Journal Publications

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See also media coverage of our research

(equal contribution:*; graduate student:**; undergraduate student:^, postdoc:+)


Telemeco, RS+, Fletcher B, Levy O, Riley A, Rodriguez-Sanchez Y, Smith C, Teague C, Waters A, Angilletta MJ, and Buckley LB. 2016. Lizards fail to plastically adjust nesting behavior or thermal tolerance as needed to buffer populations from climate warming. Global Change Biology in press.

MacLean**, Higgins JK, Buckley LB, and Kingsolver JG. 2016.  Morphological and physiological determinants of local adaptation to climate in Rocky Mountain butterflies. Conservation Physiology in press.

Buckley LB and Huey RB. Temperature extremes: geographic patterns, recent changes, and implications for organismal vulnerabilities. Global Change Biology. link


Levy O, Buckley LB, Keitt TH, and Angilletta MJ. 2016. A dynamically downscaled projection of past and future microclimates. Ecology 97:1888. link

Williams CM, Buckley LB, Sheldon KS, Vickers M, Pörtner HO, Dowd WW, Gunderson AR, Marshall KE, and Stillman JH. 2016. Biological Impacts of Thermal Extremes: Mechanisms and Costs of Functional Responses Matter. Integrative and Comparative Biology:56:73-84. link [Part of a symposium: Beyond the Mean: Biological Impacts of Changing Patterns of Temperature Variation]

, and Ontogeny constrains phenology: opportunities for activity and reproduction interact to dictate potential phenologies in a changing climate. Ecology Letters 19: 620–628. link

Buckley LB and Huey RB. 2016. How extreme temperatures impact organisms and the evolution of their thermal tolerance. Integrative and Comparative Biology 56: 98-109. link [Part of a symposium: Beyond the Mean: Biological Impacts of Changing Patterns of Temperature Variation]

MacLean**, Higgins JK**, Buckley LB, and Kingsolver JG. 2016. Geographic divergence in upper thermal limits across insect life stages: does behavior matter? Oikos 181:107-114. link

Brown CJ, O’Connor MI, Poloczanska ES, Schoeman DS, Buckley LB, Burrows MT, Duarte CM, Halpern BS, Pandolfi JM, Parmesan C, and Richardson AJ. 2016. Ecological and methodological drivers of species’ distribution and phenology responses to climate change. Global Change Biology 22: 1548–1560. link

Cunningham HR, Rissler LJ, Buckley LB, and Urban MC. 2015. Abiotic and biotic constraints across reptile and amphibian distributions. Ecography 39:1-8. link [Editor’s choice]


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Higgins JK**, MacLean HJ**, Buckley LB, Kingsolver JG. 2015. Growth, developmental, and stress responses of larvae of the clouded sulphur butterfly, Colias eriphyle, to repeated exposure to high, sub-lethal temperatures. Physiological Entomology 40:189-195. link

Buckley LB*, Ehrenberger JC*, Angilletta MJ. 2015. Thermoregulatory behaviour limits local adaptation of thermal niches and confers sensitivity to climate change. Functional Ecology 29:1038-1047. link.

Buckley LB, Nufio CR, Kirk EM, and Kingsolver JG. Developmental plasticity determines phenological responses to climate warming. Proceedings of the Royal Society B 282: 20150441. link

Hannah L, Flint L, Syphard AD, Moritz MA, Buckley LB, and McCullough IM. 2015. Place and process in conservation planning for climate change: a reply to Keppel & Wardell-Johnson. Trends in Ecology and Evolution 30: 234-235. doi:10.1016/j.tree.2015.03.008. link

Kingsolver JG, Buckley LB. 2015 Climate variability slows evolutionary responses of Colias butterflies to recent climate change. Proc. R. Soc. B 282: 20142470. link. pdf.

O’Connor M, Holding J, Kappel C, Duarte CM, Brander K, Brown C, Bruno J, Buckley L, Burrows M, Halpern B, Kiessling W, Moore P, Pandolfi J, Parmesan C, Poloczanska E, Schoeman D, Sydeman W, and Richardson A.  Strengthening confidence in climate impacts science. Global Ecology and Biogeography. link.


Buckley LB and Nufio CR. 2014. Elevational clines in the temperature dependence of insect performance and implications for ecological responses to climate change. Conservation Physiology 2: cou035. link.

Hannah L, Flint L, Syphard A, Moritz MA, Buckley LB, and McCullough IM. 2014. Fine-grain Modeling of Species Response to Climate Change: Microrefugia, Holdouts and Stepping Stones. Trends in Ecology and Evolution 29: 390-397. link. pdf.

Higgins JK**, MacLean HJ**, Buckley LB, Kingsolver JG. 2014.  Geographic differences and microevolutionary changes in thermal sensitivity of butterfly larvae in response to climate. Functional Ecology 28: 982-989. link. summarypdf.

Buckley LB. 2014. Species Responses to Climate Change. In Oxford Bibliographies in Ecology. Ed. David Gibson. New York: Oxford University Press. DOI: 10.1093/OBO/9780199830060-0080. linkpdf.

Burrows MT, Schoeman DS, Richardson AJ, Molinos JG, Hoffmann A, Buckley LB, Moore PJ, et al. 2014.  Geographical limits to species-range shifts are suggested by climate velocity. Nature 507:492-495. linkpdf.

Buckley LB, Nufio C, Kingsolver JG. 2014. Phenotypic clines, energy balances, and ecological responses to climate change. Journal of Animal Ecology 83:41-50. [Invited for a special issue on Metabolic Ecology] linkpdf.

Heffernan JB, Soranno PA, Angilletta MJ, Buckley LB, et al. 2014. Macrosystems ecology: understanding ecological patterns and processes at continental scales. Frontiers in Ecology and the Environment 12: 5-14.  [Special issue on macrosystems ecology] linkpdf.

Levy O, Ball BA, et al. 2014. Approaches to advance scientific understanding of macrosystems ecology. Frontiers in Ecology and the Environment 12: 15-23.  [Special issue on macrosystems ecology] linkpdf.


Buckley LB. 2013. Get real: putting models of climate change and species interactions in practice. Annals of the New York Academy of Sciences 1297:126-138. [Part of a series from a workshop on climate change and species interactions.] linkpdf.

Buckley LB, Tewksbury JJ, and Deutsch CA. 2013. Can organisms escape the heat of climate change by moving? Proceedings of the Royal Society B 280: 1765. linkpdf.

Buckley LBMiller EF^, Kingsolver JG. 2013. Ectotherm thermal stress and specialization across altitude and latitude. Integrative and Comparative Biology 53(4):571-581. [Part of a symposium on Physiological Responses to Simultaneous Shifts in Multiple Environmental Stressors] linkpdf.

Kingsolver JG, Diamond S, Buckley LB. 2013.  Heat stress and the fitness consequences of climate change for terrestrial ectotherms.  Functional Ecology 27:1415-1423. linkpdf.

Poloczanska et al. Global imprint of climate change on marine life. Nature Climate Change 3: 919–925. linkpdf.

Grigg JW^ and Buckley LB. 2013. Conservatism of lizard thermal tolerances and body temperatures across evolutionary history and geography. Biology Letters 9: 20121056. link. pdf.

Ibanez I, Gornish E, Buckley L, Debinski D, Hellmann J, Helmuth Brian, Hille Ris Lambers J, Latimer A, Miller-Rushing A, and Uriarte M. 2013. Moving forward in global-change ecology: capitalizing on natural variability. Ecology and Evolution 3:170-181. linkpdf.


Buckley LB and Kingsolver JG. 2012. Functional and phylogenetic approaches to forecasting the ecological impacts of climate change. Annual Review of Ecology, Evolution, and Systematics 43:205-226. link. pdf.

Buckley LB. 2012. Climate change biology as a predictive science? Trends in Ecology and Evolution 27:365-366 [Book Review].link. pdf.

Buckley LB and Kingsolver JG. 2012. The demographic impacts of shifts in climate means and extremes on alpine butterflies. Functional Ecology 26:969-977. link. pdf. See also thespotlight summary. [Part of an Ecophysiological Forecasting Virtual Issue.]

Buckley LB, Hurlbert AH, and Jetz W. 2012. Broad-scale ecological implications of ectothermy and endothermy in changing environments. Global Ecology and Biogeography 21:873-885. linkpdf.

Buckley LB and Foushee MS^. 2012. Footprints of climate change in US national park visitation. International Journal of Biometeorology. linkpdf.

Burrows MT, DS Schoeman, CM Duarte, MI O’Connor, LB Buckley, CV Kappel, et al. 2012. Invasive Species Unchecked by Climate—Response. Science 335: 538-539. linkpdf.

Davies TJ* and Buckley LB*,. 2012.Exploring the phylogenetic history of mammal species richness. Global Ecology and Biogeography. linkpdf.

Hawkins BA, McCain CM, Davies TJ, Buckley LB, Anacker BL, Cornell HV, Damschen EI, Grytnes JA, Harrison SP, Holt RD, Kraft NJB, and Stephens PR. 2012. Different evolutionary histories underlie congruent species richness gradients of birds and mammals. Journal of Biogeography 39:825-841. link.

Richardson, AJ, CJ Brown, WJ Sydeman, W Kiessling, PJ Moore, K Brander, JF Bruno, LB Buckley, MT Burrows, CM Duarte, BS Halpern, O Hoegh-Guldberg, J Holding, CV Kappel, MI O’Connor, JM Pandolfi, C Parmesan, DS Schoeman, F Schwing, ES Poloczanska. 2012. Meeting Report: Climate Change and Marine Life. Biology Letters 8:907-909.linkpdf.


Buckley LBWaaser SA^, MacLean HJ**, and Fox R. 2011. Does including physiology improve species distribution model predictions of responses to recent climate change? Ecology 92:2214–2221. linkpdf.

Burrows MT, Schoeman DS, Buckley LB, Moore P, Poloczanska ES, Brander KM, Brown CJ, Bruno JF, Duarte CM, Halpern BS, Holding J, Kappel CV, Kiessling W, O’Connor MI, Pandolfi JM, Parmesan C, Schwing FB, Sydeman WJ, and Richardson AJ. 2011. The Pace of Shifting Climate in Marine and Terrestrial Ecosystems. Science 334: 52-655. linkpdf.

Brown CJ, Schoeman DS, Sydeman W, Brander K, Buckley L, Burrows M, Duarte CM, Moore PJ, Pandolfi JM, Poloczanska E, Venables W, and Richardson AJ. 2011. Quantitative approaches in climate change ecology. Global Change Biology 17:3697-3713. linkpdf.

Davies TJ and Buckley LB. 2011. Phylogenetic diversity as a window into the evolutionary and biogeographic histories of present-day richness gradients for mammals. Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society B 366: 2414-2425. linkpdf.

Davies TJ, Buckley LB, Grenyer R, and Gittleman JL. 2011. The influence of past and present climate on the biogeography of modern mammal diversity. Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society B 366:2526-2535. linkpdf.

Diamond SE**, Frame AM**, Martin RA**, and Buckley LB. 2011. Species’ traits predict phenological responses to climate change in butterflies. Ecology 95:1005-1012. linkpdf.

Kingsolver JG, Woods HA, Buckley LB, Potter KA, MacLean H**, and Higgins JK**. 2011. Complex life cycles and responses to climate change. Integrative and Comparative Biology 51 : 719-732 linkpdf.


Buckley LB, Urban MC, Angilletta MJ, Crozier LG, Rissler LJ, and Sears MW. 2010. Can mechanism inform species distribution models? Ecology Letters 13:1041–1054.linkpdf.

Buckley LB*,, Davies TJ*, Ackerly DD, Kraft NJB, Harrison SP, Anacker BL, Cornell HV, Damschen EI, Grytnes J, Hawkins BA, McCain CM, Stephens PR, and Wiens JJ. 2010. Phylogeny, niche conservatism, and the latitudinal diversity gradient in mammals. Proceedings Royal Society B 277:2131-2138. linkpdf.

Buckley LB. 2010. Range implications of lizard traits in changing environments. Global Ecology and Biogeography 19:452–464. linkpdf.

Buckley L.B. and Jetz W. 2010. Lizard community structure along elevation gradients. Journal of Animal Ecology 79:358-365.linkpdf.

Buckley L.J. and Buckley L.B. 2010. Toward linking ocean models to fish population dynamics. Progress in Oceanography 84:85-88 linkpdf.

Wiens JJ, Ackerly DD, Allen AP, Anacker BL, Buckley LB, Cornell HV, Damschen EI, Davies TJ, Grytnes JA, Harrison SP, Hawkins BA, Holt RD, McCain CM and Stephens PR. Niche conservatism as an emerging principle in ecology and conservation biology. Ecology Letters 13:1310-1324. linkpdf.


Buckley L.B. and Jetz W. 2008. Linking global turnover of species and environments. Proceedings of the National Academy of Science 105:17836-17841. pdf.

Buckley L.B., Rodda G.H., and Jetz W. 2008. Thermal and energetic constraints on ectotherm abundance: a global test using lizards. Ecology 89:48-55. pdf.

Buckley L.B. 2008. Linking traits to energetics and population dynamics to predict lizard ranges in changing environments. American Naturalist 171: E1-E19. pdf.


Buckley L.B. and Jetz W. 2007. Insularity and the determinants of lizard population density. Ecology Letters 10: 481-48. pdf.

Buckley L.B. and Jetz W. 2007. Environmental and historical constraints on global patterns of amphibian richness. Proceedings of the Royal Society B 274: 1167-1173. pdf.


Buckley L. B. and Roughgarden J. 2006. Climate, competition, and the coexistence of island lizards. Functional Ecology 20: 315-322. pdf.

Buckley L. B. and Roughgarden J. 2006. A hump-shaped density-island area relationship for island lizards. Oikos 113: 243-250. pdf.


Buckley L. B. and Roughgarden J. 2005. Effects of species interactions on landscape abundance patterns. Journal of Animal Ecology 74:1182-1194. pdf. (JAE highlighted article)

Buckley L. B. and Roughgarden J. 2005. Lizard habitat partitioning on islands: the interaction of local and landscape scales. Journal of Biogeography 32: 2113-2121. pdf. (cover article)


Buckley L. B. and Roughgarden J. 2004. Biodiversity conservation: effects of changes in climate and land use. Nature 430: 1 (doi: 10.1038/nature02717). pdf.

Other Publications

Buckley L. B.. 2012. Ecological forecasting. Berkshire Encyclopedia of Sustainability 5.