Balance
of Payments: Categories and Definitions
The
Balance of Payments (BoP) records all
transactions
that cross a country’s borders. The simplest way to think about it is
as
a record of all payments going out to foreigners (with the reasons for
those
payments), and all payments coming into the country from foreigners
(with the
reasons for those payments). We give the payments coming in a plus
sign, and
the payments going out a minus sign.
There
are various ways that these payments can be categorized and organized. This discussion is revised to reflect the
categories on your
spreadsheets, which use IMF data.
Most
BoP presentations give you two large
categories: a
Current Account, which includes
trade, and a Capital Account,
which includes
sales and purchases of assets. Several other kinds of payments are usually stuck in the
Current Account. For an
example of a typical textbook presentation, see our e-reserve reading
on the BoP or this Wikipedia article.
The IMF uses this basic division, but they call the Capital Account the “Financial Account,” so they have a Current Account and a Financial Account. Fair enough. What’s not fair is that they have named one of the more obscure sub-categories of the Financial Account the “Capital Account.” So what the IMF calls the capital account is not what most textbooks call the capital account. Worse, they keep moving it -- in the very latest set of figures, their little "capital account" moves out of the large "financial account" category and into its own space between current and financial account. Sigh. Happily, the stuff captured in the IMF's "Capital account" category is typically very small in proportion to the overall BoP, so for this class, you can almost certainly ignore it. (This is funny: since the last time I checked the link the Wikipedia article has been updated to a reflect the IMF's divergent usage, and now cites this humble page.)
So
below I’m going to follow the presentation on your
spreadsheets, but add explanation. There
are a couple of documents out there on the web that provide clear
explanations of BoP items, so when they
have nice
wording I quote them.
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Current Account “The current
account measures all transactions (other than those in financial assets
and liabilities) that involve economic values and occur between
resident and non-resident entities. It also includes offsets to current
economic values provided or acquired without something of economic
value in exchange.” (Central
Bank of New Zealand p. 6) |
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Goods are tangible,
real stuff like wheat and steel and cars. The
term “merchandise” is also used for “goods.” |
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Goods:
Exports f.o.b. Goods sold to
foreigners. (+) They
require that foreigners make payments to us so they take
a plus sign. Macro
Note: since exports are a source of total aggregate demand for
nationally-produced goods, changes in exports will produce
corresponding changes in national income. If other countries’ incomes
rise, they will likely import more of our goods, raising
our exports. If your country's exports are dominated by
commodities like oil or coffee, they will be affected by swings in the
prices of those things. This means that in the short run, the
volume of a country's exports depends mainly on foreign events.
Over the longer run, look for patterns of capital investment in export
industries. Always
remember that most exports are produced by private firms. We may
say "the United States exports wheat" but what is actually going on is
that a private seller of wheat in the U.S. hooks up with a private
buyer in another country. (FOB means "free
on board, meaning what it costs to get the goods to the boat (or
equivalent). The alternative is CIF which
means "cost, insurance, freight, and includes additional costs to get
the good to the foreign customer.) |
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Goods:
Imports f.o.b. Goods purchased
from foreigners. (-) They
require that we make payments to foreigners so they
take a minus sign. Macro Note: Generally imports
will rise or fall as total national income
rises or falls, since they will represent part of national demand for
goods. When income rises, both demand for imports and demand for
locally-made goods will rise. Additionally, some countries may have
export industries that require significant amounts of imports.
Always remember that imports are imported because particular
people or firms within your country decide to buy them from particular
sellers located abroad. |
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Services are purchases
and sales of intangible items like tourism or transportation. You don’t have to ship them and you can’t
store them. “In a broad
sense services are products
other than physical goods. There are two differences between goods
and services: • there is no
physical object over which ownership rights can be established • a service cannot
be traded separately from its production. The production
of a service is linked to an
arrangement made between a producer in one economy and a consumer in
another economy prior to the time that production occurs.” (Central
Bank of New Zealand p. 45) Usually, when
people talk about “exports” they mean goods exports plus service
exports, and then they say “imports” they mean goods plus service
imports. Trade balances are usually
computed for both goods and services trade. But
sometimes you will see people writing about the “merchandise trade
balance,” and then they’re not including services. |
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Services:
Credit (service exports) Services sold to
foreigners. (+) They require that foreigners make payments to us so they take a plus sign. (“Credit” is accounting terminology meaning “someone’s gotta pay us for this.”) |
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Services:
Debit (service imports) Services bought
from foreigners. (-) They
require that we make payments to foreigners so they
take a minus sign. (“Debit”
is accounting terminology meaning “we’ve gotta
pay someone for this.”) |
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“Income covers
two types of transactions between residents and non-residents: (i) those involving compensation of
employees, which is paid
to non-resident workers or
received from non-resident employers and (ii) those involving investment
income receipts and
payments on external financial assets and liabilities. ... Investment
income ... is income
derived from ownership of external financial assets and payable by
residents of one economy to residents of another economy. It includes
interest, dividends, remittances of branch profits, and direct
investors’ shares of the retained earnings of direct investment
enterprises.” (European
Union) In some
presentations, “income” is called “factor services” or
“factor income.” That’s “factor” in the
sense of “factor of production,” i.e. land, labor, or capital, so you
can think of it as a payment in exchange for the use of physical
capital or the use of the principal on a loan.
You may think it’s weird that interest payments on a loan
go into the current account while principal payments go into the
financial account. But that’s how
accountants see the world. |
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Income:
Credit (inflows) Payments to us from foreigners that are interest on loans that we made to them, profits from physical capital (like factories) owned by our citizens in foreign countries, and income received by our workers from foreign employers. (+) This
requires that foreigners make payments to us and so
takes a plus sign.
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Income:
Debit (outflows) Payments by us to foreigners that are interest on loans to us or profits from physical capital that they own in our country, and income paid to foreign workers. (-) This
requires that we make payments to foreigners so takes a
minus sign. Macro Note:
Countries that borrow a lot will show very large amounts of interest
payments going out, sometimes to the extent that half of their exports
are going to pay interest on loans. (One reason why interest payments
may balloon is that when a country has trouble making payments on debt,
it may enter into a "rescheduling" agreement that postpones payments of
loan principal (see below) while continuing interest payments. That
lets lenders keep the loans on their books as "performing." The macro
effect of this debt burden, however, is that the country consumes a lot
less than it makes, and this can tend to reduce gross fixed capital
formation, crippling prospects for future growth. Not to mention
lowering overall consumption, which often hits the
poor hardest. |
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A transfer
is a payment that is not made in exchange for anything. Basically, a
gift. You’re not getting a good or service
for it, and you’re not making it to be released from an obligation,
like with an interest payment on a loan. Sometimes
you’ll see the words “unrequited transfer” or “unilateral transfer”
used for this category. (For
accounting geeks: the transfer is actually the “offsetting entry” for
the payment, a sort of imaginary thing that the accountant imagines as
whatever the payment was made for.) “Current
transfers” are transfers that “directly affect
the level of disposable income of the ... donor or recipient.” in the
words of the European
Union.
The New
Zealand Central Bank says: “Current
transfers directly affect
the level of disposable income and influence the consumption of goods
and services for the donor and the recipient economies. Capital
transfers consist of the
transfer of ownership of a fixed asset, the forgiveness of a liability,
and the transfer of cash that is linked to, or conditional on, the
acquisition or disposal of a fixed asset. The transfers made by
migrants as they move to a new country are an example of a capital transfer.” In some
presentations of the data, transfers are divided into “official
transfers” and “private transfers.” Official transfers are
government-to-government payments, though some may go through
international agencies like the United Nations. This can be termed
"aid" of various kinds; when the Private (i.e. made at
individual initiative) transfers are made by workers who go abroad and
send part of their earnings home, e.g. Salvadorans in the U.S., Turks
in Germany, Filipinos in Singapore. So you
would expect the |
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Current
Transfers, n.i.e.: Credit (Inflows) Official
Transfers into our country mean that foreign governments (or
multilateral agencies) make payments to us. Private
Transfers into our country mean that foreigners make payments to us.
(Suppose your uncle in (+) They
require that foreigners make payments to us so they take
a plus sign.
Macro
note: Large incoming transfers will enable a country to import more --
in fact that’s often the intent of foreign aid, and many donors insist
that their "aid" be spent on their exports, and the |
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Current
Transfers: Debit (Outflows) Official
Transfers to other countries are simply payments by our government to
other countries. Private
Transfers to other countries are simply payments to people in those
countries. Suppose you help support your grandparents in (-) They
require that we make payments to foreigners so they
take a minus sign. |
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Total Current Account, n.i.e. You add up
everything above. (N.i.e. means “not including exceptional
financing.” Don’t worry about it.) |
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Financial Account “The financial
account covers all transactions, including the creation and liquidation
of financial claims, associated with change of ownership in
international financial assets and liabilities.” (Central
Bank of New Zealand) |
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See
my note at the top on the potential for confusion around the term “Capital Account,” which means different things to
different people. In the IMF’s presentation, “capital account” is mainly capital transfers, which means unrequited transfers of an
asset of some kind. See my note above
under “current transfers.” In the World
Bank's definition, “capital account includes government debt
forgiveness, investment grants in cash or in kind by a government
entity, and taxes on capital transfers. Also included are migrants'
capital transfers and debt forgiveness and investment grants by
nongovernmental entities.” So
basically you have both private capital transfers and public capital
transfers. For
most countries this category will be extremely small, if they are
reported at all, so it’s highly unlikely that these will be important
for any of your research memos. |
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Capital Account, n.i.e.: Credit |
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Capital Account: Debit |
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Direct Investment means acquiring
a significant ownership stake in a foreign business. “Direct
investment is investment
undertaken by an entity resident in one economy in an enterprise resident in
another economy. The purpose of the investment is to obtain or sustain
a lasting interest in the enterprise and exercise a significant degree
of influence in its management.” (Central
Bank of New Zealand) According to the
IMF’s current criteria, owning ten
percent or more of a business qualifies as having a “lasting interest”
and “a
significant degree of influence in its management” If you own less than ten percent,
you’re treated as a portfolio investor. Direct
Investment is divided directionally: foreigners
investing in businesses in our country, and our residents investing in
businesses abroad. |
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Direct
Investment Abroad Our residents
buying (or selling) ownership stake in foreign businesses in other
countries.
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Direct
Investment in Reporting Economy, n.i.e. Foreigners
buying (or selling) ownership stake in businesses in our country.
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Think of
portfolio investment as the kind of securities that small investors
might acquire: stocks, corporate or government bonds.
You’re acquiring these as part of a portfolio of
assets, but you’re not buying enough shares in a company to have a
significant ownership stake, in particular the kind of stake that would
give you a say in management. “Portfolio
investment consists of
equity and debt securities that are not classified to either direct
investment or reserve assets. Equity
securities include shares, stocks, ... or similar documents that usually
denote ownership of equity. The level of equity ownership that denotes portfolio
investment is taken as
being less than 10 percent ownership in an entity. ... Debt securities include
tradable instruments such as bonds and notes, debentures (long-term
instruments) and money market instruments (short-term instruments such
as treasury bills, commercial and financial paper).” (Central
Bank of New Zealand) Portfolio
Investment is divided directionally: foreigners
investing in businesses in our country, and our residents investing in
businesses abroad. |
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Portfolio
Investment Assets Our residents’
portfolio investment abroad.
Because those
securities are our assets and their liabilities, they’re called assets
here. |
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Portfolio
Investment Liabilities, n.i.e. Foreigners’
portfolio investment in our country.
Because these
securities are our liabilities and their assets, they’re called
liabilities here. |
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The IMF says: “Financial
derivatives are financial instruments that are linked to a specific
financial instrument or indicator or commodity, and through which
specific financial risks can be traded in financial markets in their
own right.”
Basically, they are a category of more complex financial
instruments, and they are often individually tailored to the needs of
particular borrowers or lenders. For the
most part, however, it’s unlikely that you will have much data for this
category. |
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Financial Derivatives
Assets Our residents’
purchases or sales of financial derivatives abroad. |
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Financial Derivatives
Liabilities Foreign
residents’ purchases or sales of financial derivatives in our country. |
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The major
component in “Other investment” is usually bank loans – specifically,
the principal of loans. The interest goes
under “income” in the current account. “The other
investment item is a residual category that includes all financial
transactions not covered under direct investment, portfolio investment,
financial derivatives or reserve assets ... Other investment can be
further subdivided into (i) trade credits,
(ii) loans/currency and deposits and (iii) other assets/other
liabilities.” (European
Union) |
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Other
Investment Assets Assuming this is
bank lending, this would consist of our banks making loans to
foreigners.
The loan is our
bank’s asset and the foreigner’s liability. |
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Other
Investment Liabilities, n.i.e. Assuming this is
bank lending, this would consist of our foreign banks making loans to
anyone in our country.
The loan is our
liability and the foreigner’s asset. |
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Total Financial Account, n.i.e. Add all the
Financial Account items up. |
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The Current
Account plus Financial Account plus Reserve Changes should sum to zero,
because they should capture the totality of all transactions across our
borders. If they don’t, somebody
missed counting something. This may mean smuggling of goods in or
out. Sometimes a large negative figure will indicate capital
flight -- a lot of domestic residents buying foreign assets without
telling their government. |
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Net Errors and Omissions |
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Overall Balance
is Current Account plus Financial Account plus net Errors and Omissions |
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Overall Balance |
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Finally we get
to changes in the quantity of foreign assets held by the Central
Bank. What’s
left over after we sum up the Current Account and Financial Account
should be the change in the reserves held by the Central Bank. If all these activities bring in more
foreign exchange than they use, the balance should be accounted for by
additional foreign assets held by the central bank. We call these
assets reserves, so total
reserves rise. If all these activities use up more foreign exchange
than they bring in, the Central Bank has to fill the gap by selling
some of the foreign assets it owns, so total reserves fall. So: Current
Account + Financial Account = Change in Reserves This
is a useful way to look at it because using the reserves is a policy
choice made by the government. Reserves can be seen as a "savings
account" or "war chest" (sometimes literally) of a government; it can
spend accumulated reserves to but things abroad that it needs. For
example if the harvest of a key export crop is bad, a government can
dip into its reserves to maintain imports of essential goods. Plus
and minus signs: This is a rich source of confusion. By
accounting convention, the reserve account is treated as a stash of
assets outside the country that you either spend money on (when you
increase reserves) or draw money from (when you sell some of those
assets, thereby running down your reserves). That means that when
reserves rise, they are a net use of funds (you're
spending money to buy reserves, just like you spend money to buy
imports) and take a minus sign. And when you draw on
your reserves they are a net source of funds, and take a plus
sign. It's totally counterintuitive, because the minus sign
corresponds to a situation when reserves rise, and the plus sign
corresponds to a situation when reserves fall. We're so used to
thinking "plus sign good" that it's hard to wrap the brain around the
fact that a big positive number in "changes in reserves" means your
country is burning through its precious stash of reserve assets. One way to
reduce cognitive dissonance is to look at "Overall balance" on the spreadsheet just above. A big
negative number means reserves were used up that year, a big positive
number means there was money left over to buy more reserve assets. |
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Reserves and Related Items |
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Reserve Assets This is the
standard reserves. |
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Use of Fund Credit and
Loans If the country
drew on IMF assistance, it will show up here. |
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Exceptional Financing |
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