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POLS 410 LECTURE 3 "SCIENCE, TECHNOLOGY & SOCIETY" I. Turning point in public perception of science & tech: late 60's & early 70's. -- Science & technology on the defensive for the 1st time Esp. in most advanced industrial countries Major cultural shift in the last 20 years. Recognition of limits & scarcity Rachel Carson's Silent Spring (1962) Paul Ehrlich: Pop. Bomb & End of Affluence (1968) Club of Rome, Limits to Growth * All human activities affect the earth's physical condition, but two are disproportionately important: energy use & population growth. 1950-1979: Fossil fuel use quadrupled worldwide Food production doubled; auto. production quadrupled Electrical generation multiplied 8-fold. 1950-1987: Population doubled II. Worldviews, paradigms & sustainability A. Neo-Malthusians 1. Malthus (writing in 1798) predicted that industrial revolution wd. permit unprecedented pop. growth which wd. eventually outstrip ability of natural resources to provide for it. Starvation, disease & poverty are mechanisms for stabilizing population. >> 1979, Global 2000 Report: Carter, interdisciplinary -- Not just romantic reaction to sci & tech. B. Cornucopians 1. Reaction to Neo-Malthusians, esp. to Global 2000 Late 70's-early 80's 2. Simon & Kahn, The Resourceful Earth 3. Stress resource abundance, human innovation, substitutability. Technological optimists: Q: What devt. did Malthus fail to see which has countered the trend toward mass-starvation w/ exponential population growth? A: Mechanized agriculture, use of petroleum-based fertilizers & pesticides 4. Enlightenment perspective (w/out deomocracy) C. Same debate continues on most envt'l problems, 1. But envt'lists can also be technological optimists: envt'l regulation gives signal for new mkts >> new tech. (ozone, acid rain, energy shortage) III. Paradigm shift (Dennis Pirages, Lester Milbrath) A. 3 realms: #2 & #3 have been dominant in social sciences, isolated from #1; Most disciplines stay within one realm in seeking explanations; but in the real world, the 3 are closely linked. Disembodied human beings (rtl minds) at center of world. B. Dominant Social Paradigm: Exclusionist -- ppl exist apart from nature & can dominate it (excludes nature) Nature = resources Last 300 years - Atypical; associated w/ industrial revolution Cultures, institutions & values assumed to evolve & exist apart from geological, biological & ecological constraints. Science & technology can overcome all or most physical constraints; can provide substitutes for limited resources. Embedded notion that nature is abundant, resources are virtually unlimited. C. New social paradigm: inclusionist Gives primacy to techno-ecological realm as ground of all human activity More humble, less anthropocentric. Offered by Pirages as a post-industrial paradigm. Most impt. feature: Can be used to predict & analyze global futures Q: what concept discussed last time reflects the new social paradigm? A: sustainable development D. Reflects 2 faces of science & technology (sort of) 1. Dominant = positive; Enlightenment Positivists: all life shd. be based on science 2. Subordinate = Negative E. Problems w/ inclusionist paradigm 1) Should technology & nature really be in the same circle? Yes, they are both on the physical plane, more so than the other two, But isn't tech. a human activity? Isn't is more closely related to social structures than natural resources per se? -- Doesn't lumping them together allow cornucopians to claim that they are inclusionists, since all of their solutions to scarcity & envt'l degradation come from technological advances? 2) Indus. revolution grew out of changes in values & social structures, not just (or even primarily, for that matter) out of changes at the material level. In fact, the roots of exclusionist thinking are historically antecedent to the industrial revolution. -- Rise of ntn-state, secularization & break w/ Rome, Enlightenment thinking. e.g., John Locke as exclusionist: defines human beings in terms of rationality, and this entails industriousness & the ability to use land IV. Conventional view of rel-ship bet. sci/tech & politics: A. Science gives objective facts from which policy decisions are made. 1. Depends upon fact/value distinction -- called into Q. by phil. of science: a. Context of discovery (observation) Choice of research topics is socially & politically determined, esp. after 1945 -- Funding (BIG SCIENCE) Industrial Revol. can be interpreted as extension of one innovation: transformation of science into capital. b. Context of justification (theory) Theory-ladenness of observation (Kuhn) Science = social inst. w/ its own rules, norms & practices -- most scientific kn. accepted on authoriy Evidence & reason are impt., but what counts as evidence & reason are socially determined. (EX: Ant. ozone hole not detected by satellites; scientists skeptical of unknown British Antarctic Survey.) B. Technology is a neutral tool, to be used for good or ill, with no inherent social value. >> R&D shd. not be limited; every possibility shd. be brought to fruition. 1. Technology takes on a momentum of its own (EX: Manhattan Project continued after German defeat) 2. Techn. doesn't seem neutral to its users or victims Positive EXs: phone, refrigerator, bike (car?) Negative Exs: Hiroshima/Nagasaki victims; women who painted radium dials on clocks; Kurdish victims of Iraqi chemical weapons; future generations who will probably not see car & fossil fuel as neutral 3. Notion of tech. as divorced from social structures is historically inaccurate. David Noble: history of engineering profession is bound up w/ corporate capitalism from its beginnings in the 19th C. to present. 4. Industrial production techniques are embedded in a particular social theory: Taylorism (Frederick) "Scientific management": prime value = efficiency C. The communication of scientific facts requires framing & interpretation (depends upon language; rhetorical nature can be hidden) 1. EX: Carcinogenic chemical may increase cancer rate from 10 in 1 million to 15 in 1 million. This can be described either as a 50% increase or an increase of 5 in 1 million. Excellent literature on psychology of risk perception: Tversky, Slovic, Fischhoff, Lichtenstein Also, cultural factors & risk perception: Jasanoff, Dietz & Rycroft D. Interactive view of sci/tech & politics Trans-scientific = questions which can be asked of science and yet not answered by science (safety of nuclear energy) >> greater role for expert advice in policy making. -- technocracy? 1. Advisers associated with turbulent conditions: * complexity, dynamism, uncertainty 2. Limitations of expert advice a. Experts can be fired, ignored, pitted against one another, their advice distorted. b. Misunderstood bec. experts & policy mkrs live in different worlds, speak diff languages. -- Time frames diverge -- Narrowly specialized experts tend to neglect soc & econ. implications of their recommendations; may be uneasy in world of compromise -- Policy mkrs. may be awestruck by technical language ( cult of doctor worship) or may ignore parts of prob. they don't understand. c. Conflict bet. democratic values & heavy reliance on expert advice (technocracy)