280.
Smith DL, Perkins TA, Tusting LS, Scott TW, Lindsay SW. Mosquito population regulation and larval source management in heterogeneous environments. PLoS ONE8(8):e71247.
Searle KM, Shields T, Hamapumbu H, Kobayashi T, Mharakurwa S, Thuma PE, Smith DL, Glass G, Moss WE. Efficiency of household reactive case detection for malaria in rural Southern Zambia: Simulations based on cross-sectional surveys from two epidemiological settings. PLoS ONE 8:e70972.
Smith DL, Cohen JM, Chiyaka C, Johnston G, Gething PW, Gosling R, Buckee C, Laxminarayan R, Hay SI, Tatem AJ. A sticky situation: The unexpected stability of malaria elimination. Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society of London B Biological Sciences 368:20120145.
Sturrock HJW, Hsiang MS, Cohen JM, Smith DL, Greenhouse B, Bousema T, Gosling RD. Targeting asymptomatic malaria infections: Active surveillance in control and elimination. PLoS Medicine 10:e1001467.
Johnston GJ, Smith DL, Fidock DA. Malaria’s missing number: Calculating the human component of R0 by a within-host mechanistic model of Plasmodium falciparuminfection and transmission. PLoS Computational Biology 9:e1003035.
Tatem AJ, Gething PW, Smith DL, Hay SI. Urbanization and the global malaria recession. Malaria Journal 12:133.
Klein EY, Sun L, Smith DL, Laxminarayan R. The changing epidemiology of methicillin-resistant Staphylococcus aureus in the United States: A national observational study. The American Journal of Epidemiology 177:666-674.
Chiyaka C, Tatem AJ, Cohen JM, Gething PW, Johnston G, Gosling R, Laxminarayan R, Hay SI, Smith DL. The stability of malaria elimination. Science 339:909-910.
Reiner RC, Perkins TA, Barker CM, Niu T, Chaves LF, Ellis AM, George DB, Le Menach A, Pulliam J, Bisanzio D, Buckee C, Chiyaka C, Cummings DAT, Garcia A, Gatton M, Gething PW, Hartley DM, Hartley DM, Johnston G, Klein EY, Michael E, Lindsay SW, Lloyd AL, Pigott D, Reisen WK, Ruktanonchai N, Singh B, Tatem AJ, Kitron U, Hay SI, Scott TW, Smith DL. A systematic review of mathematical models of mosquito-borne pathogen transmission: 1970-2010. Journal of the Royal Society Interface 10: 20120921.
Hay SI, Battle KE, Pigott DM, Smith DL, Moyes CL, Bhatt S, Brownstein JS, Collier N, Myers MF, George DB, Gething PW. Global mapping of infectious disease. Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society B Biological Sciences 368:20120350.
Mukandavire Z, Smith DL, Morris, JG. Cholera in Haiti: Reproductive numbers and vaccination coverage estimates. Scientific Reports 3:997.
Wesolowski A, Buckee C, Pindolia D, Eagle N, Smith DL, Garcia AJ, Tatem AJ. The use of census migration data to approximate human movement patterns across temporal scales. PLoS One 8:e52971.
Publications in Peer Review Journals
Reiner RC, Smith DL, Gething PW. Climate change, urbanization, and disease: summer in the city… Transactions of the Royal Society of Tropical Medicine & Hygiene. doi: 10.1093/trstmh/tru194. [Web]
Russell CA, Kasson PM, Donis RO, Riley S, Dunbar J, Rambaut A, Asher J, Burke S, Davis CT, Garten RJ, Gnanakaran S, Hay SI, Herfst S, Lewis NS, Lloyd-Smith JO, Macken CA, Maurer-Stroh S, Neuhaus E, Parrish CR, Pepin KM, Perez DR, Shepard S, Smith DL, Suarez DL, Trock SC, Widdowson M, George D, Lipsitch M, Bloom JD. Improving pandemic influenza risk assessment. eLife 3: e03883. [Web]
Kouyos RD, Metcalf CJE, Birger R, Klein EY, zur Wiesch PA, Ankomah P, Arinaminpathy N, Bogich TL, Bonhoeffer S, Brower C, Chi-Johnston G, Cohen T, Day T, Greenhouse B, Juijben S, Metlay J, Mideo N, Pollitt LC, Read AF, Smith DL, Wale N, Grenfell B. The path of least resistance: aggressive or moderate treatment? Proceedings of the Royal Society of London, B, Biological Sciences 281: 20140566. [Web]
Pigott DM, Golding N, Mylne A, Huang Z, Henry AJ, Weiss DJ, Brady OJ, Kraemer MUG, Smith DL, Moyes CL, Bhatt S, Gething PW, Horby PW, Bogoch II, Brownstein JS, Mekaru SR, Tatem AJ, Khan K, Hay SI (2014). Mapping the zoonotic niche of Ebola virus disease in Africa. eLife:10.7554/eLife.04395.
Perkins TA, Garcia AJ, Paz-Soldan V, Stoddard ST, Reiner RC, Vazquez-Prokopec G, Bisanzio D, Morrison AC, Halsey ES, Kochel TJ, Smith DL, Kitron U, Scott TW, Tatem AJ. Theory and data for simulating fine-scale human movement in an urban environment. Journal of the Royal Society Interface 11: 20140642. [Web / PDF]
Brady OJ, Golding N, Pigott DM, Kraemer MUG, Messina JP, Reiner RC, Scott TW, Smith DL, Gething PW, Hay SI. Global temperature constraints on Aedes aegypti and Ae. albopictus persistence and competence for dengue virus transmission. Parasites & Vectors 7:338.
Guerra CA, Reiner RC, Perkins TA, Lindsay SW, Midega J, Kitron U, Barker CM, Reisen WK, Harrington LC, Scott TW, Smith DL. An assembly of adult female mosquito mark-release-recapture data to inform vector-borne pathogen transmission models. Parasites & Vectors 7:276.
Weiss DJ, Bhatt S, Mappin B, van Boekel TP, Smith DL, Hay SI, Gething PW. Air temperature suitability for Plasmodium falciparum malaria transmission in Africa 2000-2012: a high-resolution spatiotemporal prediction. Malaria Journal 13:171.
Pindolia D, Garcia AG, Huang Z, Fik T, Smith DL, Tatem AJ. Quantifying cross-border movements for guiding the strategic planning of malaria control and elimination. Malaria Journal 13:169.
Bejon P, Williams TN, Nyundo C, Hay SI, Benz D, Gething PW, Otiende M, Peshu J, Bashraheil M, Greenhouse B, Bousema T, Bauni E, Marsh K, Smith DL, Bormann S. A micro-epidemiological analysis of febrile malaria in Coastal Kenya showing hotspots within hotspots. eLife 10.7554 / eLife.02130.
Battle KE, Karhunen MS, Bhatt S, Gething PW, Howes RE, Golding N, van Boeckel TP, Messina JP, Shanks GD, Smith DL, Baird JK, Hay SI. Geographical variation in Plasmodium vivax relapse. Malaria Journal 13:144.
Kilama M, Smith DL, Hutchinson R, Kigozi R, Yeka A, Lavoy G, Kamya MR, Staedke SG, Donnelly MJ, Drakeley C, Greenhouse B, Dorsey G, Lindsay SW. Estimating the annual entomological inoculation rate for Plasmodium falciparum transmitted by Anopheles gambiae s.l. using three sampling methods in three sites in Uganda. Malaria Journal 13:111.
Smith DL, Perkins TA, Reiner RC Jr, Barker CM, Niu T, Chaves LF, Ellis AM, George DB, Le Menach A, Pulliam JR, Bisanzio D, Buckee C, Chiyaka C, Cummings DA, Garcia AJ, Gatton ML, Gething PW, Hartley DM, Johnston G, Klein EY, Michael E, Lloyd AL, Pigott DM, Reisen WK, Ruktanonchai N, Singh BK, Stoller J, Tatem AJ, Kitron U, Godfray HC, Cohen JM, Hay SI, Scott TW. Recasting the theory of mosquito-borne pathogen transmission dynamics and control. Transactions of the Royal Society of Tropical Medicine & Hygiene 108:185-197.
Tatem AJ, Huang Z, Narib C, Kumar U, Kandula D, Pindolia DK, Smith DL, Cohen JM, Graupe B, Uusiku P, Laurenco C. Integrating rapid risk mapping and mobile phone call record data for strategic malaria elimination planning. Malaria Journal 13:52.
Gething PW, Battle KE, Bhatt S, Smith DL, Eisele TP, Cibulskis RE, Hay SI. Declining malaria in Africa: Improving the measurement of progress. Malaria Journal 13:39.
Tusting L, Bousema T, Smith DL, Drakeley C. Measuring changes in Plasmodium falciparum transmission: Precision, accuracy and costs of metrics. Advances in Parasitology 84(3):151-208.
Johnston G, Gething PW, Hay SI, Smith DL, and Fidock D. Modeling within-host effects of drugs on Plasmodium falciparum transmission and prospects for malaria elimination. PLoS Computational Biology 10(1):e1003434.
Haque U, Overgaard HJ, Clements ACA, Norris DE, Islam N, Karim J, Roy S, Haque W, Kabir M, Smith DL, Glass GE. Epidemiological and economic evaluation of malaria burden and control in Bangladesh: Prospects for elimination. The Lancet, Global Health 2(2): e98-e105.
Ruktanonchai N, Smith DL, St. Mary CM. Selection of interdependent choice of two complementary resources. Behavioral Ecology 25(1): 25-43.
Technical Report
Book Chapter
Publications in Peer Review Journals
Publications in Peer Review Journals
Alegana, V. A., Kigozi, S. P., Nankabirwa, J., Arinaitwe, E., Kigozi, R., Mawejje, H. D., et al. (2016). Spatio-temporal analysis of malaria vector density from baseline through intervention in a high transmission setting. Parasites & Vectors, 9. http://doi.org/10.1186/s13071-016-1917-3
Brady, O. J., Godfray, H. C. J., Tatem, A. J., Gething, P. W., Cohen, J. M., McKenzie, F. E., et al. (2016). Vectorial capacity and vector control: reconsidering sensitivity to parameters for malaria elimination. Transactions of the Royal Society of Tropical Medicine and Hygiene, 110(2), 107–117. http://doi.org/10.1093/trstmh/trv113
Gething, P. W., Casey, D. C., Weiss, D. J., Bisanzio, D., Bhatt, S., Cameron, E., et al. (2016). Mapping Plasmodium falciparum Mortality in Africa between 1990 and 2015. The New England Journal of Medicine, 375(25), 2435–2445. http://doi.org/10.1056/NEJMoa1606701
Howes, R. E., Battle, K. E., Mendis, K. N., Smith, D. L., Cibulskis, R. E., Baird, J. K., & Hay, S. I. (2016). Global Epidemiology of Plasmodium vivax. American Journal of Tropical Medicine and Hygiene, 95(6 Suppl), 15–34. http://doi.org/10.4269/ajtmh.16-0141
Huber, J. H., Johnston, G., Greenhouse, B., Smith, D. L., & Perkins, T. A. (2016). Quantitative, model-based estimates of variability in the generation and serial intervals of Plasmodium falciparum malaria. Malaria Journal, 15. http://doi.org/10.1186/s12936-016-1537-6
Katureebe, A., Zinszer, K., Arinaitwe, E., Rek, J., Kakande, E., Charland, K., et al. (2016). Measures of Malaria Burden after Long-Lasting Insecticidal Net Distribution and Indoor Residual Spraying at Three Sites in Uganda: A Prospective Observational Study. PLoS Medicine, 13(11). http://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pmed.1002167
Kraemer, M. U. G., Hay, S. I., Pigott, D. M., Smith, D. L., Wint, G. R. W., & Golding, N. (2016). Progress and Challenges in Infectious Disease Cartography. Trends in Parasitology, 32(1), 19–29. http://doi.org/10.1016/j.pt.2015.09.006
Reiner, R. C. J., Achee, N. L., Barrera, R., Burkot, T. R., Chadee, D. D., Devine, G. J., et al. (2016). Quantifying the Epidemiological Impact of Vector Control on Dengue. PLoS Neglected Tropical Diseases, 10(5). http://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pntd.0004588
Rek, J., Katrak, S., Obasi, H., Nayebare, P., Katureebe, A., Kakande, E., et al. (2016). Characterizing microscopic and submicroscopic malaria parasitaemia at three sites with varied transmission intensity in Uganda. Malaria Journal, 15. http://doi.org/10.1186/s12936-016-1519-8
Rodriguez-Barraquer, I., Arinaitwe, E., Jagannathan, P., Boyle, M. J., Tappero, J., Muhindo, M., et al. (2016). Quantifying Heterogeneous Malaria Exposure and Clinical Protection in a Cohort of Ugandan Children. The Journal of Infectious Diseases, 214(7), 1072–1080. http://doi.org/10.1093/infdis/jiw301
Ruktanonchai, N. W., DeLeenheer, P., Tatem, A. J., Alegana, V. A., Caughlin, T. T., zu Erbach-Schoenberg, E., et al. (2016a). Identifying Malaria Transmission Foci for Elimination Using Human Mobility Data. PLoS Computational Biology, 12(4). http://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pcbi.1004846
Ruktanonchai, N. W., Smith, D. L., & De Leenheer, P. (2016b). Parasite sources and sinks in a patched Ross-Macdonald malaria model with human and mosquito movement: Implications for control. Mathematical Biosciences, 279, 90–101. http://doi.org/10.1016/j.mbs.2016.06.012
Zhao, X., Smith, D. L., & Tatem, A. J. (2016). Exploring the spatiotemporal drivers of malaria elimination in Europe. Malaria Journal, 15. http://doi.org/10.1186/s12936-016-1175-z
Publications in Peer Review Journals
Bhatt, S., Cameron, E., Flaxman, S. R., Weiss, D. J., Smith, D. L., & Gething, P. W. (2017). Improved prediction accuracy for disease risk mapping using Gaussian process stacked generalization. Journal of the Royal Society Interface, 14. http://doi.org/10.1098/rsif.2017.0520
Brady, O. J., Finn, T., Hay, S. I., Rabinovich, R., Steketee, R. W., & Smith, D. L. (2017a). malERA: An updated research agenda for combination interventions and modelling in malaria elimination and eradication. PLoS Medicine, 14(11). http://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pmed.1002453
Brady, O. J., Slater, H. C., Pemberton-Ross, P., Wenger, E., Maude, R. J., Ghani, A. C., Penny, M. A., Gerardin, J., White, L. J., Chitnis, N., Aguas, R., Hay, S. I., Smith, D. L., Stuckey, E. M., Okiro, E. A., Smith, T. A., & Okell, L. C. (2017b). Model citizen - Authors’ reply. The Lancet, Global Health, 5(10), e974. http://doi.org/10.1016/S2214-109X(17)30338-8
Brady, O. J., Slater, H. C., Pemberton-Ross, P., Wenger, E., Maude, R. J., Ghani, A. C., Penny, M. A., Gerardin, J., White, L. J., Chitnis, N., Aguas, R., Hay, S. I., Smith, D. L., Stuckey, E. M., Okiro, E. A., Smith, T. A., & Okell, L. C. (2017c). Role of mass drug administration in elimination of Plasmodium falciparum malaria: a consensus modelling study. The Lancet, Global Health, 5(7). http://doi.org/10.1016/S2214-109X(17)30220-6
Cohen, J. M., Menach, A., Pothin, E., Eisele, T. P., Gething, P. W., Eckhoff, P. A., et al. (2017). Mapping multiple components of malaria risk for improved targeting of elimination interventions. Malaria Journal, 16. http://doi.org/10.1186/s12936-017-2106-3
Fullman, N., Barber, R. M., Abajobir, A. A., Abate, K. H., Abbafati, C., Abbas, K. M., et al. (2017). Measuring progress and projecting attainment on the basis of past trends of the health-related Sustainable Development Goals in 188 countries: an analysis from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2016. The Lancet, 390(10100), 1423–1459. http://doi.org/10.1016/S0140-6736(17)32336-X
Gakidou, E., Afshin, A., Abajobir, A. A., Abate, K. H., Abbafati, C., Abbas, K. M., et al. (2017). Global, regional, and national comparative risk assessment of 84 behavioural, environmental and occupational, and metabolic risks or clusters of risks, 1990-2016: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2016. The Lancet, 390(10100), 1345–1422. http://doi.org/10.1016/S0140-6736(17)32366-8
Golding, N., Burstein, R., Longbottom, J., Browne, A. J., Fullman, N., Osgood-Zimmerman, A., et al. (2017). Mapping under-5 and neonatal mortality in Africa, 2000-15: a baseline analysis for the Sustainable Development Goals. The Lancet, 390(10108), 2171–2182. http://doi.org/10.1016/S0140-6736(17)31758-0
Hay, S. I., Abajobir, A. A., Abate, K. H., Abbafati, C., Abbas, K. M., Abd-Allah, F., et al. (2017). Global, regional, and national disability-adjusted life-years (DALYs) for 333 diseases and injuries and healthy life expectancy (HALE) for 195 countries and territories, 1990–2016: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2016. The Lancet, 390(10100), 1260–1344. http://doi.org/10.1016/S0140-6736(17)32130-X
Kiware, S. S., Chitnis, N., Tatarsky, A., Wu, S., Castellanos, H. M. S., Gosling, R., et al. (2017). Attacking the mosquito on multiple fronts: Insights from the Vector Control Optimization Model (VCOM) for malaria elimination. PLoS ONE, 12(12). http://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0187680
Kraemer, M. U. G., Faria, N. R., Reiner, R. C. J., Golding, N., Nikolay, B., Stasse, S., et al. (2017). Spread of yellow fever virus outbreak in Angola and the Democratic Republic of the Congo 2015-16: a modelling study. The Lancet Infectious Diseases, 17(3), 330–338. http://doi.org/10.1016/S1473-3099(16)30513-8
Naghavi, M., Abajobir, A. A., Abbafati, C., Abbas, K. M., Abd-Allah, F., Abera, S. F., et al. (2017). Global, regional, and national age-sex specific mortality for 264 causes of death, 1980-2016: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2016. The Lancet, 390(10100), 1151–1210. http://doi.org/10.1016/S0140-6736(17)32152-9
Searle, K. M., Lubinda, J., Hamapumbu, H., Shields, T. M., Curriero, F. C., Smith, D. L., et al. (2017). Characterizing and quantifying human movement patterns using GPS data loggers in an area approaching malaria elimination in rural southern Zambia, 4(5), 170046–12. http://doi.org/10.1098/rsos.170046
Tatem, A. J., Jia, P., Ordanovich, D., Falkner, M., Huang, Z., Howes, R. E., et al. (2017). The geography of imported malaria to non-endemic countries: a meta-analysis of nationally reported statistics. The Lancet Infectious Diseases, 17(1), 98–107. http://doi.org/10.1016/S1473-3099(16)30326-7
Tejedor-Garavito, N., Dlamini, N., Pindolia, D. K., Soble, A., Ruktanonchai, N. W., Alegana, V., et al. (2017). Travel patterns and demographic characteristics of malaria cases in Swaziland, 2010-2014. Malaria Journal, 16. http://doi.org/10.1186/s12936-017-2004-8
Vos, T., Abajobir, A. A., Abate, K. H., Abbafati, C., Abbas, K. M., Abd-Allah, F., et al. (2017). Global, regional, and national incidence, prevalence, and years lived with disability for 328 diseases and injuries for 195 countries, 1990–2016: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2016. The Lancet, 390(10100), 1211–1259. http://doi.org/10.1016/S0140-6736(17)32154-2
Wang, H., Abajobir, A. A., Abate, K. H., Abbafati, C., Abbas, K. M., Abd-Allah, F., et al. (2017). Global, regional, and national under-5 mortality, adult mortality, age-specific mortality, and life expectancy, 1970-2016: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2016. The Lancet, 390(10100), 1084–1150. http://doi.org/10.1016/S0140-6736(17)31833-0
Wiebe, A., Longbottom, J., Gleave, K., Shearer, F. M., Sinka, M. E., Massey, N. C., et al. (2017). Geographical distributions of African malaria vector sibling species and evidence for insecticide resistance. Malaria Journal, 16. http://doi.org/10.1186/s12936-017-1734-y
Publications in Peer Review Journals
Elliott, R. C., Smith, D. L., & Echodu, D. (2018). Medical and entomological malarial interventions, a comparison and synergy of two control measures using a Ross/Macdonald model variant and openmalaria simulation. Mathematical Biosciences, 300, 187–200. http://doi.org/10.1016/j.mbs.2018.04.005
Greenhouse, B., Smith, D. L., Rodriguez-Barraquer, I., Müeller, I., & Drakeley, C. J. (2018). Taking sharper pictures of Malaria with CAMERAs: Combined antibodies to measure exposure recency assays. American Journal of Tropical Medicine and Hygiene, 99(5), 1120–1127. http://doi.org/10.4269/ajtmh.18-0303
Hancock, P. A., Wiebe, A., Gleave, K. A., Bhatt, S., Cameron, E., Trett, A., et al. (2018). Associated patterns of insecticide resistance in field populations of malaria vectors across Africa. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 115(23), 5938–6. http://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.1801826115
James, S. L., Abate, D., Abate, K. H., Abay, S. M., Abbafati, C., Abbasi, N., et al. (2018). Global, regional, and national incidence, prevalence, and years lived with disability for 354 diseases and injuries for 195 countries and territories, 1990–2017: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2017. The Lancet, 392(10159), 1789–1858. http://doi.org/10.1016/S0140-6736(18)32279-7
Kang, S. Y., Battle, K. E., Gibson, H. S., Cooper, L. V., Kilama, M., Kamya, M. R., et al. (2018). Heterogeneous exposure and hotspots for malaria vectors at three study sites in Uganda. Gates Open Research, 2. http://doi.org/10.12688/gatesopenres.12838.2
Kraemer, M. U. G., Bisanzio, D., Reiner, R. C. J., Zakar, R., Hawkins, J. B., Freifeld, C. C., et al. (2018). Inferences about spatiotemporal variation in dengue virus transmission are sensitive to assumptions about human mobility: a case study using geolocated tweets from Lahore, Pakistan. EPJ Data Sci., 7(1), 1–17. http://doi.org/10.1140/epjds/s13688-018-0144-x
Kyu, H. H., Abate, D., Abate, K. H., Abay, S. M., Abbafati, C., Abbasi, N., et al. (2018). Global, regional, and national disability-adjusted life-years (DALYs) for 359 diseases and injuries and healthy life expectancy (HALE) for 195 countries and territories, 1990-2017: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2017. The Lancet, 392(10159), 1859–1922. http://doi.org/10.1016/S0140-6736(18)32335-3
Osgood-Zimmerman, A., Millear, A. I., Stubbs, R. W., Shields, C., Pickering, B. V., Earl, L., et al. (2018). Mapping child growth failure in Africa between 2000 and 2015. Nature, 555(7694), 41–47. http://doi.org/10.1038/nature25760
Reiner, R. C. J., Graetz, N., Casey, D. C., Troeger, C., Garcia, G. M., Mosser, J. F., et al. (2018). Variation in Childhood Diarrheal Morbidity and Mortality in Africa, 2000–2015. The New England Journal of Medicine, 379(12), 1128–1138. http://doi.org/10.1056/NEJMoa1716766
Rodriguez-Barraquer, I., Arinaitwe, E., Jagannathan, P., Kamya, M. R., Rosenthal, P. J., Rek, J., et al. (2018). Quantification of anti-parasite and anti-disease immunity to malaria as a function of age and exposure. eLife, 7. http://doi.org/10.7554/eLife.35832
Stanaway, J. D., Afshin, A., Gakidou, E., Lim, S. S., Abate, D., Abate, K. H., et al. (2018). Global, regional, and national comparative risk assessment of 84 behavioural, environmental and occupational, and metabolic risks or clusters of risks for 195 countries and territories, 1990–2017: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2017. The Lancet, 392(10159), 1923–1994. http://doi.org/10.1016/S0140-6736(18)32225-6
Publications in Peer Review Journals
GBD 2017 Influenza Collaborators. Mortality, morbidity, and hospitalisations due to influenza lower respiratory tract infections, 2017: an analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2017. Lancet Respir Med 7, 69–89 (2019).
España, G. et al. Biased efficacy estimates in phase-III dengue vaccine trials due to heterogeneous exposure and differential detectability of primary infections across trial arms. PLoS One 14, e0210041 (2019).
Perkins, T. A. et al. An agent-based model of dengue virus transmission shows how uncer-tainty about breakthrough infections influences vaccination impact projections. PLoS Comput. Biol. 15, e1006710 (2019).
Kraemer, M. U. G. et al. Utilizing general human movement models to predict the spread of emerging infectious diseases in resource poor settings. Sci. Rep. 9, 5151 (2019).
GBD 2017 Typhoid and Paratyphoid Collaborators. The global burden of typhoid and para-typhoid fevers: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2017. Lancet Infect. Dis. 19, 369–381 (2019).
Tessema, S. et al. Using parasite genetic and human mobility data to infer local and cross-border malaria connectivity in Southern Africa. Elife 8, e43510 (2019).
Kraemer, M. U. G. et al. Past and future spread of the arbovirus vectors Aedes aegypti and Aedes albopictus. Nat Microbiol 4, 854–863 (2019).
Reiner, R. C., Jr et al. Estimating the impact of city-wide Aedes aegypti population control: An observational study in Iquitos, Peru. PLoS Negl. Trop. Dis. 13, e0007255 (2019).
Elliott, R. C., Smith, D. L. & Echodu, D. C. Synergy and timing: a concurrent mass medical campaign predicted to augment indoor residual spraying for malaria. Malar. J. 18, 160 (2019).
Guerra, C. A. et al. Human mobility patterns and malaria importation on Bioko Island. Nat. Commun. 10, 2332 (2019).
Dwyer-Lindgren, L. et al. Mapping HIV prevalence in sub-Saharan Africa between 2000 and 2017. Nature 570, 189–193 (2019).
España, G. et al. Model-based assessment of public health impact and cost-effectiveness of dengue vaccination following screening for prior exposure. PLoS Negl. Trop. Dis. 13, e0007482 (2019).
Weiss, D. J. et al. Mapping the global prevalence, incidence, and mortality of Plasmodium falciparum, 2000-17: a spatial and temporal modelling study. Lancet 394, 322–331 (2019).
Battle, K. E. et al. Mapping the global endemicity and clinical burden of Plasmodium vivax, 2000-17: a spatial and temporal modelling study. Lancet 394, 332–343 (2019).
Bhattacharjee, N. V. et al. Mapping exclusive breastfeeding in Africa between 2000 and 2017. Nat. Med. 25, 1205–1212 (2019).
Cooper, L. et al. Pareto rules for malaria super-spreaders and super-spreading. Nat. Commun. 10, 3939 (2019).
Reiner, R. C. et al. Identifying residual hotspots and mapping lower respiratory infection morbidity and mortality in African children from 2000 to 2017. Nat Microbiol 1–9 (2019).
Burstein, R. et al. Mapping 123 million neonatal, infant and child deaths between 2000 and 2017. Nature 574, 353–358 (2019).
Musiime, A. K. et al. Impact of vector control interventions on malaria transmission intensity, outdoor vector biting rates and Anopheles mosquito species composition in Tororo, Uganda. Malar. J. 18, 445 (2019).
Guerra, C. A., Citron, D. T., García, G. A. & Smith, D. L. Characterising malaria connectivi-ty using malaria indicator survey data. Malar. J. 18, 440 (2019)
GBD 2017 Diarrhoeal Disease Collaborators. Quantifying risks and interventions that have affected the burden of diarrhoea among children younger than 5 years: an analysis of the Global Burden of Disease Study 2017. Lancet Infect. Dis. (2019). doi:10.1016/S1473-3099(19)30401-3.
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GBD 2017 Diarrhoeal Disease Collaborators. (2020). Quantifying risks and interventions that have affected the burden of diarrhoea among children younger than 5 years: an analysis of the Global Burden of Disease Study 2017. The Lancet Infectious Diseases, 20(1), 37–59.
GBD 2017 Lower Respiratory Infections Collaborators. (2020). Quantifying risks and inter-ventions that have affected the burden of lower respiratory infections among children younger than 5 years: an analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2017. The Lancet Infectious Diseases, 20(1), 60–79.
Wu, S. L., et al. (2020). Vector bionomics and vectorial capacity as emergent properties of mosquito behaviors and ecology. PLoS Computational Biology, 16(4), e1007446.
Guerra, C. A., et al. (2020). Malaria outbreak in Riaba district, Bioko Island: lessons learned. Malaria Journal, 19(1), 277.
Kraemer, M. U. G., et al. (2020). Mapping global variation in human mobility. Nature Hu-man Behaviour, 4(8), 800–810.
Musiime, A. K., et al. (2020). Identification and characterization of immature Anopheles and culicines (Diptera: Culicidae) at three sites of varying malaria transmission intensities in Uganda. Malaria Journal, 19(1), 221.
Nankabirwa, J. I., et al. (2020). Malaria Transmission, Infection, and Disease following Sus-tained Indoor Residual Spraying of Insecticide in Tororo, Uganda. The American Journal of Tropical Medicine and Hygiene, tpmd200250.
Briggs, J., et al. (2020). Sex-based differences in clearance of chronic Plasmodium falcipa-rum infection. eLife, 9, e59872.
Weiss, D. J, et al. (2020). Indirect effects of the COVID-19 pandemic on malaria intervention coverage, morbidity, and mortality in Africa: a geospatial modelling analysis. The Lancet In-fectious Diseases. https://doi.org/10.1016/S1473-3099(20)30700-3
Publications in Peer Review Journals
Briggs, J., et al. (2021). Within-household clustering of genetically related Plasmodium falci-parum infections in a moderate transmission area of Uganda. Malaria Journal, 20(1), 68.
Yang, B., et al. (2021). Modelling distributions of Aedes aegypti and Aedes albopictus using climate, host density and interspecies competition. PLoS Neglected Tropical Diseases, 15(3), e0009063.
Mawejje, H. D., et al. (2021). Impact of seasonality and malaria control interventions on Anopheles density and species composition from three areas of Uganda with differing malaria endemicity. Malaria Journal, 20(1), 138.
Rios-Zertuche, D., et al. (2021). Performance of passive case detection for malaria surveil-lance: results from nine countries in Mesoamerica and the Dominican Republic. Malaria Journal, 20(1), 208.
Citron, D. T., et al. (2021). Comparing metapopulation dynamics of infectious diseases under different models of human movement. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 118(18), e2007488118.
Citron, D.T., et al. (2021). Quantifying malaria acquired during travel and its role in malaria elimination on Bioko Island. Malar. J. 20, 359.
Fries, B., et al. (2021). Measuring the accuracy of gridded human population density surfac-es: A case study in Bioko Island, Equatorial Guinea. PloS One, 16(9), e0248646.
Smith, D. L., et al. (2021). A New Test of a Theory about Old Mosquitoes. Trends in Parasitology, 37(3), 185–194.
Krezanoski, P.J., et al. (2021). Marked reduction in antibiotic usage following intensive malaria control in a cohort of Ugandan children. BMC Med. 19,
Publications in Peer Review Journals
Musiime, et al. (2022). House design and risk of malaria, acute respiratory infection and gas-trointestinal illness in Uganda: A cohort study. PLOS Glob Public Health 2, e0000063.
Henry, J.M., Carter, A., and Smith, D.L. (2022). Infection age as a predictor of epidemiologi-cal metrics for malaria. Malar. J. 21, 117.
García, G.A., et al. (2022). Real-time, spatial decision support to optimize malaria vector con-trol: The case of indoor residual spraying on Bioko Island, Equatorial Guinea. PLOS Digital Health 1, e0000025.
Fitzgerald, R., et al. (2022). Current dichotomous metrics obscure trends in severe and ex-treme child growth failure. Science Advances 8, eabm8954.
Watson, O.J., et al. (2022). Pre-existing partner-drug resistance to artemisinin combination therapies facilitates the emergence and spread of artemisinin resistance: a consensus modelling study. Lancet Microbe 3, e701–e710.
Nankabirwa, J.I., et al. (2022). East Africa International Center of Excellence for Malaria Re-search: Summary of Key Research Findings. Am. J. Trop. Med. Hyg. 107, 21–32.
Cohen, J.M., et al. (2022). How long is the last mile? Evaluating successful malaria elimina-tion trajectories. Malar. J. 21, 330.
Nankabirwa, J.I., et al. (2022). Simulating the Impacts of Augmenting Intensive Vector Con-trol with Mass Drug Administration or Test-and-Treat Strategies on the Malaria Infectious Reservoir. Am. J. Trop. Med. Hyg. 107, 1028–1035.
Reiner, R.C., Jr, LBD Triple Burden Collaborators, and Hay, S.I. (2022). The overlapping burden of the three leading causes of disability and death in sub-Saharan African children. Nat. Commun. 13, 7457.
Publications in Peer Review Journals
Publications in Peer Review Journals
Under Construction
Chronological
Smith DL, Lucey B, Waller LA, Childs JE, & Real LA. Predicting the spatial dynamics of rabies epidemics on heterogeneous landscapes. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, USA 99(6):3668–3672. [HTML, PDF, GooSchol, Commentary]
Lucey BT, Russell CA, Smith D, Wilson ML, Long A, Waller LA, Childs JE, & Real LA. Spatiotemporal analysis of epizootic raccoon rabies propagation in Connecticut, 1991-1995. Vector Borne & Zoonotic Diseases 2(2):77–86.
Waller LA, Smith D, Childs JE, & Real LA. Monte Carlo assessments of goodness-of-fit for ecological simulation models. Ecological Modelling 164:49–63.
Russell CA, Smith DL, Waller LA, Childs JE, & Real LA. A priori prediction of disease invasion dynamics in a novel environment. Proceedings of the Royal Society of London, B, Biological Sciences 271(1534):21–25.
Smith DL, Waller LA, Russell CA, Childs JE, Real LA. Assessing the role of long-distance translocation and spatial heterogeneity in the raccoon rabies epidemic in Connecticut. Preventive Veterinary Medicine 71(3-4):225–240.
Russell CA, Smith DL, Childs JE, & Real LA. Predictive spatial dynamics and strategic planning for raccoon rabies emergence in Ohio. PLoS Biology 3(3):e88. Real LA, Russell C, Waller L, Smith D, Childs J. Spatial dynamics and molecular ecology of North American rabies. Journal of Heredity 96(3):253–260. 2006
Russell CA, Real LA, Smith DL. Spatial control of rabies on heterogeneous landscapes. PLoS One 1(1):e27. 2011
George D, Webb C, Farnsworth M, O’Shea T, Cryan P, Bowen R, Smith DL, Stanley T, Ellison L, Rupprecht C. Host and viral ecology determine bat rabies seasonality and maintenance. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, USA 108(25):10308-10313.
Harris AD, Smith D, Johnson JA, Bradham DD, & Roghmann MC. Risk factors for imipenem-resistant Pseudomonas aeruginosa among hospitalized patients. Clinical Infectious Diseases 34(3):340–345.
Smith DL, Harris AD, Johnson JA, Silbergeld EK, & Morris JG. Animal antibiotic use has an early but important impact on the emergence of antibiotic resistance in human commensal bacteria. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, USA 99(9):6434–6439. [HTML, PDF, GooSchol, Commentary]
Smith DL, Johnson JA, Harris AD, Furuno JP, Perencevich EN, & Morris JG. Assessing risks for a pre-emergent pathogen: virginiamycin use and the emergence of streptogramin resistance in Enterococcus faecium. The Lancet, Infectious Disease 3(4):241–249.
Smith DL & Johnson JA. Antibiotic use in animals and the emergence of antibiotic resistance in human commensal bacteria and zoonotic pathogens. In OIE International Standards on Antimicrobial Resistance, World Health Organization for Animal Health, 12 Rue de Prony, 75017 Paris, France.
Kelly LA, Smith DL, Snary EL, Johnson JA, Harris AD, Wooldridge M, & Morris JG. Animal growth promoters: to ban or not to ban? A risk assessment approach. International Journal of Antimicrobial Agents 24(3):205–212.
Perencevich EN, Fisman DN, Lipsitch M, Harris AD, Morris JG, & Smith DL. Projected benefits of active surveillance for vancomycin resistant enterococcus in intensive care units. Clinical Infectious Diseases 38(8):1108–1115.
Harris AD, Nemoy L, Johnson JA, Martin-Carnahan A, Smith DL, Standiford H, & Perencevich EN. Co-carriage rates of vancomycin-resistant Enterococcus and extended-spectrum β-Lactamase-producing bacteria among a cohort of intensive care unit patients: Implications for an active surveillance program. Infection Control & Hospital Epidemiology 25(2):105–108.
Smith DL, Dushoff J, Perencevich EN, Harris AD, & Levin SA. Persistent colonization and the spread of antibiotic resistance in nosocomial pathogens: resistance is a regional problem. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, USA 101(10):3709–3714.
Smith DL, Dushoff J, Morris JG. Agricultural antibiotics and human health: Does antibiotic use in agriculture have a greater impact than hospital use? PLoS Medicine2(8):e23.
Smith DL, Levin SA, Laxminarayan R. Strategic interactions in multi-institutional epidemics of antibiotic resistance. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, USA 103(8):3153–3158.
Laxminarayan R, Smith DL, Real LA, Levin SA (2005). On the importance of incentives in hospital infection control spending. Discovery Medicine 5(27):303–308.
Furuno JP, McGregor JS, Harris AD, Johnson JA, Johnson JK, Langenberg P, Venezia RA, Finkelstein J, Smith DL, Strauss SM, Perencevich EN. Identifying high risk groups for carriage of antibiotic-resistant bacteria. Archives of Internal Medicine 166:580–585.
Laxminarayan R, Over M, Smith DL. Will a global subsidy of antimalarials delay the emergence of resistance and save lives? Health Affairs 25(2):325–336.
Hartley DM, Furuno JP, Wright MO, Smith DL, Perencevich EN. The role of institutional epidemiologic weight in guiding infection surveillance and control in community and hospital populations. Infection Control and Hospital Epidemiology 27(2):170–174.
Smith DL, Boni MF, Laxminarayan R. Dynamics and control of antibiotic resistance in structured metapopulations. Chapter 11 in Feng Z, Dieckmann U, Levin S, eds. Disease evolution: Models, concepts, and data analyses, 213–237. DIMACS Series in Discrete Mathematics and Theoretical Computer Science. American Mathematical Society.
Laxminarayan R, Smith DL. Ecology and economics of cycling antibiotics: Insights from mathematical modeling. Chapter 8 in CF Am ́abile-Cuevas ed. Antimicrobial Resistance in Bacteria, pp 169-180. Taylor & Francis, Inc.
Klein E, Smith DL, Laxminarayan R. Hospitalizations and deaths caused by methicillin-resistant Staphylococcus aureus, United States, 1999-2005. Emerging Infectious Diseases 13(12):1840–1846.
Laxminarayan R, Malani A, Howard D, Smith DL. Extending the Cure. Resources for the Future, Washington, DC.
Smith DL. The epidemiology of antibiotic resistance: Policy levers. Chapter 2 in Extending the Cure. Robert Woods Johnson Foundation.
Boni MF, Smith DL, Laxminarayan R. Benefits of using multiple first-line therapies against malaria. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, USA105(37):14216-21.
Klein EY, Smith DL, Boni MF, Laxminarayan R. Clinically immune hosts as a refuge for drug-sensitive malaria parasites. Malaria Journal 7:67.
Smith DL, Laxminarayan R. Human interventions on the evolution of host-bacteria interactions. Chapter 6 in Baquero F and JAG Fuentes, eds. Evolutionary Biology of Bacterial and Fungal Pathogens, pp 51-62. ASM Press, Washington, DC.
Escalante AA, Smith DL, Kim Y. The dynamic of mutations associated with antimalarial drug resistance in Plasmodium falciparum. Trends in Parasitology 25(12):557-563.
Klein E, Smith DL, Laxminarayan, R. Community-associated methicillin-resistant Staphylococcus aureus in outpatients, United States, 1999-2006. Emerging Infectious Diseases 15(12):1925-1930.56.
Klein EY, Smith DL, Laxminarayan R, Levin SA. Superinfection and the evolution of resistance to antimalarial drugs. Proceedings of the Royal Society of London B Biolological Sciences 279(1743):3834-42.
Geli P, Laxminaryan R, Dunne M, Smith DL. “One-size-fits-all?” Optimizing treatment duration for bacterial infections. PLoS One 7(1): e29838.
Eisenberg JNS, Cevallos W, Trueba G, Levy K, Scott J, Percha B, Segovia R, Ponce K, Hubbard A, Foxman B, Smith DL, Trostle J. In-roads to the spread of antibiotic resistance: Regional patterns of microbial transmission in northern coastal Ecuador. Journal of the Royal Society Interface 9:1039-39.
Klein EY, Sun L, Smith DL, Laxminarayan R. The changing epidemiology of methicillin-resistant Staphylococcus aureus in the United States: A national observational study. The American Journal of Epidemiology 177:666-674.
Kouyos RD, Metcalf CJE, Birger R, Klein EY, zur Wiesch PA, Ankomah P, Arinaminpathy N, Bogich TL, Bonhoeffer S, Brower C, Chi-Johnston G, Cohen T, Day T, Greenhouse B, Juijben S, Metlay J, Mideo N, Pollitt LC, Read AF, Smith DL, Wale N, Grenfell B. The path of least resistance: aggressive or moderate treatment? Proceedings of the Royal Society of London, B, Biological Sciences 281: 20140566. [Web]
Le Menach A, Vergu E, Grais RF, Smith DL, Flahault A. Key strategies for reducing spread of avian influenza among commercial poultry holdings: lessons for transmission to humans. Proceedings of the Royal Society of London, B, Biological Sciences 273(1600):2467–2475.
Viboud C, Bjørnstad O, Smith DL, Simonsen L, Miller MA, Grenfell BT. Synchrony, waves, and spatial heirarchies in the spread of influenza. Science 312(5772):447–451.
Russell CA, Fonville J, Brown AEX, Burke DF, Smith DL, James SL, Herfst S, van Boheemen S, Linster M, Schrauwen EJ, Katzelnick L, Mosterin A, Kuiken T, Maher E, Neumann, G, Osterhaus ADME, Kawaoka Y, Fouchier RAM, Smith DJ. The potential for respiratory droplet - transmissible A/H5N1 influenza virus to evolve in a mammalian host. Science 336:1541-1547.
Russell CA, Kasson PM, Donis RO, Riley S, Dunbar J, Rambaut A, Asher J, Burke S, Davis CT, Garten RJ, Gnanakaran S, Hay SI, Herfst S, Lewis NS, Lloyd-Smith JO, Macken CA, Maurer-Stroh S, Neuhaus E, Parrish CR, Pepin KM, Perez DR, Shepard S, Smith DL, Suarez DL, Trock SC, Widdowson M, George D, Lipsitch M, Bloom JD. Improving pandemic influenza risk assessment. eLife 3: e03883.
Troeger, C. E., Blacker, B. F., Khalil, I. A., Zimsen, S. R. M., Albertson, S. B., Abate, D., et al. (2019). Mortality, morbidity, and hospitalisations due to influenza lower respiratory tract infections, 2017: an analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2017. The Lancet Respiratory Medicine, 7(1), 69–89. http://doi.org/10.1016/S2213-2600(18)30496-X