Alternatives
State of nature Probability Steel alloy Trestle bridge Bridge w/risk
0 storm 0.60 $191,524 $182,658 $109,595
1 storm 0.31 $191,524 $222,268 $68,903
2 storms 0.08 $191,524 $222,268 $17,781
3 storms 0.01 $191,524 $282,072 $2,821
Expected value
(costs +negative
effects
$191,524
$199,100