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Diagram illustrating impact of orbital cycles on global temperatures (Source: Kitchen, 2014, p. 15.

Deep Ocean Conveyor

Figure 1.21 Source: Kitchen, 2014, p. 17.

Global temperature response to Pinatubo eruption

1.5 Pause for thought

Rapid rise in concentration of important greehouse gases over past 35 years.

Climate Models

Dealing with Model Uncertainty

IPCC criteria used to define alternative storylines

Emission Scenarios

Emission scenarios 2

Representative Concentration Pathways (RCPs)

IPCC scenarios, 3 times, 3 sets of assumptions

Climate models & temperature change implicaions

IPCC Temperature change

Climate change impacts (IPCC) Source: Kitchen, 2014, p. 20.

March 2012 temperatures compared to average of same eight day period of March 2000-2011.

1.6 Pause for thought (Source: Kitchen, 2014, p. 21).

Figure 4.1a (Houghton, 2009, p. 71.

Figure 4.1b. (Houghton, 2009, p. 71.

Figure 4.2  Houghton, 2009, p. 72.

Figure 4.3 (Houghton, 2009, p. 73)