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Projected future changes in Northern Asia permafrost boundary
Background & Some Questions being explored
Basic UNFCCC & Kyoto Protocol
What are the GHG trends and sources?
What is happening with regard to temperature trends?
What has been RussiaÕs history regarding Kyoto?
Who are RussiaÕs Kyoto stakeholder players?
Why was RussiaÕs ratification important to the Kyoto Protocol?
Why did Russia ratify the Kyoto Protocol?
How can the Kyoto Protocol affect RussiaÕs economy?
How does Russia affect the EU Emission Trading Scheme?
How will RussiaÕs ÒHot AirÓ affect the price of GHG credits?
What is the rationale for Russian compliance with Kyoto?
What are the elements for Russian institutional compliance?
What are the Russian compliance problems?
Bigger questions: carbon trading & social justice, Clean Development Mechanism vs Clean Development Fund, international ÒHot AirÓ trading, role of U.S. as Kyoto opponent, role of World Bank

Basic UNFCCC & Kyoto Protocol information
UNFCCC - United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change
Kyoto Protocol is amendment of UNFCCC
Signed December 11, 1997 at Kyoto, Japan
Opened for signature on March 16, 1998
Need 55 countries representing 55% of 1990 CO2 emissions to ratify for entry-into-force
GHG reduction targets for 2008-2012
6 GHGs include CO2, CH4, N20, CFC-12,CFC-10
2001 Bush says U.S. will not ratify
44.2% of 1990 global GHC emissions without US, Russia, Australia
Russia 17.4% of 1990 CO2 emissions
US and Australia ~40% of GHG emissions
Talks stall in Hague post-2000 election
2001 Bonn COP revisions - allows CO2 sink

Geographical Pattern of Kyoto Acceptance
Global Fossil Carbon Emissions (1800-2000)
Trends in Atmospheric Concentrations and Anthropogenic Emissions of Carbon Dioxide
Slide 8
What is happening with temperature trends?
CO2 & Temperature trends
http://news.bbc.co.uk/hi/english/special_report/sci/tech/global_warming
World Carbon Dioxide Emissions by Region, 2001-2025 (Million Metric Tons of Carbon Equivalent)
Regional trends in Carbon emissions (MMT of C/year)
Russian government wants to sell part of RussiaÕs greenhouse gas emission quotas - AAUs (Assigned Amount Units) / Image from ublib.buffalo.edu
CO2 emissions from Russia.
Per capita CO2 emission estimates for Russia.