Change in S&P 500
7-year moving average
Text Box: 1929
1929
Text Box: 1936
1936
Text Box: 1943
1943
Text Box: 1971
1971
Text Box: 1950
1950
Text Box: 1957
1957
Text Box: 1964
1964
Text Box: 1978
1978
Text Box: 1985
1985
Text Box: 1992
1992
6%
5%
4%
3%
2%
1%
0%
Text Box: % additions to base # of companies
% additions to base # of companies
Source: Creative Destruction, Foster & Kaplan
Three great waves
Shortly after WW2
Military build up gave way to the consumer need to rebuild
1960s
Federal defense and aerospace programs began to stimulate the economy providing funds for the development of logic and memory chips and microprocessor
Bubble burst in 1968 . Took until 1980 for Dow to recover.
1890’s Volker led anti-inflation drive
By technology-charged 1990s S&P index turnover unprecedented. Into the age of discontinuity