TOMORROW'S TRANSPORTATION:

CHANGING CITIES, ECONOMIES, AND LIVES


by William L. Garrison and Jerry D. Ward

Published by Artech House, 685 Canton Street, Norwood, MA 02062, 315 pps.

March, 2000

[Chapter 9, A New Kind of Minicity, has been posted in full. Comments are invited]


CONTENTS

PREFACE

PART I: The Car and Traffic

1. A BIT OF PERSPECTIVE

The window on the world for most people is their car window
And so...
References

2. THE CAR THAT CAN DRIVE ITSELF

But other things have changed very little...
Tip of the iceberg
Hands-off freeway driving
The driver becomes a passenger
New, exclusive highways?
Continuing evolution
Designing the system: we emulate the human
The end of driving?
The nondriver isn't anymore
The automated car offers more than just automation
Platooning
It's not just for moving people
Brave new world!
References

3. CONGESTION: THE DEVIL WE KNOW

Ultimate gridlock
Is congestion increasing?
A paradox?
A short story about the suburbs
What congestion is costing us
Just part of the story
References

4. CONGESTION: WHAT ARE WE DOING ABOUT IT?

The broad prescription for congestion relief
Traffic control and the intelligent transportation system program
Traffic management systems
On-the-roll toll collection
Driver and traveller information systems
Accident reduction
Route guidance
In summary
Better public transportation
Car pooling
Reversible lanes
High-occupancy vehicle lanes
Other favorites
Where does all this leave us?
References

5. CONGESTION: A BETTER STRATEGY?

Freeway Traffic Flow 101: The nature of the phenomenon
A freeway game
So once again--the prescription
What, then, to do?
Off the freeway--surface streets
The waiting line bugaboo
Road pricing, the economists' favorite
The synergy of metering plus pricing
Looking ahead: a summary
Selected bibliography
Appendix 5A: Variable driver behavior and the highway capacity curve

6. SOME NEW KINDS OF CARS

The commuter car
On a different Track: the neighborhood car
Imagine more
Getting started
Operations and impact--the commuter car
Operations and impact--the neighborhood car
Headwinds
References

Part II: The City and Transportation

7. TRANSPORTATION AND THE EVOLUTION OF THE CITY

The birth of the modern city
The quality of life
Whither now?
Selected bibliography

8. THE MODERN DILEMMA - WHAT TO DO?

Relative roles
Service in the suburbs--thin, diffuse travel patterns
But once in the car
Where does this leave us?
What, then to do?
About our downtowns?
Emulate Europe
Transit in Perspective
The road system
Innovation
Next
References

9. A NEW KIND OF MINI-CITY (full text is available on-line)

References

10. THE SECOND-STORY CITY

Let's push the envelope
Revitalize our downtowns?
Reference

11. THE VARIEGATED CITY

Cities thrive by variegating
Looking ahead at trends--folk living everywhere
How we live--is everything old new again?
Chauffeuring
How we work
The variegated city
References

12. VARIEGATED TRANSPORTATION FOR VARIEGATED CITIES

Electric streetcars and the two-step dance
Public-private roles in how things happen
Constrained exploring
References

PART III: Energy and Emissions

 

13. ENERGY USE AND POLLUTANT EMISSIONS

Transportation energy consumption by mode
Pollution
Where are we going?
What can we do about it?
Everything we do involves tradeoffs
Higher fuel prices?
The fuel cell and the hydrogen possibility
What, then, to do now?
References

PART IV: Between Cities: Rail and Other Ground Transportation Systems

14. THE INNOVATION THAT CHANGED THE WORLD: HOW DID IT HAPPEN?

England in 1800--"built out"
The Stockton and Darlington Railway
The recipe for discovery
References

15. AMERICA AND THE TWO-STEP DANCE

Shallow stuff
The two-step dance
Digging deeper
Creative destruction and the devil we know
The United States in 2000: "Built out"
References

16. WHERE ARE WE TODAY?

The highway and road system
The air system
The rail system
Safety
About freight transportation
But there are problems
It's not hopeless
References

17. WHERE WOULD WE LIKE TO GO?

Goal #1: lower the costs of small batch shipments
Goal #2: significantly reduce trip time for both passenger and freight
Goal #3: lower costs overall
Other dimensions of performance
References

18. SERENDIPITY

Separate highways
Why not TOFC or COFC everywhere?
Minitrains? Individual, self-powered cars?
What does that kind of single vehicle or minitrain capability gain us?
Back to our original problem--getting the trucks off the highway
But wait!
References

19. BEYOND RAILROADING: A NEW SYSTEM

Thinking about fixed guideway options
The implications of our desires
There is more to speed than just speed
Networks versus closed circuits: the need for switching
Guideway options
Maglev
Very high speed: a fly in the ointment?
References

20. A SUPERSPEED HIGHWAY

The old familiar problem
Fixed guideway or high speed highway?
What do we propose?

21. BIG AND SLOW--BUT CHEAP!

The dance goes on
Suggestions
Why not more blood from those turnips?
With a little help from our friends
Full circle
References

PART V: The Air Transportation System

22. TO GRANDMOTHER'S HOUSE WE FLY

Urban terminals
Terminal interiors
Around the airport
The airside
The airport system of the future?
Faster airplanes
Technology, congestion
Selected bibliography
References

23. THE LOS ANGELES AIRPORT SYSTEM - 2020 - 2040 - 2060--A Parable

The tyranny of the seminal decision
The view From 2000
The dilemma of 2000
The hub-and-spoke route structure
The continuing evolution
A zero-sum game?
The Airport Planning Commission of 2020--and what actually happened in the prior 20 years
Improving technology and the sharper sword
The up-shot: what actually happened
The view from 2020 looking forward
The view From 2040?
References

PART VI: The New Millennium

24. COMMUNICATION AND TRANSPORTATION

What's going on?
It takes two to tango
Synergies and impacts: looking around and looking back
Globalization
The downside
Adolescence
References

25. OPTIMISM

References
About the authors
Index


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Last modified: August 06, 2000