Solutions to Practice Problems
Money market and the LM curve
- Real balances = M/P.
- see textbook.
- Fed controls the money supply through buying and selling gov't debt
(open market operations).
- Real money demand, LD, depends on Y (+), r (-) and expected inflation
(-).
- The LM curve is combinations of r and Y such that money demand =
money supply.
- Anything that increases the money supply shifts the LM out; anything
that increases money demand shifts the LM in.
- The slope of the LM curve depends on the slope of the money demand
function.
IS and LM together
- Increase in G implies r and Y increase: IS shifts right.
- Increase in M implies r decreases and Y increases: LM shifts right.
- Increase in expected inflation implies r decreases and Y increases:
LM shifts right.
- Increase in FMPK implies r and Y increase: IS shifts right.
- Increase in corporate profits tax implies r and Y decrease: IS shifts
left.
- Increase in the tax rate on interest income implies r and Y
increase: IS shifts right.
- Increase in the interest rate on money implies r increases and Y
decreases: LM shifts left.
- Increase in FY implies r and Y increase: IS shifts right.
Policy questions using the long-run classical model
- Increase in M: AD shifts right and P goes up to clear the market.
Y, r, W/P, N, S and I stay the same; P is higher.
- Increase in G with no wealth effect on labor supply: IS and AD shift
right, P rises, LM shifts left and r rises. Y, W/P and N stay the same;
r is higher; S and I are lower.
- Increase in G with a wealth effect on labor supply: IS and AD shift
right, NS shifts right because people feel less wealthy due to the
increased budget deficit and so W/P falls and N rises. As N rises,
supply (Y) rises and the FE and long-run AS curves shift right.
Important definitions
- The AD curve is all combinations of (P,Y) such that IS = LM.
- The long-run AS curve is the same as the FE line.
- The lucal supply curve is an upward sloping short-run aggregate
supply curve that relates actual output to potential output, the actual
price level and the expected price level: Y = Y* + b(P - Pe).
Classical real business cycle models in the short-run
Solutions to Old Midterm 2
Definitions
- An endogenous variable is determined within a model and is explained
by exogenous variables.
- Ricardian equivalence holds if an increase in gov't purchases (not
financed by increasing taxes) leads to an equal decrease in consumption
(increase in saving) due to individuals saving more today to meet future
tax liabilities.
- Money neutrality refers to the result in the classical long-run model
that an increase in the money supply has no effect on real variables
(e.g. r, Y, W/P).
- The classical AS curve is a vertical line in P-Y space indicating
that in long-run equilibrium supply is fixed by labor market conditions
and the production function.
- Business cycles are reoccuring expansions and contractions of
aggregate economic activity.
- An exogenous variable is determined outside of a given model.
- Rational expectations obtains when economic agents use all
information available to make optimizing decisions. It also assumes that
agents know the complete workings of the economy and that they don't make
systematic mistakes.
Business cycles
- M1 is procycle and leading.
- W/P is procyclical and coincident (mildly).
- r is acyclical with unclassified timing.
- u is countercyclical with unclassified timing.
- P is procyclical and lagging.
- Supply shocks (or real shocks) are responsible for business cycles in
the classical model. The real business cycle school focusses on
productivity shocks.
- Oil price increase, technological breakthrough.
IS/LM and AD
- IS shifts in, r and Y decrease.
- LM shifts up, r increases and Y decreases.
- LM shifts down, r decreases and Y increases.
- No change in IS or LM.
- IS shifts in,r and Y decrease.
- The AD curve is all combinations of (P,Y) such that IS = LM. AD
slopes downward because as P decreases the LM curve shifts left which
drops the real interest rate, r. As r falls, investment and
consumption demand increase which increases AD.
IS/LM/FE - AD/AS: Decrease in M
As M0 falls to M1, the LM curve shifts back raising r and reducing Y
(demand). As Y falls the AD curve shifts down. At the initial price
level, P0, AD < AS which puts downward pressure on P. As P falls to P1
the LM curve shifts back to its original position so that r and Y
(demand) retrun to their initial levels. The end result is no change in
Y, N, r, W/P, M/P and a lower price level.
There is no business cycle (trick question); this example does not
explain procyclical and leading money.
IS/LM/FE - AD/AS: Oil shock in reverse
The decrease in the price of oil increases productivity (A) so the
production function shifts up and the labor demand curve shifts up as
well. The new equilibrium in the labor market is at a higher level of
employment (N) and a higher real wage (W/P). From the production
function, a higher level of N leads to a higher level of Y. This shifts
the FE and long-run AS curves to the right. At the initial price level,
P0, AS is now greater than AD which puts downward pressure on P. As P
falls the LM curve shifts down reducing r and increasing Y (demand). As
P falls and Y increases the economy moves along the AD curve. The end
result is higher Y, N, W/P, M/P and A; lower r and P.
This is an example of a classical boom. The business cycle facts
explained are procyclical Y, N, W/P and Y/N. The inconsistent result is
counter cyclical P.