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cadolph at uw dot edu



News

18-sep-22.  New publication:
“Factors Consistently Associated with Utilisation of Essential Maternal and Child Health Services in Nigeria: Analysis of the Five Nigerian National Household Surveys (2003–2018)” has been published in BMJ Open, with Yoshito Kawakatsu (UW Global Health) as lead author.

15-apr-22.  Summer course offered: I’m teaching a 35 hour course on Panel Data Analysis for Comparative Research at the Essex Summer School in Social Science Data Analysis over two weeks, 25 July – 5 August 2022. This year, the course will be taught in person at the University of Essex in the United Kingdom. The syllabus and course material can be found on this course page.

9-apr-22.  New publication:
“Estimating Global, Regional, and National Daily and Cumulative Infections with SARS-CoV-2 through Nov 14, 2021: A Statistical Analysis” has been published in The Lancet. Several members of the COVID-19 State Policy Project are coauthors, including Bree Bang-Jensen, Nancy Fullman, Beatrice Magistro, Grace Reinke, Rachel Castellano, Megan Erickson, Carolyn Dapper, Rebecca Walcott, and myself.

10-mar-22.  New publication:
“Estimating Excess Mortality Due to the COVID-19 Pandemic: A Systematic Analysis of COVID-19-Related Mortality, 2020–21” has been published in The Lancet. Several members of the COVID-19 State Policy Project are coauthors, including Bree Bang-Jensen, Nancy Fullman, Beatrice Magistro, Grace Reinke, Rachel Castellano, Megan Erickson, Carolyn Dapper, Rebecca Walcott, and myself.

3-mar-22.  Spring course offered: Time Series and Panel Data for the Social Sciences is intended for graduate students. Space still available!

24-feb-22.  New publication:
“Variation in the COVID-19 Infection–Fatality Ratio by Age, Time, and Geography during the Pre-Vaccine Era: A Systematic Analysis” has been published in The Lancet. Several members of the COVID-19 State Policy Project are coauthors, including Bree Bang-Jensen, Nancy Fullman, Beatrice Magistro, Grace Reinke, Rachel Castellano, Megan Erickson, Carolyn Dapper, Rebecca Walcott, and myself.

5-feb-22.  Interactive graphic:
Who’s Winning the Olympics? is an interactive graphic exploring the age old question: is the “winner” of the Olympics the country with the most golds or the most medals overall? A fun illustration of the capabilities of R, Shiny, and tile, now automatically updating as countries win medals at the 2022 Beijing Winter Olympics.

2-feb-22.  New publication:
“ Pandemic Preparedness and COVID-19: An Exploratory Analysis of Infection and Fatality Rates, and Contextual Factors Associated with Preparedness in 177 Countries, from Jan 1, 2020, to Sept 30, 2021” has been published in The Lancet. Several members of the COVID-19 State Policy Project are coauthors, including Bree Bang-Jensen, Nancy Fullman, Beatrice Magistro, Grace Reinke, Rachel Castellano, Megan Erickson, Carolyn Dapper, Rebecca Walcott, and myself. See also media coverage in the Washington Post and the New York Times.

2-dec-21.  Winter course offered: Visualizing Data and Models is intended for graduate students, but is also open to prepared undergraduates. Space still available!

8-oct-21.  New publication:
“Global Prevalence and Burden of Depressive and Anxiety Disorders in 204 Countries and Territories in 2020 Due to the COVID-19 Pandemic” has been published in The Lancet. Several members of the COVID-19 State Policy Project are coauthors, including Bree Bang-Jensen, Nancy Fullman, Beatrice Magistro, Grace Reinke, Rachel Castellano, Megan Erickson, Carolyn Dapper, Rebecca Walcott, and myself.

1-oct-21.  New publication: “The Pandemic Policy U-Turn: Partisanship, Public Health, and Race in Decisions to Ease COVID-19 Social Distancing Policies in the United States,” joint work with Kenya Amano, Bree Bang-Jensen, Nancy Fullman, Beatrice Magistro, Grace Reinke, Rachel Castellano, Megan Erickson, and John Wilkerson, is published today for a special issue of Perspectives on Politics on the politics of COVID-19. A write-up of the work also appears in UW News.

11-aug-21.  Fall course offered: Maximum Likelihood Methods for the Social Sciences is intended for graduate students seeking a deeper understanding of statistical inference, tools for analyzing discrete outcomes, and methods for general purpose model fitting. Space still available!

25-jul-21.  Summer course offered: I’m teaching a 35 hour course on Panel Data Analysis for Comparative Research at the Essex Summer School in Social Science Data Analysis 26 July – 6 August 2021. This year, the course will be taught remotely via Zoom. Enrolled students will participate in virtual classes at the regularly scheduled times and to rewatch recorded classes. The syllabus and course material can be found on this course page.

2-apr-21.  New publication: “Governor Partisanship Explains the Adoption of Statewide Mask Mandates in Response to COVID-19,” joint work with Kenya Amano, Bree Bang-Jensen, Nancy Fullman, Beatrice Magistro, Grace Reinke, and John Wilkerson, will appear in State Politics & Policy Quarterly. An earlier version of this paper garnered extensive media coverage in Fall 2020 (Washington Post, UW News).

22-mar-21.  New appointment: Professor of Political Science and Adjunct Professor of Statistics at the University of Washington, effective September 2021.

30-jan-21.  Spring course offered: Political Economy from Great Recession to Pandemic is intended for advanced undegraduate students in political science and economics. The course readings and syllabus will be revised before the start of spring quarter to reflect recent research on the pandemic economy.

3-jan-21.  Winter course offered: Visualizing Data and Models is intended for graduate students, but is also open to prepared undergraduates. Space still available!

1-nov-20.  New publication:
“Does the Economic Decline of the West and the Rise of China Encourage NGO Crackdown?”, joint work with Aseem Prakash, will appear in Nonprofit and Voluntary Sector Quarterly.

23-oct-20.  New publication:
“Modeling COVID-19 Scenarios for the United States” has been published in Nature Medicine. This article documents IHME’s well-known forecasting model for COVID-19 cases and deaths in the US. Several members of the COVID-19 State Policy Project are coauthors, including Bree Bang-Jensen, Nancy Fullman, Beatrice Magistro, Grace Reinke, and myself. For the current model forecasts from IHME, see covid19.healthdata.org.

19-oct-20.  Two new videos: On October 16, Beatrice Magistro and I presented “Pandemic Politics: Understanding State-Level Policy Responses to COVID-19” (joint work with Kenya Amano, Bree Bang-Jensen, Nancy Fullman, Grace Reinke, and John Wilkerson) as part of a seminar on Policy Analytics and Population Health hosted by the Center for Studies in Demography and Ecology at the University of Washington.

On September 21, I took part in a panel discussion of “The Economy as a 2020 Election Issue” with Margaret Levi (Stanford University), Bill Galston (Brookings Institution), and Washington State Senator Doug Erickson, hosted by Mort Kondracke and sponsored by Folio: The Seattle Athenaeum.

16-sep-20.  New publication:
“Pandemic Politics: Timing State-Level Social Distancing Responses to COVID-19”, joint work with Kenya Amano, Bree Bang-Jensen, Nancy Fullman, and John Wilkerson, is published in the Journal of Health Politics, Policy and Law.

31-aug-20.  New white paper: “Governor Partisanship Explains the Adoption of Statewide Mandates to Wear Face Coverings,” joint work with Kenya Amano, Bree Bang-Jensen, Nancy Fullman, Beatrice Magistro, Grace Reinke, and John Wilkerson. Also available on MedRxiv. See also media coverage in the Washington Post and UW News.

9-aug-20.  Fall course offered: Maximum Likelihood Methods for the Social Sciences is intended for graduate students seeking a deeper understanding of statistical inference, tools for analyzing discrete outcomes, and methods for general purpose model fitting. Contact me for permission to add this course.

16-jul-20.  New video: Bree Bang-Jensen and I presented “Pandemic Politics: Understanding State-Level Social Distancing Responses to COVID-19” (joint work with Kenya Amano, Nancy Fullman, Beatrice Magistro, Christianna Parr, Grace Reinke, and John Wilkerson) as part of a Population Health Colloquium hosted by the College of Health at Lehigh University.

3-jul-20.  New publication:
“The Influence of Changing Marginals on Measures of Inequality in Scholarly Citations: Evidence of Bias and a Resampling Correction” will appear in Sociological Science.

19-may-20.  Summer course offered: I’m teaching a 35 hour course on Panel Data Analysis for Comparative Research at the Essex Summer School in Social Science Data Analysis 27 July – 7 August 2020. This year, the course will be taught remotely via Zoom. Enrolled students will participate in virtual classes at the regularly scheduled times (10:00 – 13:30 UK time) and be able to rewatch recorded classes. The syllabus and course material can be found on this course page. Space still available!

28-mar-20.  New white paper: “Pandemic Politics: Timing State-Level Social Distancing Responses to COVID-19”, joint work with Kenya Amano, Bree Bang-Jensen, Nancy Fullman, and John Wilkerson. Also available on MedRxiv. An interview placing our research in context is available at UW News.

25-mar-20.  New data: COVID-19 State Social-Distancing Policy collects the dates of announcement and implementation for a variety of mandatory and recommended social distancing measures across the 50 states. On-going joint work with Nancy Fullman (UW Health Metrics Sciences), Bree Bang-Jensen, Kenya Amano, and John Wilkerson (UW Political Science).

7-mar-20.  Spring course offered: Time Series and Panel Data for the Social Sciences is intended for graduate students. Due to the COVID-19 epidemic, this course will be taught remotely by Zoom. Contact me if you are interested in being added to the waitlist for this course.

21-jan-20.  New publication:
“Policy Design and Public Support for Carbon Tax: Evidence from a 2018 U.S. National Online Survey Experiment” will appear in Public Administration.

13-dec-19.  Winter course offered: Visualizing Data and Models is intended for graduate students, but is also open to prepared undergraduates.

22-oct-19.  New publication:
“The Global Diffusion of Environmental Clubs: How Pressure from Importing Countries Supports The Chemical Industry’s Responsible Care Program” will appear in World Development.

27-sep-19.  Fall course offered: Maximum Likelihood Methods for the Social Sciences is intended for graduate students seeking a deeper understanding of statistical inference, tools for analyzing discrete outcomes, and methods for general purpose model fitting. Contact me for permission to add this course.

22-apr-19.  Summer course offered: I’m teaching a 35 hour course on Panel Data Analysis for Comparative Research at the Essex Summer School in Social Science Data Analysis 22 July – 2 August 2019. The syllabus and updated course material can be found on this course page.

28-mar-19.  Spring course offered: Political Economy of the Great Recession and its Aftermath is intended for advanced undegraduate students in political science and economics. Please contact me if you are interested in taking this course.

7-jan-19.  Winter course offered: Visualizing Data and Models is intended for graduate students.

15-sep-18.  Fall course offered: Maximum Likelihood Methods for the Social Sciences is intended for graduate students seeking a deeper understanding of statistical inference, tools for analyzing discrete outcomes, and methods for general purpose model fitting. Contact me for permission to add this course.

17-jul-18.  New publication:
“The Political Economy of Budget Trade-offs” will appear in the Journal of Public Policy.

18-jun-18.  New publication:
“Health Facility Readiness and Facility-Based Birth in Haiti: A Maximum Likelihood Approach to Linking Household and Facility Data” will appear in Journal of Global Health: Reports.

18-may-18.  Summer course offered: I’m teaching a 35 hour course on Panel Data Analysis for Comparative Research at the Essex Summer School in Social Science Data Analysis 23 July – 3 August 2018. The syllabus and updated course material can be found on this course page.

13-feb-18.  Interactive graphic:
Who’s Winning the Olympics? is an interactive graphic exploring the age old question: is the “winner” of the Olympics the country with the most golds or the most medals overall? A fun illustration of the capabilities of R, Shiny, and tile.

26-jan-18.  New publication:
“The Missing Politics of Central Banks” will appear in PS: Political Science and Politics.

21-jul-17.  Summer course offered:
I’m teaching a 35 hour course on Panel Data Analysis for Comparative Research at the Essex Summer School in Social Science Data Analysis 24 July – 4 August 2017. The syllabus and updated course material can be found on this course page.

10-jul-17.  Short course offered:
I’m teaching a 15 hour course on Visualizing Model Inference and Robustness sponsored by the University of Copenhagen, to be held in Copenhagen, Denmark, 19–21 July 2017. The syllabus can be found here. Additional short course materials can be found on my Data Visualization course page.

30-apr-17.  New audio:
I participated in a panel discussion at Seattle Town Hall on “The Rise of the Right Across Western Democracies,” hosted by my UW political science colleague Christopher Sebastian Parker. You can listen to the audio of the full event here.

3-mar-17.  New op-ed:
“Do African exports to China hurt labor rights? Here’s what we found.” Washington Post Monkey Cage (with Vanessa Quince and Aseem Prakash).

4-feb-17.  Keynote: “The Myth of Neutrality... and the Twilight of the Technocrats?” delivered at the workshop on New Roles for Central Banks at the University of British Columbia, 2 February 2017.

15-jul-16.  Summer course offered:
I’m teaching a 35 hour course on Panel Data Analysis for Comparative Research at the Essex Summer School in Social Science Data Analysis 25 July – 5 August 2016. The syllabus and updated course material can be found on this course page.

24-jun-16.  I appeared on Q13 Fox Seattle’s This Morning program to discuss two (unrelated) topics: Britain’s vote to leave the European Union and
gun control policy in the US. For more on my research with Miriam Alvarado on gun violence, see this presentation.

17-may-16.  New publication:
“The Shanghai Effect: Do Exports to China Affect Labor Rights in Africa?” will appear in World Development.

6-apr-16.  I appeared on Q13 Fox Seattle’s This Morning program to discuss the political and economic implications of the Panama Papers; watch the interview or read the writeup.

28-jun-15.  Summer course offered:
I’m teaching a 35 hour course on Panel Data Analysis for Comparative Research at the Essex Summer School in Social Science Data Analysis 27 July – 7 August 2015. The syllabus and updated course material can be found on this course page.

19-jan-15.  Short course offered:
I’m teaching a 9 hour course on Visualizing Model Inference and Robustness sponsored by Universität Konstanz and ETH Zürich, to be held in Konstanz, Germany, 25–27 March 2015. The syllabus can be found here. Additional short course materials can be found on my Data Visualization course page.

16-jul-14.  Bankers, Bureaucrats, and
Central Bank Politics
has won the 2014 Charles Levine Memorial Prize for best book in comparative public policy and administration, awarded by Governance and the International Political Science Association.

22-mar-14.  Book review: A long review of Bankers, Bureaucrats, and
Central Bank Politics
appears in the March issue of the Journal of Economic Literature.

9-oct-13.  New publication:
“State Government Organization of Health Services, 1990–2009: Correlates and Consequences” will appear in the Journal of Public Health Management and Practice.

11-aug-13.  New appointment: Associate Professor of Political Science and Adjunct Associate Professor of Statistics at the University of Washington, Seattle, effective September 2013.

15-may-13.  My new book, Bankers, Bureaucrats,
and Central Bank Politics:
The Myth of Neutrality

(Cambridge University Press),
is now available in hardcover and (shockingly overpriced) ebook formats.

19-nov-12.  Short course offered:
I’m teaching a 9 hour course on Visualizing Model Inference and Robustness at the Juan March Institute in Madrid, November 19 to 21. The syllabus for this short course can be found here, and slides for the course here. Further short course material can be found on my Data Visualization course page.

25-oct-12.  New publication:
“Aligning Rights and Interests: Why, When and How to Uphold Labor Standards,” a background paper to the World Bank’s 2013 World Development Report on Jobs.

14-oct-12.  Book:
Bankers, Bureaucrats,
and Central Bank Politics:
The Myth of Neutrality

(Cambridge University Press)
is now available for preorder with an official release date of January 31, 2013.

27-jun-12.  New publication:
“Allocation of Authority in European Health Policy” will appear in Social Science and Medicine.

15-mar-12.  Short course offered:
I will teach a 9 hour course on Visualizing Model Inference and Robustness at the Juan March Institute in Madrid, November 19 to 21. The syllabus for this short course can be found here.

07-dec-11.  New book:
Bankers, Bureaucrats, and Central Bank Politics: The Myth of Neutrality will be published by Cambridge University Press.

03-dec-11.  New publication:
“Getting Ahead in the Chinese Communist Party” will appear in American Political Science Review in February 2012.

02-nov-11.  New presentation:
“Tufte without Tears”

27-sep-11.  Website live!



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