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I study how people make decisions in real world situations. I am currently working on decisions based on weather forecasts. I am part of a multi-disciplinary team studying uncertainty information in weather forecasts. PROBCAST Group Website From the psychological perspective this is a question of how people understand and make use of uncertainty in weather-related decisions. For instance: Do you know what a 30% chance of rain means? Would you take an umbrella? What if it was a 30% chance of hurricane force winds? What would you do? Here is our forecast site PROBCAST Forecast In the past, have studied decision-making in several different domains including emergency dispatch and air traffic control. I am also interested in autobiographical memory, particularly the mechanisms that underlie forgetting of autobiographical memories. For instance, one group of studies, explored the "directed forgetting effect". In other words, do people remember an event less well, simply because they are to forget it? CV SELECTED ARTICLES
Naturalistic Decision-making in weather forecasting: Joslyn, S., Pak, K., Jones, D. Pyles, J. & Hunt, E., (2007) The Effect of Probabilistic Information on Threshold Forecasts. Weather & Forecasting 22 (4) 804812 Abstract Joslyn, S. & Jones, D. (2008) Strategies in Naturalistic Decision-making: A Cognitive Task Analysis of Naval Weather Forecasting. In J.M. Schraagen (Ed) In J.M. Schraagen, S. (Ed) Naturalistic Decision Making and Macrocognition. Ashgate Publishing 183-201 Abstract Joslyn, S., Nadav-Greenberg, L., & Taing, M. U., (2008) The Effects of Wording on the Understanding and use of uncertainty information in a threshold forecasting decision Applied Cognitive Psychology. Abstract Nadav-Greenberg, L., Joslyn, S., & Taing, M. U., (2008) The effect of weather forecast uncertainty visualization on decision-making. Journal of Cognitive Engineering and Decision Making.2 (1) 24-47 Abstract
Joslyn, S., Nadav-Greenberg, L. & Nicholls, R. M. (2009) Probability of Precipitation: Assessment and Enhancement of End-User Understanding. . Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 90(2) Joslyn, S.L. & Nichols, R. (in press) Probability or frequency? Expressing forecast uncertainty in public weather forecasts. Meteorological Applications. Nadav-Greenberg, L., Joslyn, S (in press) Uncertainty forecasts improve decision-making among non-experts. Journal of Cognitive Engineering and Decision Making. Joslyn, S. L., Hunt, E. (1998). Evaluating individual differences in response to emergency situations. Journal of Experimental Psychology: Applied 4, 16-43. Abstract Current work on the multi-taskng test Directed Forgetting: Joslyn, S. L., I Oakes, M. A. (2005) Directed Forgetting and Autobiographical Events. Memory and Cognition. 33(4), 577-587. Diary Form Memory for Memory: Joslyn, Susan L., Loftus, E. F., McNoughton, Amanda and Powers, Jayme, Memory for Memory. Memory and Cognition (2001) Abstract Memory for Childhood Sexual Abuse (CSA):
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